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Senate · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Likely R S: Lean R I: Likely R
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$25.6M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$255.3M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$132.6M
25 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
REP
DEM $0.0M / REP $3.9M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Likely R (split) — Cook: Likely R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Likely R
📈 Ricketts: Net IE: +340K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
Opposing Osborn
$53.8M
NEBRASKA VALUES PAC
Opposing Ricketts
$47.2M
SLF PAC
Opposing Osborn
$34.2M
WORKING CLASS MAJORITY PAC, INC
Opposing Osborn
$31.6M
CORNHUSKER MAJORITY
Opposing Osborn
$27.4M
WORKING CLASS MAJORITY PAC, INC
Opposing Ricketts
$10.2M
WIN IT BACK PAC
Opposing Osborn
$8.2M
FREEDOM FROM POLITICS, INC.
Opposing Ricketts
$6.2M
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Opposing Ricketts
$4.2M
THE EDGE ACTION FUND
Opposing Ricketts
$3.3M
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
28%
DEM Price
→ +1.8% 7d
100%
REP Price
→ 0.0% 7d
$2.2M
Total Volume
24h: $149K
1.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +9.6% 30d REP: +0.1%
DEM 28% 32%28%24% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
REP 100% 100%100%100% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 62%
🔵 9 DEM whales ($40)  ·  🔴 9 REP whales ($160K) · 1 hedged wallet filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
dubdubdub2
REP
$47K
71¢ → 72¢ (+$225)
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
REP
$35K
—
BreakTheBank
REP
$23K
69¢ → 72¢ (+$1,257)
lastminwin
REP
$19K
30¢ → 28¢ (-$688)
aenews2
REP
$13K
23¢ → 28¢ (+$2,567)
Loyalty-Crash
REP
$13K
28¢ → 28¢ (+$204)
dromedaryy
REP
$4K
27¢ → 72¢ (+$37,405)
wan123
REP
$3K
28¢ → 72¢ (+$32,400)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $5.3M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $132.6M in campaign spending in this race.
25
Corporate Clients
$5.3M
Lobbying Spend
$132.6M
Campaign Spending
72
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🤖 Tech & AI 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BAJO COHEN AGLIANO, P.A. ON BEHALF OF HEALTH EDGE INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC
$1.1M
$3.3M
Ricketts
KEEPING AMERICAS EDGE 🏥
$710K
$3.3M
Ricketts
PRISON FELLOWSHIP MINISTRIES 🤖
$526K
$4.2M
Ricketts
EDGE AUTONOMY 🤖
$400K
$3.3M
Ricketts
CANAL EDGE LLC
$330K
$3.3M
Ricketts
EDGE DAIRY FARMER COOPERATIVE (FORMERLY EDGE) 🏥 🏭
$300K
$3.3M
Ricketts
PRESCIENT EDGE 🛡️
$270K
$3.3M
Ricketts
Y 🏥
$210K
$10.2M
Ricketts
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ricketts (GOP) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
PEARSON & ASSOCIATES
$357K (303)
HOLTZMAN VOGEL, PLLC
$138K (47)
S-3 GROUP
$124K (75)
U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION
$70K (22)
BUNGE NORTH AMERICA PAC
$37K (17)
KIEWIT
$29K (11)
GREENAMERICAN BIOFUELS
$28K (8)
OPEN AI
$27K (11)
NATIONAL RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION
$25K (11)
SANDHILLS PUBLISHING
$21K (6)
Osborn (IND) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$14K (4)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$10K (4)
BUCHANAN, INGERSOLL & ROONEY, PC
$10K (4)
U.S DEPT. OF HEALTH SERVICES
$10K (3)
PARTNERS FOR CLIMATE ACTION HUDSON VAL
$8K (2)
RICHMOND GLOBAL
$7K (3)
POLARIS PARTNERS
$7K (3)
7WIRE VENTURES
$7K (2)
CAPITAL GROUP
$7K (3)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
18%
Defense ($228.5M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Computer Systems Design Servic · $288.9M Other Activities Related to Cr · $267.3M Other Computer Related Service · $207.7M Engineering Services · $147.5M Commercial and Institutional B · $88.9M Administrative Management and · $74.6M
Recipient Amount
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SE
$7.7B
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION NEBRASKA
$630.0M
NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF WATER, ENERGY, AN
$553.7M
NELNET SERVICING LLC
$482.2M
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
METGREEN SOLUTIONS INC
$282.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ricketts (R)
—
$14.5M
$1.2M
11%
95%
$10.3M
$69.9M
Osborn (I)
—
$11.0M
$2.0M
38%
83%
$50.3M
$124.9M
Financial Breakdown
Ricketts (R)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @prior_prior_SenRicketts
Total Raised
$14,546,959
Cash on Hand
$1,218,139
Disbursements
$13,815,790
Individual Contributions
$2,861,507
PAC Contributions
$1,912,381
Small Dollar %
11.3%
Burn Rate
95.0%
Net IE Advantage
$-59.6M
Osborn (I)
Total Raised
$11,029,845
Cash on Hand
$1,953,183
Disbursements
$9,139,828
Individual Contributions
$10,574,973
PAC Contributions
$230,138
Small Dollar %
37.7%
Burn Rate
82.9%
Net IE Advantage
$-74.6M
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6