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Senate · Virginia · General Election

Virginia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: August 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 15, 2026 05:07 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$12.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$80
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$160
2 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
94%
DEM Price
0.0% 7d
8%
REP Price
0.0% 7d
$8K
Total Volume
24h: $0
0.3%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +1.1% 30d REP: -11.8%
DEM 94% 94%93%92% Mar 14Mar 29Apr 14
REP 8% 9%8%6% Mar 14Mar 26Apr 14
Spread: 2.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Normal
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $160 in campaign spending in this race.
2
Corporate Clients
$10K
Lobbying Spend
$160
Campaign Spending
2
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$80
WARNER
AC, INC.
$0
$80
WARNER
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
WARNER (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT
$52K (19)
BLACKSTONE
$50K (17)
GOLDMAN SACHS
$45K (15)
VISA LOBBY+DONATE
$42K (25)
HAVELI INVESTMENTS
$40K (20)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$38K (35)
IEX GROUP
$36K (23)
JPMORGAN CHASE
$36K (20)
STRATEGY
$35K (11)
KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO
$35K (10)
REEVES (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
UVA
$5K (2)
BLUE OCEAN DEVELOPMENT
$4K (1)
CRC ADVISORS
$4K (1)
COMSTOCK COMPANIES
$4K (4)
FOUNDATION HOMES
$4K (1)
TRIGON HOMES
$4K (1)
POHANKA AUTOMOTIVE GROUP
$4K (1)
COMSTOCK
$4K (5)
SASCO
$3K (3)
ABBOTT CLAY & BEDOY
$3K (1)
FARINGTON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
COMPLETE HEALTHCARE FOR WOMEN
$2K (1)
PUBLIC SECTOR CONSULTING
$2K (1)
TOTH FINANCIAL
$1K (1)
SUPPTRAX
$1K (1)
3SG PLUS
$1K (1)
WALKERS GRILLE
$750 (2)
FAIFAX COUNTY
$500 (1)
ELI LILLY
$500 (1)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$500 (1)
RODI SALON
$500 (1)
🔀 1 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
MICROSOFT: WARNER $38,200 / FARINGTON $500.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$75.8B
Total Awards
27%
Defense ($29.0B)
8,470,020
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Direct Health and Medical Insu · $37.5B Computer Systems Design Servic · $17.4B Other Computer Related Service · $10.8B Engineering Services · $10.5B Ship Building and Repairing · $7.1B Research and Development in th · $6.4B
Recipient Amount
VA DEPARTMENT OF MEDICAL ASSISTANCE SERV
$36.7B
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC
$7.8B
ATLANTIC DIVING SUPPLY, INC.
$6.6B
GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY,
$5.9B
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INC
$5.4B
SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPO
$5.2B
ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC
$4.3B
AMENTUM SERVICES, INC.
$4.3B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Warner (D)
$12.1M
$13.4M
34%
36%
$80
Reeves (R)
$99K
$20K
27%
80%
Farington (R)
$84K
$11K
10%
87%
Financial Breakdown
Warner (D)
Total Raised
$12,141,616
Cash on Hand
$13,365,586
Disbursements
$4,329,263
Individual Contributions
$6,210,464
PAC Contributions
$1,551,650
Small Dollar %
33.6%
Burn Rate
35.7%
Net IE Advantage
+$80
Reeves (R)
Total Raised
$99,236
Cash on Hand
$20,083
Disbursements
$79,152
Individual Contributions
$57,248
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
26.9%
Burn Rate
79.8%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Farington (R)
Total Raised
$84,235
Cash on Hand
$11,464
Disbursements
$72,989
Individual Contributions
$9,761
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
9.7%
Burn Rate
86.6%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Virginia
Partisan Lean D+4
↗ Trending D+5

VA has a partisan lean of D+4. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 5 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+9).

Presidential Results
2020 D+10.1
2016 D+5.4
2012 D+3.9
2008 D+6.3
2004 R+8.2
Senate Results
2020 D+12.1
2018 D+16.0
2014 D+0.8
2012 D+5.9