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Senate · West Virginia · General Election

West Virginia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Safe R S: Safe R I: Safe R
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$7.9M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$984K
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$7.6M
31 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Safe R (unanimous) — Cook: Safe R / Sabato: Safe R / Inside: Safe R
📈 Capito: Net IE: +461K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
TAKE ME HOME WV ACTION
Supporting Capito
$774K
AMERICAN MISSION
Supporting Capito
$210K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
1%
DEM Price
→ -12.1% 7d
99%
REP Price
→ +0.4% 7d
$23K
Total Volume
24h: $3K
6.9%
Volatility
High
30d DEM: +11.5% 30d REP: -0.2%
DEM 1% 2%2%1% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
REP 99% 99%99%98% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
Spread: 0.5% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 52%
🔵 8 DEM whales ($3K)  ·  🔴 8 REP whales ($4K) · 2 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
0xE41adDdfD269f811c8
REP
$2K
—
DooBieZ
DEM
$1K
98¢ → 1¢ (-$1,448)
SitsToPee
REP
$1K
—
shinyandrew
DEM
$987
93¢ → 1¢ (-$917)
zzzx2
DEM
$840
97¢ → 1¢ (-$815)
eNakeVets
REP
$500
—
ImJustKen
REP
$278
—
AiBird
REP
$250
—
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $5.5M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $7.6M in campaign spending in this race.
31
Corporate Clients
$5.5M
Lobbying Spend
$7.6M
Campaign Spending
79
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
CARESOURCE MISSION 🏥 💰 🛡️
$1.4M
$210K
CAPITO
TWENTY-NINE PALMS BAND OF MISSION INDIANS ⚡
$910K
$210K
CAPITO
PECHANGA BAND OF LUISENO MISSION INDIANS 🏥
$420K
$210K
CAPITO
MORONGO BAND OF MISSION INDIANS
$420K
$210K
CAPITO
SAN MANUEL BAND OF MISSION INDIANS
$360K
$210K
CAPITO
PALA BAND OF MISSION INDIANS
$300K
$210K
CAPITO
AFRICAN MISSION HEALTHCARE 🏥
$280K
$210K
CAPITO
MISSION ESSENTIAL GROUP, LLC
$240K
$210K
CAPITO
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
CAPITO (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
ANTERO RESOURCES
$31K (13)
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS LOBBY+DONATE
$20K (13)
BLACKSTONE
$19K (8)
LEIDOS LOBBY+DONATE
$18K (26)
ECHOSTAR
$16K (5)
GENERAL MOTORS
$16K (10)
NECESSITY VENTURES
$14K (6)
SUNSHINE GASOLINE DISTRIBUTORS
$14K (4)
ENTERPRISE
$12K (7)
WHITECASE
$12K (6)
WILLIS (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
WHITE HOUSE FOODS
$14K (4)
CLASSICAL CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
$5K (2)
CAVALIER GROUP
$5K (2)
KPMB
$4K (2)
SPECIALIZED ORTHOPAEDIC SERVIC
$1K (1)
CLUB FOR GROWTH
$1K (1)
NFBC
$1K (1)
BRINKLEY INVESTMENTS
$1K (1)
INTEGRITY HOME MORTGAGE CORP
$522 (2)
BROADCOM
$521 (1)
SHREWSBURY (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
O R COLAN ASSOC
$5K (3)
US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
$2K (1)
UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
$1K (1)
HOME BASE
$1K (1)
FHFA
$750 (2)
NEW RIVER HEALTH ASSN.
$650 (5)
SPARKFUND
$500 (1)
HOME
$500 (1)
THOAMS Z. HODSON ATTORNEY AT LAW
$500 (1)
BELIEVER ENTERTAINMENT
$500 (1)
EVANS (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
NU CYBERTEK
$4K (5)
RESMED
$4K (3)
BELL ENTERPRISES
$3K (1)
RELIABLE
$3K (1)
BELL HOLDINGS
$3K (1)
VA MEDICAL CENTER
$2K (4)
FAMLEE INVESTMENT COMPANY
$2K (12)
BRACKEN INTEREST
$1K (15)
BROKEN INTEREST
$1K (13)
FLORIDA PATHOLOGY
$1K (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$10.7B
Total Awards
38%
Defense ($651.7M)
1,815,857
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Other Computer Related Service · $280.1M Research and Development in th · $277.5M Engineering Services · $218.9M Custom Computer Programming Se · $174.0M Facilities Support Services · $155.3M Small Arms, Ordnance, and Ordn · $140.3M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN RESOURCES, WEST VIRGINI
$7.8B
WVDOT DIVISION OF HIGHWAYS
$925.3M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$675.5M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPT OF HUMAN SERVICES
$602.5M
WEST VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTA
$497.0M
NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORP
$400.3M
WEST VIRGINIA STATE HEALTH DEPARTMENT
$300.0M
GREENBRIER GOVERNMENT SOLUTIONS INC
$146.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Capito (R)
—
$5.4M
$3.1M
5%
86%
$984K
—
Evans (R)
—
$1.1M
$61K
72%
94%
—
—
Willis (R)
—
$642K
—
2%
100%
—
—
Shrewsbury (D)
—
$512K
$8
81%
100%
—
—
Fetty Anderson (D)
—
$165K
$36K
38%
83%
—
—
Wilson (C)
—
$65K
$1K
23%
98%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Capito (R)
Total Raised
$5,449,866
Cash on Hand
$3,071,076
Disbursements
$4,690,155
Individual Contributions
$2,887,814
PAC Contributions
$2,047,937
Small Dollar %
4.9%
Burn Rate
86.1%
Net IE Advantage
+$984K
Evans (R)
Total Raised
$1,062,145
Cash on Hand
$60,931
Disbursements
$1,001,214
Individual Contributions
$1,038,108
PAC Contributions
$2,500
Small Dollar %
71.8%
Burn Rate
94.3%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Willis (R)
Total Raised
$641,739
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$641,739
Individual Contributions
$269,939
PAC Contributions
$3,500
Small Dollar %
2.4%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Shrewsbury (D)
Total Raised
$511,969
Cash on Hand
$8
Disbursements
$511,961
Individual Contributions
$507,679
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
80.9%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Fetty Anderson (D)
Total Raised
$164,558
Cash on Hand
$35,681
Disbursements
$135,873
Individual Contributions
$124,917
PAC Contributions
$2,500
Small Dollar %
38.1%
Burn Rate
82.6%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Wilson (C)
Total Raised
$65,287
Cash on Hand
$1,250
Disbursements
$64,037
Individual Contributions
$8,035
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
22.8%
Burn Rate
98.1%
Net IE Advantage
$0