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Senate · New Hampshire · General Election

New Hampshire Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: September 8, 2026

C: Likely D S: Likely D S: Likely D I: Likely D

Last updated: Apr 15, 2026 05:07 AM

Poll Leader

No polls

0 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

$9.3M

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

$1.3M

Independent expenditures

Corporate Influence

$18.5M

17 lobbying clients

🧠 Race Intelligence

Safe D

Signal Alignment DEM at 100%

Data Signals

Money

DEM

DEM $6.6M / REP $0.0M (raised + IE)

Expert Ratings

DEM

Likely D (unanimous) — Cook: Likely D / Sabato: Likely D / Inside: Likely D

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP AC

Supporting Sununu

$1.1M

STRONG AS GRANITE PAC

Supporting Sununu

$131K

🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline

Companies spending $6.7M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $18.5M in campaign spending in this race.

Corporate Clients

$6.7M

Lobbying Spend

$18.5M

Campaign Spending

Lobbyists

Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race

🛡️ Defense & Security 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 💰 Finance & Banking 🤖 Tech & AI

Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate

AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY 🛡️ ⚡ 🤖

$2.6M

$1.1M

SUNUNU

SB GROUP US, INC. DBA SOFTBANK GROUP US, INC. ⚡ 🤖 🛡️

$2.2M

$1.1M

SUNUNU

NOTARIZE, INC. DBA PROOF.COM 🤖 🛡️ 💰

$490K

$1.1M

SUNUNU

ZESTFINANCE, INC. DBA ZEST AI 💰

$240K

$1.1M

SUNUNU

CHATTEM, INC. DBA OPELLA 🏥 🏭

$220K

$1.1M

SUNUNU

PAYWARD, INC. DBA KRAKEN 💰

$210K

$1.1M

SUNUNU

Y 🏥

$150K

$1.1M

SUNUNU

STR

$120K

$131K

SUNUNU

Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.

🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A

Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.

Pappas (DEM) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)

GENTEX

$19K (8)

PURITAN BACKROOM

$15K (6)

JANE STREET CAPITAL

$14K (4)

GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION

$14K (3)

K&L GATES

$14K (6)

WELLS FARGO

$12K (5)

INVARIANT

$12K (8)

CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS

$12K (17)

HARVARD UNIVERSITY

$11K (10)

MEOPTA USA

$10K (4)

Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence

Federal Spending Context (statewide)

Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov

$6.6B

Total Awards

37%

Defense ($971.2M)

1,342,795

Population

Top Industries & Recipients ▾

Small Arms, Ordnance, and Ordn · $480.2M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $440.6M Commercial and Service Industr · $386.4M Guided Missile and Space Vehic · $336.9M Search, Detection, Navigation, · $335.0M Research and Development in th · $227.4M

Recipient Amount

NEW HAMPSHIRE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUM

$3.3B

BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC S

$1.1B

SIG SAUER INC.

$491.3M

NEW HAMPSHIRE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATI

$458.9M

L3 TECHNOLOGIES, INC.

$346.5M

BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION & ELECTRONIC SYS

$325.2M

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION NEW HAMPSHIRE

$300.7M

TRUSTEES OF DARTMOUTH COLLEGE

$172.9M

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Pappas (D)

—

$6.6M

$3.2M

30%

57%

$1K

—

Sununu (R)

—

$1.4M

$1.1M

14%

17%

$1.1M

$131K

Brown (R)

—

$1.3M

$908K

38%

32%

—

Manzur (D)

—

$70K

$14K

47%

80%

—

Sullivan (D)

—

Financial Breakdown

Pappas (D)

Total Raised

$6,552,817

Cash on Hand

$3,237,611

Disbursements

$3,722,790

Individual Contributions

$5,761,544

PAC Contributions

$769,373

Small Dollar %

30.5%

Burn Rate

56.8%

Net IE Advantage

+$1K

Sununu (R)

Total Raised

$1,356,653

Cash on Hand

$1,122,917

Disbursements

$233,736

Individual Contributions

$888,478

PAC Contributions

$204,000

Small Dollar %

13.5%

Burn Rate

17.2%

Net IE Advantage

+$1.0M

Brown (R)

Total Raised

$1,342,972

Cash on Hand

$907,834

Disbursements

$435,138

Individual Contributions

$632,317

PAC Contributions

$130,733

Small Dollar %

38.5%

Burn Rate

32.4%

Net IE Advantage

Manzur (D)

Total Raised

$70,157

Cash on Hand

$13,682

Disbursements

$56,475

Individual Contributions

$69,736

PAC Contributions

Small Dollar %

46.6%

Burn Rate

80.5%

Net IE Advantage

📜 Historical Context — New Hampshire

Partisan Lean D+0

↗ Trending D+2

NH has a partisan lean of D+0. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 2 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+1).

Presidential Results

2020 D+7.3

2016 D+0.3

2012 D+5.6

2008 D+9.6

2004 D+1.4

Senate Results

2020 D+15.6

2016 D+0.2

2014 D+3.3

2010 R+23.3