← Back to Elections Dashboard
Senate · Ohio · General Election

Ohio Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$93.5M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$3.0B
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$2.1B
20 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Polls
REP
Husted +1.4
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $8.6M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Husted: Net IE: +1.2M
📉 Brown: Net IE: -419K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Opposing Brown
$811.9M
WINSENATE
Opposing Husted
$540.7M
Opposing Husted
$256.3M
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.
Opposing Brown
$187.2M
Opposing Brown
$177.0M
75 PAC
Opposing Brown
$132.7M
DUTY AND COUNTRY
Opposing Husted
$95.6M
WINSENATE
Opposing Brown
$81.0M
LOWER COSTS NOW
Opposing Husted
$69.4M
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
74%
DEM Price
→ +10.5% 7d
26%
REP Price
→ -20.9% 7d
$2.5M
Total Volume
24h: $137K
0.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +23.5% 30d REP: -34.6%
DEM 74% 74%66%58% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
REP 26% 42%34%26% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: DEM 60%
🔵 4 DEM whales ($109K)  ·  🔴 4 REP whales ($45K) · 6 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
lastminwin
DEM
$42K
—
Melody626
DEM
$25K
—
ScottyNooo
DEM
$22K
—
botbot
DEM
$20K
—
studentgameer
REP
$13K
—
Do-Not-Redeem
REP
$11K
—
Railcool
REP
$10K
—
MTD
REP
$10K
—
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $11.2M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $2.1B in campaign spending in this race.
20
Corporate Clients
$11.2M
Lobbying Spend
$2.1B
Campaign Spending
115
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🤖 Tech & AI 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY 🛡️ 🤖 🏭
$5.0M
$70.6M
Husted
SB GROUP US, INC. DBA SOFTBANK GROUP US, INC. 🤖 ⚡ 🛡️
$3.3M
$70.6M
Husted
NOTARIZE, INC. DBA PROOF.COM 🛡️ 🤖 💰
$820K
$70.6M
Husted
PAYWARD, INC. DBA KRAKEN 💰
$390K
$70.6M
Husted
CHATTEM, INC. DBA OPELLA 🏥 🏭 💰
$360K
$70.6M
Husted
ZESTFINANCE, INC. DBA ZEST AI 💰
$270K
$70.6M
Husted
MAPLEBEAR INC. DBA INSTACART 🏥
$240K
$70.6M
Husted
Y 🏥
$210K
$70.6M
Husted
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Husted (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
MARATHON PETROLEUM
$44K (25)
CENTENE
$27K (20)
EMBASSY HEALTHCARE
$27K (12)
RDV
$26K (12)
PRESTON SUPERSTORE
$21K (4)
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS
$21K (9)
SHERMAN CAPITAL MARKETS
$21K (6)
WELTY BUILDING COMPANY
$21K (6)
THE CONNOR GROUP
$21K (6)
NOVAGARD SOLUTIONS
$21K (6)
Brown (DEM) Top employer groups
FRIENDS OF SHERROD BROWN
$567 (1)
DAVID D. BRILLER CO. LPA
$470 (20)
AMERICAN CLASSICAL LEAGUE
$300 (6)
BBB CENTRAL OHIO
$300 (12)
SENSAITIN RESEARCH VENTURES
$250 (1)
HOUSE STRATEGY
$250 (1)
NET LEASE CAPITAL ADVISORS
$250 (1)
CITY OF SHAKER HEIGHTS
$250 (1)
CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY
$250 (1)
ORIANA HOUSE
$250 (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$56.0B
Total Awards
32%
Defense ($2.1B)
11,658,609
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Research and Development in th · $1.8B Aircraft Engine and Engine Par · $1.0B Petroleum Refineries · $787.5M Remediation Services · $779.0M Other Computer Related Service · $483.4M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $415.9M
Recipient Amount
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF MEDICAID
$43.4B
TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC
$9.7B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$3.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF JOB & FAMILY SERVICES
$2.1B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT
$1.6B
DEPARTMENT OF CHILDREN AND YOUTH SERVICE
$1.3B
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY
$1.3B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Brown (D)
—
$68.4M
$4.5M
39%
94%
$177.0M
$1.6B
Husted (R)
—
$19.9M
$4.2M
30%
79%
$417.1M
$889.7M
Ode (D)
—
$5.0M
$25K
—
100%
—
—
Levy (I)
—
$133K
$27K
45%
81%
$1.7M
—
Redpath (L)
—
$55K
$8K
12%
85%
$1.9M
—
Financial Breakdown
Brown (D)
Total Raised
$68,409,200
Cash on Hand
$4,452,803
Disbursements
$63,956,397
Individual Contributions
$57,861,942
PAC Contributions
$1,055,783
Small Dollar %
38.8%
Burn Rate
93.5%
Net IE Advantage
$-1.4B
Total Raised
$19,894,786
Cash on Hand
$4,239,097
Disbursements
$15,655,689
Individual Contributions
$9,843,193
PAC Contributions
$2,733,610
Small Dollar %
29.6%
Burn Rate
78.7%
Net IE Advantage
$-472.7M
Ode (D)
Total Raised
$5,001,939
Cash on Hand
$24,799
Disbursements
$4,977,140
Individual Contributions
$5,000,000
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
0.0%
Burn Rate
99.5%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Levy (I)
Total Raised
$132,712
Cash on Hand
$26,916
Disbursements
$107,925
Individual Contributions
$131,646
PAC Contributions
$1,000
Small Dollar %
44.9%
Burn Rate
81.3%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.7M
Redpath (L)
Total Raised
$55,256
Cash on Hand
$8,255
Disbursements
$47,000
Individual Contributions
$29,063
PAC Contributions
$1,723
Small Dollar %
11.8%
Burn Rate
85.1%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.9M
📜 Historical Context — Ohio
Partisan Lean R+11
↘ Trending R+8

OH has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 8 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results
2020 R+8.1
2016 R+8.1
2012 D+3.0
2008 D+4.6
2004 R+2.1
Senate Results
2018 D+6.8
2016 R+20.8
2012 D+6.0
2010 R+17.4