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Senate · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Likely R S: Lean R I: Likely R
Last updated: Aug 03, 2026 10:40 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$17.0M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$3.6M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$3.8M
22 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $3.9M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Likely R (split) — Cook: Likely R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Likely R
📈 Ricketts: Net IE: +340K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Supporting Ricketts
$1.4M
Supporting Ricketts
$789K
WORKING CLASS MAJORITY PAC, INC
Supporting Ricketts
$457K
WORKING CLASS MAJORITY PAC, INC
Supporting Osborn
$457K
Supporting Ricketts
$313K
Supporting Osborn
$200K
RED SENATE
Supporting Osborn
$10K
Supporting Ricketts
$10K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
26%
DEM Price
-3.6% 7d
100%
REP Price
0.0% 7d
$185K
Total Volume
24h: $1K
1.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -22.1% 30d REP: +2.0%
DEM 26% 40%32%24% Jul 02Jul 17Aug 02
REP 100% 100%99%98% Jul 02Jul 18Aug 02
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $3.7M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $3.8M in campaign spending in this race.
22
Corporate Clients
$3.7M
Lobbying Spend
$3.8M
Campaign Spending
59
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🤖 Tech & AI 🛡️ Defense & Security 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
SIERRA CLUB 🏭 🏥 🤖
$650K
$10
Osborn
UP FOR GROWTH ACTION INC 💰 🏥 🏭
$530K
$10K
Ricketts
PRISON FELLOWSHIP MINISTRIES 🤖
$463K
$1.4M
Ricketts
PEOPLE TEC 🤖 🛡️
$300K
$112
Osborn
PEOPLE FOR THE ETHICAL TREATMENT OF ANIMALS (PETA)
$200K
$112
Osborn
NATIONAL CLUB ASSOCIATION 🏥
$200K
$10K
Ricketts
Y 🏥
$180K
$329K
Ricketts
PEOPLE CENTER, INC. 🤖
$180K
$112
Osborn
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ricketts (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
PEARSON & ASSOCIATES
$357K (303)
HOLTZMAN VOGEL, PLLC
$138K (47)
S-3 GROUP
$124K (75)
U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION
$70K (22)
BUNGE NORTH AMERICA PAC
$37K (17)
KIEWIT
$29K (11)
GREENAMERICAN BIOFUELS
$28K (8)
OPEN AI
$27K (11)
NATIONAL RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION
$25K (11)
SANDHILLS PUBLISHING
$21K (6)
Osborn (IND) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$14K (4)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$10K (4)
BUCHANAN, INGERSOLL & ROONEY, PC
$10K (4)
U.S DEPT. OF HEALTH SERVICES
$10K (3)
PARTNERS FOR CLIMATE ACTION HUDSON VAL
$8K (2)
RICHMOND GLOBAL
$7K (3)
POLARIS PARTNERS
$7K (3)
7WIRE VENTURES
$7K (2)
CAPITAL GROUP
$7K (3)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
18%
Defense ($228.5M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Computer Systems Design Servic · $288.9M Other Activities Related to Cr · $267.3M Other Computer Related Service · $207.7M Engineering Services · $147.5M Commercial and Institutional B · $88.9M Administrative Management and · $74.6M
Recipient Amount
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SE
$7.7B
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION NEBRASKA
$630.0M
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF WATER, ENERGY, AN
$553.7M
NELNET SERVICING LLC
$482.2M
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
METGREEN SOLUTIONS INC
$282.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ricketts (R)
$11.2M
$6.9M
10%
43%
$2.5M
$458K
Osborn (I)
$5.8M
$2.4M
40%
59%
$457K
$210K
Financial Breakdown
Total Raised
$11,233,507
Cash on Hand
$6,910,970
Disbursements
$4,809,506
Individual Contributions
$2,224,230
PAC Contributions
$1,639,815
Small Dollar %
10.4%
Burn Rate
42.8%
Net IE Advantage
+$2.1M
Osborn (I)
Total Raised
$5,751,951
Cash on Hand
$2,421,487
Disbursements
$3,393,630
Individual Contributions
$5,541,908
PAC Contributions
$139,868
Small Dollar %
39.6%
Burn Rate
59.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$247K
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6