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Senate · Ohio · General Election

Ohio Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Jul 06, 2026 11:32 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$41.6M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$8.5M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$22.2M
27 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Polls
REP
Husted +1.4
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $8.6M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Husted: Net IE: +1.2M
📉 Brown: Net IE: -419K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
OHIO FLYER PAC
Opposing Brown
$1.3M
Supporting Husted
$1.2M
Opposing Brown
$836K
Supporting Husted
$501K
Supporting Husted
$93K
FORWARD BLUE
Opposing Brown
$16K
Supporting Husted
$15K
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION
Opposing Brown
$11K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
48%
DEM Price
-16.5% 7d
53%
REP Price
+23.3% 7d
$98K
Total Volume
24h: $1K
0.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -13.5% 30d REP: +19.1%
DEM 48% 58%53%48% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
REP 53% 53%48%42% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
Spread: 2.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Normal
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 51%
🔵 6 DEM whales ($6K)  ·  🔴 6 REP whales ($5K) · 4 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
Ryxon21
DEM
$2K
43¢ → 48¢ (+$160)
OkaneKasegu
DEM
$2K
42¢ → 48¢ (+$184)
bernardbulletin
REP
$1K
Polyticks
DEM
$1K
48¢ → 48¢ ($0)
ArmageddonRewardsBil
REP
$996
Sayl7Seas
REP
$750
nnimrodd
DEM
$688
55¢ → 48¢ (-$95)
Silu1987
DEM
$638
45¢ → 48¢ (+$45)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $15.6M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $22.2M in campaign spending in this race.
27
Corporate Clients
$15.6M
Lobbying Spend
$22.2M
Campaign Spending
147
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🤖 Tech & AI ⚡ Energy & Utilities
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY 🛡️ 🤖 ⚡
$3.4M
$1.5M
BROWN
CLEARPATH ACTION FOR CONSERVATIVE CLEAN ENERGY, INC. ⚡ 🤖
$2.8M
$93K
Husted
SB GROUP US, INC. DBA SOFTBANK GROUP US, INC. 🤖 ⚡ 🛡️
$2.7M
$1.5M
BROWN
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED 🤖 🏥 🏭
$1.4M
$11K
BROWN
AMERICAN NURSES ASSOCIATION 🏥
$1.2M
$11K
BROWN
NOTARIZE, INC. DBA PROOF.COM 🤖 🛡️ 💰
$610K
$1.5M
BROWN
CLEARPATH ACTION FUND FOR CONSERVATIVE CLEAN ENERGY, INC.
$450K
$93K
Husted
CLEAR 🛡️
$450K
$93K
Husted
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Husted (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
MARATHON PETROLEUM
$44K (25)
CENTENE
$27K (20)
EMBASSY HEALTHCARE
$27K (12)
RDV
$26K (12)
PRESTON SUPERSTORE
$21K (4)
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS
$21K (9)
SHERMAN CAPITAL MARKETS
$21K (6)
WELTY BUILDING COMPANY
$21K (6)
THE CONNOR GROUP
$21K (6)
NOVAGARD SOLUTIONS
$21K (6)
Brown (DEM) Top employer groups
FRIENDS OF SHERROD BROWN
$567 (1)
DAVID D. BRILLER CO. LPA
$470 (20)
AMERICAN CLASSICAL LEAGUE
$300 (6)
BBB CENTRAL OHIO
$300 (12)
SENSAITIN RESEARCH VENTURES
$250 (1)
HOUSE STRATEGY
$250 (1)
NET LEASE CAPITAL ADVISORS
$250 (1)
CITY OF SHAKER HEIGHTS
$250 (1)
CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY
$250 (1)
ORIANA HOUSE
$250 (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$56.0B
Total Awards
32%
Defense ($2.1B)
11,658,609
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Research and Development in th · $1.8B Aircraft Engine and Engine Par · $1.0B Petroleum Refineries · $787.5M Remediation Services · $779.0M Other Computer Related Service · $483.4M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $415.9M
Recipient Amount
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF MEDICAID
$43.4B
TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC
$9.7B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$3.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF JOB & FAMILY SERVICES
$2.1B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT
$1.6B
DEPARTMENT OF CHILDREN AND YOUTH SERVICE
$1.3B
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY
$1.3B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Brown (D)
$26.0M
$17.0M
46%
34%
$35K
$3.7M
Husted (R)
$10.5M
$8.2M
27%
22%
$4.8M
$23K
Ode (D)
$5.0M
$32K
99%
Levy (I)
$58K
$32K
46%
48%
Financial Breakdown
Brown (D)
Total Raised
$25,979,968
Cash on Hand
$17,028,642
Disbursements
$8,951,326
Individual Contributions
$21,053,052
PAC Contributions
$713,023
Small Dollar %
45.9%
Burn Rate
34.5%
Net IE Advantage
$-3.7M
Total Raised
$10,527,814
Cash on Hand
$8,167,482
Disbursements
$2,360,332
Individual Contributions
$4,296,470
PAC Contributions
$1,755,385
Small Dollar %
27.3%
Burn Rate
22.4%
Net IE Advantage
+$4.8M
Ode (D)
Total Raised
$5,001,939
Cash on Hand
$31,744
Disbursements
$4,970,194
Individual Contributions
$5,000,000
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
0.0%
Burn Rate
99.4%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Levy (I)
Total Raised
$57,815
Cash on Hand
$31,999
Disbursements
$27,571
Individual Contributions
$57,810
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
45.8%
Burn Rate
47.7%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Ohio
Partisan Lean R+11
↘ Trending R+8

OH has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 8 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results
2020 R+8.1
2016 R+8.1
2012 D+3.0
2008 D+4.6
2004 R+2.1
Senate Results
2018 D+6.8
2016 R+20.8
2012 D+6.0
2010 R+17.4