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Senate · Texas · Democratic Primary

Texas Senate Dem Primary

📅 Dem Runoff: May 26, 2026 · General: November 3, 2026
C: Likely R S: Likely R S: Likely R I: Likely R
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$29.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$13.4M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$21.0M
18 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Money
DEM
DEM $35.2M / REP $0.0M (raised + IE)
📈 Talarico: Net IE: +4.6M
📉 Crockett: Net IE: -6.3M
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
LONE STAR RISING PAC
Opposing Crockett
$7.1M
LONE STAR RISING PAC
Supporting Talarico
$5.0M
FORWARD TEXAS
Opposing Crockett
$500K
FORWARD TEXAS
Supporting Talarico
$500K
TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COM
Opposing Crockett
$225K
LATINO VICTORY FUND
Supporting Talarico
$82K
ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND
Opposing Crockett
$50K
EVERY STATE
Supporting Talarico
$10K
DISRUPT
Supporting Talarico
$9K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $1.3M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $21.0M in campaign spending in this race.
18
Corporate Clients
$1.3M
Lobbying Spend
$21.0M
Campaign Spending
29
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing ⚡ Energy & Utilities
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ATI, INC.
$210K
$82K
Talarico
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR LATINO COMMUNITY ASSET BUILDERS
$160K
$82K
Talarico
YES. EVERY KID.
$160K
$10K
Talarico
LONE STAR COLLEGE 🏭
$150K
$5.0M
Talarico
Y 🏥
$150K
$82K
Talarico
DISRUPTIVE BEVERAGE, INC. (DBA NOWADAYS)
$150K
$9K
Talarico
LONE STAR ANALYSIS (FKA LONE STAR AEROSPACE) 🛡️
$98K
$5.0M
Talarico
YES, EVERY KID., INC.
$70K
$10K
Talarico
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Talarico (DEM) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
GOOGLE
$22K (53)
UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
$20K (82)
JACKSON WALKER
$18K (32)
BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE
$16K (78)
INTRAFI
$14K (4)
KIRKLAND & ELLIS
$14K (16)
APPLE LOBBY+DONATE
$13K (92)
MUKERJI LAW FIRM
$12K (6)
UT SOUTHWESTERN
$12K (16)
KAISER PERMANENTE
$12K (14)
Crockett (DEM) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
FLOWCO PRODUCTION SOLUTIONS
$12K (7)
CAA
$7K (2)
PALS
$7K (2)
EVERGREEN MONEY
$7K (2)
MONTGOMERY LAW
$7K (2)
BROADFIN
$7K (2)
LAW OFFICE OF REGINALD E. MCKAMIE
$7K (2)
HUNTONAK
$7K (2)
SIDLEY
$7K (2)
MATTHEWS
$7K (2)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Talarico (D)
—
$20.7M
$4.8M
59%
77%
$5.1M
$500K
Crockett (D)
—
$8.6M
$3.5M
76%
59%
$775K
$7.1M
Financial Breakdown
Talarico (D)
Total Raised
$20,694,809
Cash on Hand
$4,788,090
Disbursements
$15,906,718
Individual Contributions
$20,649,409
PAC Contributions
$34,050
Small Dollar %
58.9%
Burn Rate
76.9%
Net IE Advantage
+$4.6M
Crockett (D)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @JasijaCrockett
Total Raised
$8,577,757
Cash on Hand
$3,484,885
Disbursements
$5,092,872
Individual Contributions
$3,682,885
PAC Contributions
$16,500
Small Dollar %
75.5%
Burn Rate
59.4%
Net IE Advantage
$-6.3M
📜 Historical Context — Texas
Partisan Lean R+11
↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results
2020 R+5.6
2016 R+9.0
2012 R+15.8
2008 R+11.8
2004 R+22.9
Senate Results
2020 R+9.6
2018 R+2.6
2014 R+27.2
2012 R+15.9