← Back to Elections Dashboard
Senate · Ohio · General Election

Ohio Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: May 5, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
Husted +2.6
2 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$0
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Polls
REP
Husted +1.4
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $8.6M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Husted: Net IE: +1.2M
📉 Brown: Net IE: -419K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
57%
DEM Price
0.0% 7d
42%
REP Price
0.0% 7d
$71K
Total Volume
24h: $94
0.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +7.5% 30d REP: -8.6%
DEM 57% 60%57%53% Mar 25Apr 09Apr 25
REP 42% 47%43%39% Mar 25Apr 07Apr 25
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🟢
Mild Divergence
Market 4¢ above polls
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 52%
🔵 4 DEM whales ($4K)  ·  🔴 4 REP whales ($3K) · 6 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
bernardbulletin
REP
$1K
38¢ → 42¢ (+$120)
Ryxon21
DEM
$1K
Polyticks
DEM
$997
ArmageddonRewardsBil
REP
$846
58¢ → 42¢ (-$304)
Silu1987
DEM
$665
gopfan2
DEM
$629
DkOYL
REP
$469
0xb7996520718a203d8E
REP
$425
41¢ → 42¢ (+$15)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Husted (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
MARATHON PETROLEUM
$44K (25)
CENTENE
$27K (20)
EMBASSY HEALTHCARE
$27K (12)
RDV
$26K (12)
PRESTON SUPERSTORE
$21K (4)
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS
$21K (9)
SHERMAN CAPITAL MARKETS
$21K (6)
WELTY BUILDING COMPANY
$21K (6)
THE CONNOR GROUP
$21K (6)
NOVAGARD SOLUTIONS
$21K (6)
Brown (DEM) Top employer groups
FRIENDS OF SHERROD BROWN
$567 (1)
DAVID D. BRILLER CO. LPA
$470 (20)
AMERICAN CLASSICAL LEAGUE
$300 (6)
BBB CENTRAL OHIO
$300 (12)
SENSAITIN RESEARCH VENTURES
$250 (1)
HOUSE STRATEGY
$250 (1)
NET LEASE CAPITAL ADVISORS
$250 (1)
CITY OF SHAKER HEIGHTS
$250 (1)
CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY
$250 (1)
ORIANA HOUSE
$250 (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$56.0B
Total Awards
32%
Defense ($2.1B)
11,658,609
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Research and Development in th · $1.8B Aircraft Engine and Engine Par · $1.0B Petroleum Refineries · $787.5M Remediation Services · $779.0M Other Computer Related Service · $483.4M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $415.9M
Recipient Amount
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF MEDICAID
$43.4B
TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC
$9.7B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$3.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.5B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF JOB & FAMILY SERVICES
$2.1B
OHIO DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT
$1.6B
DEPARTMENT OF CHILDREN AND YOUTH SERVICE
$1.3B
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY
$1.3B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Husted (R)
48.3%
Brown (D)
45.7%
📜 Historical Context — Ohio
Partisan Lean R+11
↘ Trending R+8

OH has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 8 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results
2020 R+8.1
2016 R+8.1
2012 D+3.0
2008 D+4.6
2004 R+2.1
Senate Results
2018 D+6.8
2016 R+20.8
2012 D+6.0
2010 R+17.4