Pennsylvania 7th — Election Intelligence

🧠 Race Intelligence

Safe D

Signal Alignment DEM at 100%

Data Signals

Voter Registration

DEM

D+168,000 (1.9%) (GOP gaining 188,000 registration edge since 2024-11)

📈 Perry: Net IE: +206K

📈 REP candidates: GOP gaining 188,000 registration edge since 2024-11

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

HMP

Opposing Perry

$24.7M

STRONGER TOGETHER PA

Supporting Brooks

$17.8M

HMP

Opposing Mackenzie

$13.5M

HMP

Opposing Fitzpatrick

$12.3M

HMP

Opposing Bresnahan

$11.8M

FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND

Opposing Perry

$10.4M

NO GOING BACK PAC INC.

Opposing Stelson

$7.9M

LCV VICTORY FUND

Opposing Perry

$7.5M

PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE

Opposing Perry

$6.4M

EDF ACTION VOTES

Opposing Perry

$5.6M

🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A

Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.

FITZPATRICK (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)

KKR

$42K (12)

ENTREPRENEUR

$23K (8)

GAMECHANGE SOLAR

$19K (10)

NEW YORK LIFE

$16K (7)

APOLLO

$16K (7)

ICI HOMES

$14K (6)

SABER HEALTHCARE GROUP

$14K (4)

STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES

$14K (4)

SHADE TREE ADVISORS

$14K (4)

CROW HOLDINGS

$14K (4)

BRESNAHAN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)

STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES

$14K (4)

WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT

$14K (4)

VALMORE GP

$13K (5)

DISTRIBUTED CAPITAL PARTNERS

$12K (4)

JANE STREET

$10K (3)

BLUFF POINT ASSOCIATES

$10K (3)

ONVO RACEWAY MANAGEMENT COMPANY

$10K (4)

RHL COMPANIES

$9K (6)

TFP LIMITED

$8K (11)

ENERGY TRANSFER PARTNERS

$8K (3)

PERRY (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)

STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES

$14K (4)

VALMORE GP

$13K (4)

ENERGY TRANSFER PARTNERS

$8K (3)

CONTINENTAL INVESTORS

$8K (3)

SILVER VENTURES

$8K (3)

MOUNTAIRE

$7K (2)

SILVER EAGLE DISTRIBUTORS

$7K (2)

BLATTNER ENERGY

$7K (2)

GRANITE TELECOMMUNICATIONS

$7K (2)

CROWNQUEST OPERATING

$7K (2)

RESCHENTHALER (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)

FUNDING METRICS

$14K (4)

TITAN ROBOTICS

$14K (9)

MP MATERIALS

$13K (5)

GOLDEN POND

$10K (2)

CAPITAL CITY CONSULTING

$10K (4)

CDL NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGIES

$8K (3)

ATLANTIC GULF PACIFIC MANAGEMENT

$7K (2)

COLE CONTRACTING

$7K (2)

THE RESCHINI AGENCY

$7K (3)

J W CHILDS ASSOCIATES

$7K (2)

MACKENZIE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)

STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES

$14K (4)

WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT

$14K (4)

VALMORE GP

$13K (5)

A10 ASSOCIATES

$11K (8)

CONTINENTAL INVESTORS

$9K (4)

ENERGY TRANSFER PARTNERS

$8K (3)

ULINE

$8K (3)

BLACKSTONE

$7K (2)

STATION CASINOS

$7K (2)

HENDRICKS HOLDING CO

$7K (2)

STELSON (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)

UCSF

$14K (4)

NO EMPLOYER

$12K (6)

Q PRIME

$10K (3)

CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS

$8K (3)

GOODNIGHT HOSPITALITY

$7K (2)

DESIMONE ENTERPRISE GROUP

$7K (2)

ELECTRADX

$7K (2)

NIERENBERG INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT

$7K (2)

JANESTREET

$7K (2)

ISAAC KAUFER

$7K (3)

DELUZIO (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)

LAROCHE UNIVERSITY

$7K (2)

MASS GENERAL HOSPITAL

$7K (2)

GLENVILLE GROUP

$7K (2)

DE SHAW

$7K (2)

THE LAW OFFICE OF RONALD W. FRANK

$7K (2)

INSTITUTE ON RACE POWER & POLITICAL EC

$7K (2)

MORGAN LEWIS

$7K (2)

PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES LOBBY+DONATE

$7K (2)

Q PRIME

$7K (2)

MOELIS & COMPANY

$7K (2)

JOYCE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)

DEGOL INDUSTRIES

$19K (7)

ROBINDALE ENERGY

$14K (4)

MARTIN'S FAMOUS PASTRY SHOPPE

$14K (4)

SHEETZ

$12K (5)

MAXWELL TRANSPORTATION

$11K (4)

PACE-O-MATIC

$10K (3)

ALSTON BIRD

$10K (9)

SELECT MEDICAL

$10K (3)

CARDIOLOGY ASSOCIATES OF ALTOONA

$10K (5)

AEY GLOBAL

$10K (3)

🔀 36 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES: FITZPATRICK $14,000 / BRESNAHAN $14,000 / PERRY $14,000 / MACKENZIE $14,000. VALMORE GP: BRESNAHAN $13,143 / PERRY $12,817 / MACKENZIE $13,143. ENTREPRENEUR: FITZPATRICK $22,982 / MACKENZIE $7,000.

Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence

Federal Spending Context (CD-07)

Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov

$123.1B

Total Awards

2%

Defense ($4.1M)

12,805,537

Population

Top Industries & Recipients ▾

Surgical and Medical Instrumen · $82.0M Heavy Duty Truck Manufacturing · $58.2M Construction Machinery Manufac · $48.6M Industrial Gas Manufacturing · $24.7M Surgical Appliance and Supplie · $15.2M Electromedical and Electrother · $13.2M

Recipient Amount

OLYMPUS AMERICA INC

$198.6M

AIR PRODUCTS AND CHEMICALS, INC

$162.7M

MACK DEFENSE LLC

$107.6M

LEHIGH UNIVERSITY

$32.2M

LEHIGH NORTHAMPTON AIRPORT AUTHORITY

$22.3M

KIDSPEACE CORPORATION

$17.5M

LEHIGH & NORTHAMPTON TRANSPORTATION AUTH

$16.6M

COMMUNITY SERVICES FOR CHILDREN INC

$13.2M

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Brooks (D)

—

$5.3M

$742K

28%

86%

$28.8M

$11.3M

Financial Breakdown

Brooks (D)

Total Raised

$5,347,353

Cash on Hand

$741,579

Disbursements

$4,605,775

Individual Contributions

$4,181,508

PAC Contributions

$634,750

Small Dollar %

27.9%

Burn Rate

86.1%

Net IE Advantage

+$17.5M

📜 Historical Context — Pennsylvania

Partisan Lean R+3

↘ Trending R+4

PA has a partisan lean of R+3. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 4 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results

2020 D+1.2

2016 R+0.7

2012 D+5.4

2008 D+10.3

2004 D+2.5

Senate Results

2018 D+12.9

2016 R+1.5

2012 D+9.1

2010 R+2.0