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House · Pennsylvania · General Election

Pennsylvania 1st

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: May 19, 2026

C: Lean D S: Lean D I: Lean D

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026 04:51 AM

Poll Leader

No polls

0 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

$16.4M

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

$408K

Independent expenditures

Corporate Influence

$90K

9 lobbying clients

🧠 Race Intelligence

Safe D

Signal Alignment DEM at 100%

Data Signals

Voter Registration

DEM

D+168,000 (1.9%) (GOP gaining 188,000 registration edge since 2024-11)

Expert Ratings

DEM

Lean D (unanimous) — Cook: Lean D / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Lean D

📈 Perry: Net IE: +206K

📈 REP candidates: GOP gaining 188,000 registration edge since 2024-11

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION

Supporting Perry

$130K

CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC

Supporting Perry

$84K

FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND

Supporting Perry

$43K

SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC

Supporting Stelson

$38K

WELCOMEPAC

Supporting Perry

$34K

HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION

Supporting Stelson

$25K

YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC

Supporting Perry

$13K

SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UN

Supporting Deluzio

$12K

YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC

Opposing Mackenzie

$12K

CASA IN ACTION PAC

Supporting Stelson

$3K

🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline

Companies spending $536K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $90K in campaign spending in this race.

Corporate Clients

$536K

Lobbying Spend

$90K

Campaign Spending

Lobbyists

Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race

🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 💰 Finance & Banking

Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate

NATIONAL TREASURY EMPLOYEES UNION 🏥 🛡️ 💰

$300K

$12K

DELUZIO

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS ⚡

$130K

$12K

DELUZIO

CASA, INC.

$40K

$3K

STELSON

Y 🏥

$30K

$12K

DELUZIO

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS

$16K

$12K

DELUZIO

ATI, INC.

$10K

$12K

DELUZIO

ACT INC 🛡️

$10K

$2K

BRESNAHAN

INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE UNION ⚡

$12K

DELUZIO

Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Bresnahan (R)

—

$3.0M

$1.4M

30%

54%

—

$2K

Perry (R)

—

$2.9M

$1.7M

49%

45%

$258K

$51K

Reschenthaler (R)

—

$2.6M

$764K

45%

92%

—

Mackenzie (R)

—

$2.6M

$1.8M

39%

33%

—

$17K

Stelson (D)

—

$2.2M

$1.5M

24%

31%

$39K

$28K

Deluzio (D)

—

$1.6M

$941K

34%

63%

$14K

—

Joyce (R)

—

$1.6M

$3.3M

56%

—

Fitzpatrick (R)

—

Financial Breakdown

Bresnahan (R)

Total Raised

$2,998,394

Cash on Hand

$1,437,138

Disbursements

$1,614,409

Individual Contributions

$1,150,836

PAC Contributions

$823,677

Small Dollar %

29.8%

Burn Rate

53.8%

Net IE Advantage

$-2K

Perry (R)

Total Raised

$2,880,657

Cash on Hand

$1,662,491

Disbursements

$1,300,085

Individual Contributions

$1,684,472

PAC Contributions

$396,627

Small Dollar %

48.9%

Burn Rate

45.1%

Net IE Advantage

+$206K

Reschenthaler (R)

Total Raised

$2,615,688

Cash on Hand

$764,372

Disbursements

$2,400,397

Individual Contributions

$1,551,586

PAC Contributions

$673,500

Small Dollar %

45.0%

Burn Rate

91.8%

Net IE Advantage

Mackenzie (R)

Total Raised

$2,577,819

Cash on Hand

$1,830,988

Disbursements

$850,071

Individual Contributions

$958,995

PAC Contributions

$627,618

Small Dollar %

38.7%

Burn Rate

33.0%

Net IE Advantage

$-17K

Stelson (D)

Total Raised

$2,195,894

Cash on Hand

$1,520,707

Disbursements

$690,424

Individual Contributions

$1,934,677

PAC Contributions

$201,556

Small Dollar %

23.8%

Burn Rate

31.4%

Net IE Advantage

+$11K

Deluzio (D)

Total Raised

$1,587,844

Cash on Hand

$941,302

Disbursements

$1,000,214

Individual Contributions

$1,229,088

PAC Contributions

$320,850

Small Dollar %

33.5%

Burn Rate

63.0%

Net IE Advantage

+$14K

Joyce (R)

Total Raised

$1,585,136

Cash on Hand

$3,305,791

Disbursements

$879,483

Individual Contributions

$284,137

PAC Contributions

$825,077

Small Dollar %

0.5%

Burn Rate

55.5%

Net IE Advantage

📜 Historical Context — Pennsylvania

Partisan Lean R+3

↘ Trending R+4

PA has a partisan lean of R+3. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 4 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results

2020 D+1.2

2016 R+0.7

2012 D+5.4

2008 D+10.3

2004 D+2.5

Senate Results

2018 D+12.9

2016 R+1.5

2012 D+9.1

2010 R+2.0

Pennsylvania 1st

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