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Senate · Virginia · General Election

Virginia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Aug 03, 2026 10:40 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$18.2M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$150K
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Supporting Warner
$150K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
94%
DEM Price
0.0% 7d
6%
REP Price
0.0% 7d
$12K
Total Volume
24h: $0
0.1%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: 0.0% 30d REP: 0.0%
DEM 94% 94%94%94% Jul 02Jul 17Aug 02
REP 6% 6%6%6% Jul 02Jul 18Aug 02
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
WARNER (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT
$52K (19)
BLACKSTONE
$50K (17)
GOLDMAN SACHS
$45K (15)
VISA LOBBY+DONATE
$42K (25)
HAVELI INVESTMENTS
$40K (20)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$38K (35)
IEX GROUP
$36K (23)
JPMORGAN CHASE
$36K (20)
STRATEGY
$35K (11)
KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO
$35K (10)
REEVES (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
UVA
$5K (2)
BLUE OCEAN DEVELOPMENT
$4K (1)
CRC ADVISORS
$4K (1)
COMSTOCK COMPANIES
$4K (4)
FOUNDATION HOMES
$4K (1)
TRIGON HOMES
$4K (1)
POHANKA AUTOMOTIVE GROUP
$4K (1)
COMSTOCK
$4K (5)
SASCO
$3K (3)
ABBOTT CLAY & BEDOY
$3K (1)
FARINGTON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
COMPLETE HEALTHCARE FOR WOMEN
$2K (1)
PUBLIC SECTOR CONSULTING
$2K (1)
TOTH FINANCIAL
$1K (1)
SUPPTRAX
$1K (1)
3SG PLUS
$1K (1)
WALKERS GRILLE
$750 (2)
FAIFAX COUNTY
$500 (1)
ELI LILLY
$500 (1)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$500 (1)
RODI SALON
$500 (1)
🔀 1 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
MICROSOFT: WARNER $38,200 / FARINGTON $500.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$75.8B
Total Awards
27%
Defense ($29.0B)
8,470,020
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Direct Health and Medical Insu · $37.5B Computer Systems Design Servic · $17.4B Other Computer Related Service · $10.8B Engineering Services · $10.5B Ship Building and Repairing · $7.1B Research and Development in th · $6.4B
Recipient Amount
VA DEPARTMENT OF MEDICAL ASSISTANCE SERV
$36.7B
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC
$7.8B
ATLANTIC DIVING SUPPLY, INC.
$6.6B
GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY,
$5.9B
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INC
$5.4B
SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPO
$5.2B
ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC
$4.3B
AMENTUM SERVICES, INC.
$4.3B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Warner (D)
$17.9M
$16.1M
32%
41%
$150K
Farington (R)
$148K
$16K
14%
89%
Reeves (R)
$106K
27%
100%
Daniels (D)
$57K
$7K
46%
88%
Mizusawa (R)
Williams (R)
Financial Breakdown
Warner (D)
Total Raised
$17,889,335
Cash on Hand
$16,114,725
Disbursements
$7,327,844
Individual Contributions
$9,258,156
PAC Contributions
$2,117,795
Small Dollar %
31.9%
Burn Rate
41.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$150K
Farington (R)
Total Raised
$148,370
Cash on Hand
$16,160
Disbursements
$132,210
Individual Contributions
$34,062
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
14.4%
Burn Rate
89.1%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Reeves (R)
Total Raised
$106,324
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$106,324
Individual Contributions
$57,248
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
26.9%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Daniels (D)
Total Raised
$57,160
Cash on Hand
$7,038
Disbursements
$50,121
Individual Contributions
$9,728
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
45.5%
Burn Rate
87.7%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Virginia
Partisan Lean D+4
↗ Trending D+5

VA has a partisan lean of D+4. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 5 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+9).

Presidential Results
2020 D+10.1
2016 D+5.4
2012 D+3.9
2008 D+6.3
2004 R+8.2
Senate Results
2020 D+12.1
2018 D+16.0
2014 D+0.8
2012 D+5.9