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House · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska 2nd

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Sep 03, 2026 09:35 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$7.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$17.5M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$13.4M
9 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Powell: Net IE: +232K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Powell
$5.4M
CHC BOLD PAC
Supporting Powell
$2.2M
BOLD AMERICA
Supporting Powell
$1.7M
NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.5M
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.4M
ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN
Supporting Powell
$1.0M
LEAD LEFT PAC
Opposing Cavanaugh
$870K
EDW ACTION FUND
Supporting Powell
$796K
Opposing Cavanaugh
$586K
Supporting Smith
$566K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10.1M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $13.4M in campaign spending in this race.
9
Corporate Clients
$10.1M
Lobbying Spend
$13.4M
Campaign Spending
51
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA, INC. ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$8.8M
$1.7M
POWELL
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$590K
$1.7M
POWELL
ATI, INC.
$230K
$1.0M
POWELL
Y 🏥
$180K
$1.5M
CAVANAUGH
ESS INC.
$150K
$586K
CAVANAUGH
FIELD AI INC. 🛡️
$120K
$448
HARDING
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$796K
POWELL
AC, INC.
$0
$5.4M
POWELL
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-02)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
42%
Defense ($50.0M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Engineering Services · $50.0M Commercial and Institutional B · $24.7M Nursing Care Facilities (Skill · $9.2M Plumbing, Heating, and Air-Con · $7.4M Architectural Services · $6.8M Colleges, Universities, and Pr · $5.1M
Recipient Amount
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF NE
$146.7M
WEEKS-CASHMAN JV
$87.8M
G4S SECURE INTEGRATION LLC
$62.6M
METROPOLITAN UTILITIES DISTRICT OF OMAHA
$25.3M
UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA
$24.4M
CITY OF OMAHA
$21.0M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Powell (D)
$2.7M
$997K
22%
63%
$12.2M
$200K
Harding (R)
$2.0M
$1.1M
4%
47%
$17K
Cavanaugh (D)
$1.4M
$82K
15%
94%
$601K
$4.5M
Askins (D)
$902K
26%
100%
Leuschen (D)
$394K
$125K
6%
68%
Financial Breakdown
Powell (D)
Total Raised
$2,668,287
Cash on Hand
$997,390
Disbursements
$1,670,897
Individual Contributions
$2,287,848
PAC Contributions
$309,300
Small Dollar %
21.6%
Burn Rate
62.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$12.0M
Harding (R)
Total Raised
$2,034,386
Cash on Hand
$1,070,769
Disbursements
$963,618
Individual Contributions
$1,368,207
PAC Contributions
$255,800
Small Dollar %
3.8%
Burn Rate
47.4%
Net IE Advantage
$-17K
Cavanaugh (D)
Total Raised
$1,359,503
Cash on Hand
$82,193
Disbursements
$1,277,310
Individual Contributions
$1,184,463
PAC Contributions
$165,455
Small Dollar %
14.6%
Burn Rate
94.0%
Net IE Advantage
$-3.9M
Askins (D)
Total Raised
$901,522
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$901,522
Individual Contributions
$381,931
PAC Contributions
$51,885
Small Dollar %
26.0%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Leuschen (D)
Total Raised
$393,804
Cash on Hand
$125,214
Disbursements
$268,590
Individual Contributions
$362,477
PAC Contributions
$18,885
Small Dollar %
5.7%
Burn Rate
68.2%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6