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Senate · Oregon · General Election

Oregon Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 03, 2026 09:35 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$4.7M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$25K
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$25K
3 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
REVIVE OREGON
Supporting Smith
$25K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
98%
DEM Price
→ 0.0% 7d
3%
REP Price
→ -12.5% 7d
$7K
Total Volume
24h: $0
0.1%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +1.3% 30d REP: -12.5%
DEM 98% 98%98%97% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
REP 3% 4%3%2% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
Spread: 0.6% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $25K in campaign spending in this race.
3
Corporate Clients
$10K
Lobbying Spend
$25K
Campaign Spending
3
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$120
MERKLEY
REV LLC
$0
$25K
SMITH
AC, INC.
$0
$120
MERKLEY
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
MERKLEY (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)
CORSON & JOHNSON
$14K (7)
TEACHING STRATEGIES
$14K (4)
POWELL'S BOOKS
$7K (2)
WALKUP MELODIA
$7K (2)
UNITED GROUP
$7K (2)
AGRI-STAR
$7K (2)
BLUE BASIN BEEF
$7K (2)
SSI SHREDDING SYSTEMS
$7K (2)
THE GROUND
$7K (2)
OVERJET
$7K (3)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$25.9B
Total Awards
36%
Defense ($581.8M)
4,142,776
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ship Building and Repairing · $524.6M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $268.6M Support Activities for Forestr · $245.3M Deep Sea Freight Transportatio · $110.7M Nonscheduled Chartered Freight · $109.2M Commercial and Institutional B · $90.2M
Recipient Amount
OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY
$22.3B
OREGON DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$1.2B
OREGON DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$1.1B
OREGON DEPARTMENT OF HUMAN SERVICES
$804.7M
VIGOR MARINE LLC
$613.3M
OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY
$414.2M
OREGON MILITARY DEPARTMENT
$289.5M
OREGON DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL QUALI
$279.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Merkley (D)
—
$4.5M
$6.8M
30%
44%
$120
—
Smith (R)
—
$121K
$29K
32%
76%
$25K
—
Financial Breakdown
Merkley (D)
Total Raised
$4,540,974
Cash on Hand
$6,828,404
Disbursements
$1,979,569
Individual Contributions
$3,538,522
PAC Contributions
$477,520
Small Dollar %
29.9%
Burn Rate
43.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$120
Smith (R)
Total Raised
$120,760
Cash on Hand
$28,980
Disbursements
$91,781
Individual Contributions
$109,689
PAC Contributions
$11,000
Small Dollar %
31.6%
Burn Rate
76.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$25K