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House · Texas · General Election

Texas 15th

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Runoff: May 26, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$4.2M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Allred: Net IE: +93K
📈 Teixeira: Net IE: +1.3M
📈 Ellzey: Net IE: +69K
📈 Menefee: Net IE: +2.2M
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Menefee
$3.1M
Supporting Teixeira
$1.5M
Supporting Menefee
$573K
Supporting Teixeira
$520K
TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC
Supporting Binkley
$348K
Supporting Menefee
$200K
Supporting Allred
$150K
Supporting Allred
$102K
Supporting Teixeira
$76K
Supporting Ellzey
$69K
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
ALLRED (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
LONE PINE CAPITAL
$14K (3)
JACKSON WALKER
$9K (5)
JPM RANCH COMPANY
$7K (3)
ROCHELLE MCCULLOUGH
$7K (2)
AZA LAW
$7K (4)
BERKSHIRE PARTNERS
$7K (2)
SUPREME PET SUPPLIES
$7K (2)
LAB STRATEGIES
$7K (1)
PETS & SPIRITS
$7K (2)
REPUBLIC TITLE
$6K (3)
DE LA CRUZ (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)
LA LOMITA
$28K (8)
THE ONION HAUS
$14K (8)
CHARLES POTOMAC CAPITAL
$10K (3)
RUSSELL PLANTATION
$10K (4)
ENTREPRENEUR
$9K (3)
SILVER VENTURES
$8K (4)
SILVER EAGLE BEVERAGES
$8K (3)
SRS FARMS
$8K (4)
EDW C LEVY CO
$7K (3)
THE PEROT GROUP
$7K (2)
TEIXEIRA (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
CAHILL GORDON
$14K (10)
POLUNSKY BEITEL GREEN
$10K (6)
LHM
$10K (9)
8VC
$10K (5)
LONE STAR PAVING
$9K (7)
HAWTHORNE DD
$7K (6)
WPR DEVELOPEMNT CO
$7K (6)
DECKER ENTERPRISES
$7K (3)
LMH STRATEGIC SOLUTIONS
$7K (3)
RECANA
$7K (3)
ELLZEY (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
ALLEN CONTROL SYSTEMS
$14K (4)
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
$12K (15)
SARONIC TECHNOLOGIES
$10K (3)
BGR GROUP
$8K (7)
NOMINAL
$8K (6)
ICEBREAKER STRATEGIES
$7K (2)
ALBERS AEROSPACE
$7K (2)
AVONDALE
$7K (2)
PATRIOT INS
$7K (2)
BEAL FINANCIAL GROUP
$7K (2)
MENEFEE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
KIRKLAND & ELLIS
$67K (57)
AZA
$47K (32)
NORTON ROSE FULBRIGHT US
$33K (34)
HARRIS COUNTY
$29K (27)
NORTON ROSE FULBRIGHT
$22K (29)
YETTER COLEMAN
$16K (10)
SUSMAN GODFREY
$16K (10)
MUKERJI LAW FIRM
$15K (10)
GREENBERG TRAURIG
$12K (11)
CITY OF HOUSTON
$12K (9)
JACKSON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
$8K (4)
TOTAL CIVIL
$7K (2)
JFB CONSTRUCTION
$7K (2)
SABIN METAL CORP
$7K (2)
DETROIT AXEL
$7K (2)
ADVANCED FIXTURES
$7K (2)
BRIDGEVIEW PARTNERS
$7K (2)
UNIVERSITY OF UTAH
$7K (2)
MALLETT CONSTRUCTION
$7K (2)
MORAN GLOBAL STRATEGIES
$7K (2)
JENSEN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
THE WINE BAR
$260 (1)
GILL (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
CNA METALS
$21K (6)
CREATIVE SOLUTIONS IN HEALTHCARE
$20K (6)
ITSAINT
$14K (7)
JAIN & JAIN PC
$14K (4)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (6)
LEGACY MEDICAL CONSULTANTS
$13K (5)
VERITAS ENERGY
$12K (1)
ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST
$10K (3)
B29 INVESTMENTS
$10K (6)
ENTREPRENEUR
$10K (121)
🔀 2 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS: ELLZEY $11,500 / JACKSON $8,500. ENTREPRENEUR: DE LA CRUZ $8,637 / GILL $9,602.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-15)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$136.1B
Total Awards
71%
Defense ($236.4M)
28,304,596
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Security Guards and Patrol Ser · $232.9M Irradiation Apparatus Manufact · $57.0M Passenger Car Rental · $13.2M Commercial and Institutional B · $10.1M Facilities Support Services · $3.4M Roofing Contractors · $3.3M
Recipient Amount
HIDALGO COUNTY HEADSTART PROGRAM
$73.2M
THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS RIO GRANDE VALLE
$60.1M
TEXAS STATE UNIVERSITY
$52.2M
REGION ONE EDUCATION SRV CENTER
$32.5M
TEXAS GENERAL LAND OFFICE
$21.7M
COMMUNITY ACTION, INC. OF CENTRAL TEXAS
$14.2M
CITY OF MCALLEN
$13.6M
BIG BEND CONSERVATION ALLIANCE
$12.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
De La Cruz (R)
$4.2M
$2.3M
39%
59%
Financial Breakdown
De La Cruz (R)
Total Raised
$4,240,747
Cash on Hand
$2,334,446
Disbursements
$2,520,271
Individual Contributions
$2,592,789
PAC Contributions
$541,785
Small Dollar %
39.4%
Burn Rate
59.4%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Texas
Partisan Lean R+11
↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results
2020 R+5.6
2016 R+9.0
2012 R+15.8
2008 R+11.8
2004 R+22.9
Senate Results
2020 R+9.6
2018 R+2.6
2014 R+27.2
2012 R+15.9