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House · Texas · General Election

Texas 34th

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Runoff: May 26, 2026

C: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026 04:51 AM

Poll Leader

No polls

0 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

$25.6M

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

$3.8M

Independent expenditures

Corporate Influence

$856K

4 lobbying clients

🧠 Race Intelligence

Safe R

Signal Alignment REP at 100%

Data Signals

Expert Ratings

REP

Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R

📈 Allred: Net IE: +93K

📈 Teixeira: Net IE: +1.3M

📈 Ellzey: Net IE: +69K

📈 Menefee: Net IE: +2.2M

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

PROTECT PROGRESS

Supporting Menefee

$1.6M

CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.

Supporting Teixeira

$698K

CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION

Supporting Teixeira

$520K

LEADERS WE DESERVE

Supporting Menefee

$395K

CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC

Supporting Menefee

$200K

JOBS AND DEMOCRACY PAC

Supporting Allred

$150K

DON'T MESS WITH TX PAC

Supporting Allred

$102K

GOPAC ELECTION FUND

Supporting Teixeira

$76K

PATRIOTIC FUND, INC.

Supporting Ellzey

$69K

TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COM

Supporting Menefee

$9K

🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline

Companies spending $180K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $856K in campaign spending in this race.

Corporate Clients

$180K

Lobbying Spend

$856K

Campaign Spending

Lobbyists

Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race

🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing ⚡ Energy & Utilities

Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate

SIERRA CLUB 🏭 🏥 ⚡

$130K

$10

MENEFEE

Y 🏥

$30K

$150K

ALLRED

ATI, INC.

$10K

$698K

TEIXEIRA

ACT INC 🛡️

$10K

$9K

MENEFEE

Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Allred (D)

—

$5.4M

$858K

55%

84%

$173K

$79K

De La Cruz (R)

—

$3.5M

$1.9M

40%

63%

—

Teixeira (R)

—

$3.5M

$1.0M

71%

$1.3M

—

Ellzey (R)

—

$3.1M

$1.9M

32%

74%

$69K

—

Menefee (D)

—

$2.7M

$130K

24%

95%

$2.2M

—

Jackson (R)

—

$2.5M

$4.6M

54%

52%

—

Jensen (R)

—

$2.5M

$37K

12%

98%

—

Gill (R)

—

$2.4M

$626K

64%

79%

$624

—

Financial Breakdown

Allred (D)

Total Raised

$5,412,502

Cash on Hand

$858,030

Disbursements

$4,554,473

Individual Contributions

$1,185,477

PAC Contributions

$1,000

Small Dollar %

55.0%

Burn Rate

84.1%

Net IE Advantage

+$93K

De La Cruz (R)

Total Raised

$3,518,457

Cash on Hand

$1,903,384

Disbursements

$2,229,043

Individual Contributions

$2,279,044

PAC Contributions

$419,800

Small Dollar %

40.4%

Burn Rate

63.4%

Net IE Advantage

Teixeira (R)

Total Raised

$3,466,723

Cash on Hand

$1,007,430

Disbursements

$2,459,293

Individual Contributions

$593,223

PAC Contributions

$123,500

Small Dollar %

1.6%

Burn Rate

70.9%

Net IE Advantage

+$1.3M

Ellzey (R)

Total Raised

$3,101,986

Cash on Hand

$1,902,334

Disbursements

$2,295,099

Individual Contributions

$1,186,161

PAC Contributions

$453,135

Small Dollar %

32.0%

Burn Rate

74.0%

Net IE Advantage

+$69K

Menefee (D)

Total Raised

$2,668,709

Cash on Hand

$130,327

Disbursements

$2,538,382

Individual Contributions

$2,508,901

PAC Contributions

$157,550

Small Dollar %

23.6%

Burn Rate

95.1%

Net IE Advantage

+$2.2M

Jackson (R)

Total Raised

$2,549,764

Cash on Hand

$4,639,825

Disbursements

$1,311,887

Individual Contributions

$1,788,587

PAC Contributions

$158,100

Small Dollar %

53.9%

Burn Rate

51.5%

Net IE Advantage

Jensen (R)

Total Raised

$2,459,347

Cash on Hand

$36,512

Disbursements

$2,422,835

Individual Contributions

$10,201

PAC Contributions

Small Dollar %

12.0%

Burn Rate

98.5%

Net IE Advantage

Gill (R)

Total Raised

$2,423,548

Cash on Hand

$625,938

Disbursements

$1,925,433

Individual Contributions

$1,869,811

PAC Contributions

$259,800

Small Dollar %

63.7%

Burn Rate

79.4%

Net IE Advantage

+$624

📜 Historical Context — Texas

Partisan Lean R+11

↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results

2020 R+5.6

2016 R+9.0

2012 R+15.8

2008 R+11.8

2004 R+22.9

Senate Results

2020 R+9.6

2018 R+2.6

2014 R+27.2

2012 R+15.9

Texas 34th

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