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Senate · West Virginia · General Election

West Virginia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Safe R S: Safe R I: Safe R
Last updated: Sep 03, 2026 09:35 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$6.8M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$675K
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$1.4M
2 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Safe R (unanimous) — Cook: Safe R / Sabato: Safe R / Inside: Safe R
📈 Capito: Net IE: +461K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
TAKE ME HOME WV ACTION
Supporting Capito
$675K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
4%
DEM Price
→ -2.7% 7d
98%
REP Price
→ -0.1% 7d
$16K
Total Volume
24h: $0
1.1%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -32.1% 30d REP: -0.7%
DEM 4% 5%4%4% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
REP 98% 99%98%98% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
Spread: 1.8% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 78%
🔵 1 DEM whales ($977)  ·  🔴 8 REP whales ($5K) · 2 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
0xE41adDdfD269f811c8
REP
$3K
96¢ → 96¢ (+$12)
shinyandrew
DEM
$977
93¢ → 2¢ (-$907)
eNakeVets
REP
$964
92¢ → 96¢ (+$41)
ImJustKen
REP
$535
92¢ → 96¢ (+$24)
Ryxon21
REP
$210
95¢ → 96¢ (+$3)
trkbk2
REP
$193
94¢ → 96¢ (+$4)
SitsToPee
REP
$121
4¢ → 96¢ (+$3,106)
0x49F206
REP
$13
4¢ → 96¢ (+$334)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $1.4M in campaign spending in this race.
2
Corporate Clients
$10K
Lobbying Spend
$1.4M
Campaign Spending
2
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$675K
CAPITO
AC, INC.
$0
$675K
CAPITO
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
CAPITO (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
ANTERO RESOURCES
$31K (13)
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS LOBBY+DONATE
$20K (13)
BLACKSTONE
$19K (8)
LEIDOS LOBBY+DONATE
$18K (26)
ECHOSTAR
$16K (5)
GENERAL MOTORS
$16K (10)
NECESSITY VENTURES
$14K (6)
SUNSHINE GASOLINE DISTRIBUTORS
$14K (4)
ENTERPRISE
$12K (7)
WHITECASE
$12K (6)
WILLIS (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
WHITE HOUSE FOODS
$14K (4)
CLASSICAL CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
$5K (2)
CAVALIER GROUP
$5K (2)
KPMB
$4K (2)
SPECIALIZED ORTHOPAEDIC SERVIC
$1K (1)
CLUB FOR GROWTH
$1K (1)
NFBC
$1K (1)
BRINKLEY INVESTMENTS
$1K (1)
INTEGRITY HOME MORTGAGE CORP
$522 (2)
BROADCOM
$521 (1)
SHREWSBURY (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
O R COLAN ASSOC
$5K (3)
US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
$2K (1)
UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
$1K (1)
HOME BASE
$1K (1)
FHFA
$750 (2)
NEW RIVER HEALTH ASSN.
$650 (5)
SPARKFUND
$500 (1)
HOME
$500 (1)
THOAMS Z. HODSON ATTORNEY AT LAW
$500 (1)
BELIEVER ENTERTAINMENT
$500 (1)
EVANS (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
NU CYBERTEK
$4K (5)
RESMED
$4K (3)
BELL ENTERPRISES
$3K (1)
RELIABLE
$3K (1)
BELL HOLDINGS
$3K (1)
VA MEDICAL CENTER
$2K (4)
FAMLEE INVESTMENT COMPANY
$2K (12)
BRACKEN INTEREST
$1K (15)
BROKEN INTEREST
$1K (13)
FLORIDA PATHOLOGY
$1K (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$10.7B
Total Awards
38%
Defense ($651.7M)
1,815,857
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Other Computer Related Service · $280.1M Research and Development in th · $277.5M Engineering Services · $218.9M Custom Computer Programming Se · $174.0M Facilities Support Services · $155.3M Small Arms, Ordnance, and Ordn · $140.3M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN RESOURCES, WEST VIRGINI
$7.8B
WVDOT DIVISION OF HIGHWAYS
$925.3M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$675.5M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPT OF HUMAN SERVICES
$602.5M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTA
$497.0M
NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORP
$400.3M
WEST VIRGINIA STATE HEALTH DEPARTMENT
$300.0M
GREENBRIER GOVERNMENT SOLUTIONS INC
$146.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Capito (R)
—
$4.6M
$4.4M
3%
55%
$675K
—
Evans (R)
—
$1.1M
$61K
72%
94%
—
—
Willis (R)
—
$642K
—
2%
100%
—
—
Shrewsbury (D)
—
$516K
$-3K
80%
101%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Capito (R)
Total Raised
$4,624,145
Cash on Hand
$4,377,201
Disbursements
$2,558,310
Individual Contributions
$2,458,065
PAC Contributions
$1,680,755
Small Dollar %
3.4%
Burn Rate
55.3%
Net IE Advantage
+$675K
Evans (R)
Total Raised
$1,062,145
Cash on Hand
$60,931
Disbursements
$1,001,214
Individual Contributions
$1,038,108
PAC Contributions
$2,500
Small Dollar %
71.8%
Burn Rate
94.3%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Willis (R)
Total Raised
$641,739
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$641,739
Individual Contributions
$269,939
PAC Contributions
$3,500
Small Dollar %
2.4%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Shrewsbury (D)
Total Raised
$515,587
Cash on Hand
$-2,854
Disbursements
$518,441
Individual Contributions
$511,320
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
80.3%
Burn Rate
100.6%
Net IE Advantage
$0