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House · Wisconsin · General Election

Wisconsin 1st

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: August 11, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$4.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Van Orden: Net IE: +219K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
NORTHWOODS FUTURE PAC
Supporting Alfonso
$2.7M
Supporting Van Orden
$258K
THE WISCO PROJECT PAC
Supporting Van Orden
$24K
TURNING POINT PAC INC.
Supporting Alfonso
$9K
DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF WISCONSIN FEDERAL
Supporting Van Orden
$4K
ACTIVATE AMERICA
Supporting Van Orden
$2K
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
VAN ORDEN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
MIDLAND ENERGY
$14K (4)
HENDRICKS HOLDING
$14K (4)
VALMORE GP
$13K (5)
EDW. C. LEVY
$8K (33)
ANTON DEVCO
$7K (3)
FRANKLIN MOUNTAIN MANAGEMENT
$7K (5)
STEPHENS
$7K (3)
COOKE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN
$23K (63)
SCHUSTERMAN INTERESTS
$21K (6)
JANE STREET CAPITAL
$20K (6)
PABLO FOUNDATION
$10K (3)
UW HEALTH
$10K (29)
CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS
$8K (3)
THE WALT DISNEY CO
$8K (7)
GOOGLE
$7K (9)
RUEDEBUSCH DEVELOPMENT & CONSTRUCTION
$7K (2)
QPRIME
$7K (2)
STEIL (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
KLONDIKE CHEESE
$42K (12)
COINBASE
$30K (9)
CAPITAL GROUP
$25K (10)
BLACKROCK
$19K (9)
PARADIGM
$15K (6)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
BLACKSTONE
$14K (5)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
SOLANA LABS
$14K (4)
STARSKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
WASSGREN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
MADISON RETIREMENT ADMIN
$7K (2)
MAHALIA VEDIC WELLNESS
$7K (3)
BOM INVESTMENTS
$7K (3)
MULTICARE HEALTH SYSTEM
$7K (2)
FISHER INVESTMENTS
$7K (5)
HAVERSINE FUNDING
$3K (1)
WRI
$506 (2)
HCVT CPAS
$500 (1)
ZEPPELIN CAPITAL
$500 (1)
HERMENING (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
HERMENING FINANCIAL GROUP
$210 (1)
FITZGERALD (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
BGR GROUP
$10K (10)
MILWAUKEE TOOL
$9K (10)
ELLIOTT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
$7K (3)
ABC
$7K (2)
BLACKSTONE
$7K (3)
ULINE
$7K (3)
TOLL FOUNDATION
$7K (3)
THE GIBSON GROUP
$6K (5)
HORICON BANK
$5K (3)
CONNECTOR
$4K (3)
MOORE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups
EPIC SYSTEMS
$7K (2)
LEM SETTLEMENT GROUP
$5K (2)
GTW
$5K (2)
BOSTON MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY
$5K (2)
CD SMITH
$4K (2)
NEWS MEDIA ALLIANCE
$4K (1)
THRIVENT
$4K (1)
ONEAMERICA FINANCIAL
$3K (1)
PROTECTIVE LIFE
$3K (1)
MASSMUTUAL
$3K (1)
WIED (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
CASH DEPOT
$7K (3)
HJ MARTIN & SON
$7K (4)
SPACEX
$7K (3)
BGR GROUP
$5K (6)
QPS EMPLOYMENT GROUP
$5K (3)
GREEN BAY PACKING
$5K (3)
UFA
$5K (3)
PLEXUS
$4K (5)
EPIC
$3K (1)
NEUMANN COMPANIES
$3K (1)
🔀 14 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
FOUNDERS FUND: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000. WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000. MIDLAND ENERGY: VAN ORDEN $14,000 / STEIL $14,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-01)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$51.5B
Total Awards
5,795,483
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ammunition (except Small Arms) · $401.1M Other Engine Equipment Manufac · $50.5M Mechanical Power Transmission · $12.9M Saw Blade and Handtool Manufac · $12.2M Fruit and Vegetable Canning · $9.7M Animal (except Poultry) Slaugh · $6.9M
Recipient Amount
AMTEC CORPORATION
$401.1M
GOODWILL INDUSTRIES OF SOUTHEASTERN WISC
$174.3M
FAIRBANKS MORSE, LLC
$83.5M
IDSC HOLDINGS LLC
$35.1M
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.
$18.6M
CORPS MEDICAL SUPPLY, LLC
$13.7M
SHINE TECHNOLOGIES, LLC
$13.6M
WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS
$12.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Steil (R)
$4.4M
$5.6M
14%
24%
Financial Breakdown
Steil (R)
Total Raised
$4,376,365
Cash on Hand
$5,564,127
Disbursements
$1,031,408
Individual Contributions
$1,138,299
PAC Contributions
$1,351,052
Small Dollar %
14.3%
Burn Rate
23.6%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Wisconsin
Partisan Lean R+3
↘ Trending R+6

WI has a partisan lean of R+3. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+15).

Presidential Results
2020 D+0.6
2016 R+0.7
2012 D+6.9
2008 D+13.9
2004 D+0.4
Senate Results
2018 D+10.8
2016 R+3.4
2012 D+5.5
2010 D+47.0