← Back to Elections Dashboard
House · Wisconsin · General Election

Wisconsin 1st

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Oct 24, 2026 09:15 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$8.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$8.8M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$4.2M
10 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Van Orden: Net IE: +219K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Van Orden
$29.6M
SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.
Opposing Cooke
$6.5M
NORTHWOODS FUTURE PAC
Supporting Alfonso
$5.4M
LCV VICTORY FUND
Opposing Van Orden
$5.0M
AMERICAN MAJORITY ACTION PAC
Opposing Van Orden
$2.9M
HMP
Supporting Steil
$2.8M
TOMORROW TOGETHER
Opposing Van Orden
$2.4M
EDF ACTION VOTES
Opposing Van Orden
$2.2M
Supporting Steil
$1.0M
AMERICAN MAJORITY ACTION PAC
Supporting Steil
$996K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10.2M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $4.2M in campaign spending in this race.
10
Corporate Clients
$10.2M
Lobbying Spend
$4.2M
Campaign Spending
60
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA, INC. ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$8.8M
$529K
STEIL
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$590K
$529K
STEIL
ATI INC. 🏭 🛡️
$250K
$171K
STEIL
AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE, INC.
$180K
$529K
STEIL
AMERICA FIRST REFINING ⚡
$150K
$529K
STEIL
LA CENTER
$90K
$171K
STEIL
CAMPAIGN FOR AMERICA FIRST INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE
$90K
$529K
STEIL
FORWARD GLOBAL US, INC. ON BEHALF OF GREENLIGHTS GRANT INITIATIVE 🏥
$50K
$171K
STEIL
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
VAN ORDEN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
MIDLAND ENERGY
$14K (4)
HENDRICKS HOLDING
$14K (4)
VALMORE GP
$13K (5)
EDW. C. LEVY
$8K (33)
ANTON DEVCO
$7K (3)
FRANKLIN MOUNTAIN MANAGEMENT
$7K (5)
STEPHENS
$7K (3)
COOKE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN
$23K (63)
SCHUSTERMAN INTERESTS
$21K (6)
JANE STREET CAPITAL
$20K (6)
PABLO FOUNDATION
$10K (3)
UW HEALTH
$10K (29)
CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS
$8K (3)
THE WALT DISNEY CO
$8K (7)
GOOGLE
$7K (9)
RUEDEBUSCH DEVELOPMENT & CONSTRUCTION
$7K (2)
QPRIME
$7K (2)
STEIL (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
KLONDIKE CHEESE
$42K (12)
COINBASE
$30K (9)
CAPITAL GROUP
$25K (10)
BLACKROCK
$19K (9)
PARADIGM
$15K (6)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
BLACKSTONE
$14K (5)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
SOLANA LABS
$14K (4)
STARSKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
WASSGREN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
MADISON RETIREMENT ADMIN
$7K (2)
MAHALIA VEDIC WELLNESS
$7K (3)
BOM INVESTMENTS
$7K (3)
MULTICARE HEALTH SYSTEM
$7K (2)
FISHER INVESTMENTS
$7K (5)
HAVERSINE FUNDING
$3K (1)
WRI
$506 (2)
HCVT CPAS
$500 (1)
ZEPPELIN CAPITAL
$500 (1)
HERMENING (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
HERMENING FINANCIAL GROUP
$210 (1)
FITZGERALD (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
BGR GROUP
$10K (10)
MILWAUKEE TOOL
$9K (10)
ELLIOTT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
$7K (3)
ABC
$7K (2)
BLACKSTONE
$7K (3)
ULINE
$7K (3)
TOLL FOUNDATION
$7K (3)
THE GIBSON GROUP
$6K (5)
HORICON BANK
$5K (3)
CONNECTOR
$4K (3)
MOORE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups
EPIC SYSTEMS
$7K (2)
LEM SETTLEMENT GROUP
$5K (2)
GTW
$5K (2)
BOSTON MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY
$5K (2)
CD SMITH
$4K (2)
NEWS MEDIA ALLIANCE
$4K (1)
THRIVENT
$4K (1)
ONEAMERICA FINANCIAL
$3K (1)
PROTECTIVE LIFE
$3K (1)
MASSMUTUAL
$3K (1)
WIED (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
CASH DEPOT
$7K (3)
HJ MARTIN & SON
$7K (4)
SPACEX
$7K (3)
BGR GROUP
$5K (6)
QPS EMPLOYMENT GROUP
$5K (3)
GREEN BAY PACKING
$5K (3)
UFA
$5K (3)
PLEXUS
$4K (5)
EPIC
$3K (1)
NEUMANN COMPANIES
$3K (1)
🔀 14 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
FOUNDERS FUND: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000. WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000. MIDLAND ENERGY: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-01)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$51.5B
Total Awards
5,795,483
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ammunition (except Small Arms) · $401.1M Other Engine Equipment Manufac · $50.5M Mechanical Power Transmission · $12.9M Saw Blade and Handtool Manufac · $12.2M Fruit and Vegetable Canning · $9.7M Animal (except Poultry) Slaugh · $6.9M
Recipient Amount
AMTEC CORPORATION
$401.1M
GOODWILL INDUSTRIES OF SOUTHEASTERN WISC
$174.3M
FAIRBANKS MORSE, LLC
$83.5M
IDSC HOLDINGS LLC
$35.1M
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.
$18.6M
CORPS MEDICAL SUPPLY, LLC
$13.7M
SHINE TECHNOLOGIES, LLC
$13.6M
WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS
$12.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Steil (R)
—
$6.4M
$2.2M
19%
100%
$3.3M
$3.2M
Berman (D)
—
$2.0M
$352K
36%
82%
$1.2M
$1.2M
Financial Breakdown
Steil (R)
Total Raised
$6,393,553
Cash on Hand
$2,243,605
Disbursements
$6,369,119
Individual Contributions
$1,792,791
PAC Contributions
$1,933,675
Small Dollar %
18.6%
Burn Rate
99.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$116K
Berman (D)
Total Raised
$1,977,099
Cash on Hand
$351,558
Disbursements
$1,625,541
Individual Contributions
$1,785,190
PAC Contributions
$189,500
Small Dollar %
36.5%
Burn Rate
82.2%
Net IE Advantage
+$67K
📜 Historical Context — Wisconsin
Partisan Lean R+3
↘ Trending R+6

WI has a partisan lean of R+3. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+15).

Presidential Results
2020 D+0.6
2016 R+0.7
2012 D+6.9
2008 D+13.9
2004 D+0.4
Senate Results
2018 D+10.8
2016 R+3.4
2012 D+5.5
2010 D+47.0