← Back to Elections Dashboard
House · Ohio · General Election

Ohio 9th

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean D S: Lean D I: Lean D
Last updated: Oct 24, 2026 09:15 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$5.9M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$8.6M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$8.4M
14 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
DEM
Lean D (unanimous) — Cook: Lean D / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Lean D
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Miller
$5.1M
YOUR COMMUNITY PAC
Opposing Miller
$2.0M
HMP
Opposing Carey
$2.0M
Supporting Poindexter
$1.6M
HMP
Supporting Kaptur
$1.5M
Supporting Kaptur
$1.4M
AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIP
Supporting Kaptur
$1.2M
RED BRIDGE LEADERSHIP PAC
Supporting Conroy
$1.1M
YOUR COMMUNITY PAC
Opposing Carey
$951K
AB PAC
Opposing Miller
$934K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $7.1M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $8.4M in campaign spending in this race.
14
Corporate Clients
$7.1M
Lobbying Spend
$8.4M
Campaign Spending
39
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES 🏥 🏭 🛡️
$4.8M
$584K
KAPTUR
UP FOR GROWTH ACTION INC 💰 🏥 🏭
$580K
$706K
KAPTUR
NATIONAL FEDERATION OF FEDERAL EMPLOYEES
$315K
$584K
KAPTUR
NATIONAL CLUB ASSOCIATION 🏥
$260K
$706K
KAPTUR
ATI INC. 🏭 🛡️
$250K
$584K
KAPTUR
THE ONTARIO MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM (OMERS) ADMINISTRATION CORP.
$230K
$584K
KAPTUR
Y 🏥
$210K
$584K
KAPTUR
THE AMERICAN CLUB 💰 🏥
$180K
$706K
KAPTUR
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
JORDAN (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)
CEO
$34K (12)
PHILANTHROPIST
$14K (4)
EXECUTIVE
$12K (5)
LAWYER
$12K (4)
PHYSICIAN
$12K (4)
CHAIRMAN
$10K (3)
REAL ESTATE
$10K (4)
PARTNER
$8K (3)
CEO/FOUNDER
$7K (2)
PRESIDENT
$7K (2)
CAREY (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)
GAMECHANGE SOLAR
$37K (18)
CARESOURCE
$21K (9)
ACNR
$18K (17)
AEP
$14K (10)
JAVELIN GLOBAL COMMODITIES
$14K (4)
HASLAM SPORTS GROUP
$14K (4)
ROSEBUD MINING
$14K (4)
BLACKSTONE
$14K (7)
KIMBALL MIDWEST
$12K (5)
IRON SENERGY
$12K (4)
SYKES (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups
CAPITAL GROUP
$8K (3)
THE BAUPOST GROUP
$7K (2)
ABELSONTAYLOR
$7K (2)
Q PRIME
$7K (2)
INTRAFI
$7K (2)
PIVOTAL VENTURES
$7K (2)
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
MEDIQUANT
$7K (2)
STREAM LINE CIRCLE
$7K (2)
SUMMA
$7K (2)
LANDSMAN (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)
REMINGTON ROAD GROUP
$14K (5)
CHAVEZ PROPERTIES
$14K (4)
UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI
$14K (25)
THE UROLOGY GROUP
$14K (26)
BGR GROUP
$10K (14)
BLACKSTONE
$10K (4)
BODY MIND BALANCE
$7K (2)
BERG ASSOCIATES
$7K (2)
PARKING COMPANY OF AMERICA
$7K (2)
C-FORWARD
$7K (2)
KAPTUR (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
NO EMPLOYER
$20K (20)
PARKER STEEL COMPANY
$8K (2)
CMDC
$8K (3)
INTRAFI
$7K (2)
THE BAUPOST GROUP
$7K (2)
STEPHEN MCNALLY
$7K (2)
RING FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
ABELSONTAYLOR
$7K (2)
TAWANI ENTERPRISES
$7K (2)
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
MILLER (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
KKR
$35K (10)
MARQUIS MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
MILLER STRATEGIES
$14K (10)
GBX GROUP
$12K (13)
BGR GROUP
$12K (11)
GROSS BUILDERS
$7K (4)
STEIN DESIGN TEAM
$7K (2)
REGENCY CENTERS
$7K (4)
FRP HOLDINGS
$7K (2)
LEGEND HEADWEAR
$7K (2)
BALDERSON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
ARIEL
$25K (6)
KIMBLE COMPANIES
$15K (6)
BLACKSTONE
$7K (2)
ZEMBA COMPANIES
$7K (2)
ARNOLD VENTURES
$7K (2)
BI-CON SERVICES
$7K (2)
OK COAL & CONCRETE
$7K (2)
ARTEX OIL COMPANY
$7K (2)
SOUTHEASTERN EQUIPMENT COMPANY
$6K (4)
MEADOWBROOK HIGH SCHOOL
$6K (2)
LATTA (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
MISSION STRATEGIES
$9K (6)
RW BECKETT
$7K (4)
ARNOLD VENTURES
$7K (2)
CLEAR PATH FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
COOPER FARMS
$7K (2)
PROFICIO
$7K (2)
COOPER FARMS HATCHERY
$7K (2)
CROWN EQUIPMENT
$7K (3)
PARKER STEEL
$7K (2)
BARD MFG.
$7K (2)
🔀 18 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
BLACKSTONE: CAREY $14,000 / LANDSMAN $10,000 / BALDERSON $7,000. BGR GROUP: LANDSMAN $10,250 / MILLER $12,000 / BALDERSON $5,300. HASLAM SPORTS GROUP: CAREY $14,000 / MILLER $7,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-09)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$56.0B
Total Awards
11,658,609
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
No industry data
Recipient Amount
ANDERSONS INC
$36.4M
MOBIS NORTH AMERICA LLC
$32.6M
LUCAS METROPOLITAN HOUSING AUTHORITY
$32.5M
GREAT LAKES COMMUNITY ACTION PARTNERSHIP
$31.0M
STATE OF OHIO
$29.2M
TOLEDO PUBLIC SCHOOLS
$26.8M
CITY OF TOLEDO
$24.7M
SIERRA LOBO INC
$23.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Kaptur (D)
—
$5.9M
$698K
19%
96%
$4.9M
$3.7M
Financial Breakdown
Kaptur (D)
Total Raised
$5,910,481
Cash on Hand
$697,508
Disbursements
$5,661,900
Individual Contributions
$3,449,873
PAC Contributions
$1,513,619
Small Dollar %
19.3%
Burn Rate
95.8%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.2M
📜 Historical Context — Ohio
Partisan Lean R+11
↘ Trending R+8

OH has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 8 points in recent elections. Senate races have been split 2-2 in the last 4 elections.

Presidential Results
2020 R+8.1
2016 R+8.1
2012 D+3.0
2008 D+4.6
2004 R+2.1
Senate Results
2018 D+6.8
2016 R+20.8
2012 D+6.0
2010 R+17.4