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Senate · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Likely R S: Lean R I: Likely R
Last updated: Jul 01, 2026 12:51 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$8.7M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$2.6M
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $3.9M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Likely R (split) — Cook: Likely R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Likely R
📈 Ricketts: Net IE: +340K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Supporting Ricketts
$1.4M
Supporting Ricketts
$789K
Supporting Ricketts
$313K
Opposing Osborn
$100K
RED SENATE
Opposing Osborn
$10K
Supporting Ricketts
$10K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
34%
DEM Price
-11.5% 7d
98%
REP Price
+0.6% 7d
$146K
Total Volume
24h: $162
0.5%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -11.5% 30d REP: +1.2%
DEM 34% 44%39%34% May 29Jun 14Jun 29
REP 98% 98%96%94% May 29Jun 14Jun 29
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: DEM 51%
🔵 9 DEM whales ($5K)  ·  🔴 9 REP whales ($6K) · 1 hedged wallet filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
anciano
DEM
$5K
96¢ → 2¢ (-$4,375)
x - 19900
REP
$1K
korda77
REP
$935
carkiller530
REP
$897
BobbyBakedBeans
REP
$780
stout
REP
$750
buoys
REP
$565
26¢ → 28¢ (+$40)
e46m3
REP
$533
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ricketts (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
PEARSON & ASSOCIATES
$357K (303)
HOLTZMAN VOGEL, PLLC
$138K (47)
S-3 GROUP
$124K (75)
U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION
$70K (22)
BUNGE NORTH AMERICA PAC
$37K (17)
KIEWIT
$29K (11)
GREENAMERICAN BIOFUELS
$28K (8)
OPEN AI
$27K (11)
NATIONAL RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION
$25K (11)
SANDHILLS PUBLISHING
$21K (6)
Osborn (IND) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$14K (4)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$10K (4)
BUCHANAN, INGERSOLL & ROONEY, PC
$10K (4)
U.S DEPT. OF HEALTH SERVICES
$10K (3)
PARTNERS FOR CLIMATE ACTION HUDSON VAL
$8K (2)
RICHMOND GLOBAL
$7K (3)
POLARIS PARTNERS
$7K (3)
7WIRE VENTURES
$7K (2)
CAPITAL GROUP
$7K (3)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
18%
Defense ($228.5M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Computer Systems Design Servic · $288.9M Other Activities Related to Cr · $267.3M Other Computer Related Service · $207.7M Engineering Services · $147.5M Commercial and Institutional B · $88.9M Administrative Management and · $74.6M
Recipient Amount
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SE
$7.7B
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION NEBRASKA
$630.0M
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF WATER, ENERGY, AN
$553.7M
NELNET SERVICING LLC
$482.2M
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
METGREEN SOLUTIONS INC
$282.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ricketts (R)
$4.9M
$1.1M
9%
88%
$2.5M
$431
Osborn (I)
$3.9M
$1.1M
42%
72%
$122
$110K
Financial Breakdown
Total Raised
$4,866,649
Cash on Hand
$1,072,535
Disbursements
$4,281,084
Individual Contributions
$1,753,452
PAC Contributions
$1,315,603
Small Dollar %
9.4%
Burn Rate
88.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$2.5M
Osborn (I)
Total Raised
$3,856,315
Cash on Hand
$1,135,152
Disbursements
$2,784,329
Individual Contributions
$3,708,127
PAC Contributions
$78,742
Small Dollar %
41.6%
Burn Rate
72.2%
Net IE Advantage
$-110K
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6