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House · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska 2nd

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: May 12, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$5.1M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$1.9M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$952K
6 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Powell: Net IE: +232K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Powell
$606K
CHC BOLD PAC
Supporting Powell
$532K
Opposing Cavanaugh
$467K
ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN
Supporting Powell
$300K
BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT
Supporting Powell
$18K
BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT
Supporting Powell
$9K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $450K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $952K in campaign spending in this race.
6
Corporate Clients
$450K
Lobbying Spend
$952K
Campaign Spending
10
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ATI, INC.
$210K
$300K
POWELL
Y 🏥
$150K
$9K
POWELL
FIELD AI INC. 🛡️
$80K
$448
HARDING
BLUE STATE ACTION, INC.
$10K
$18K
POWELL
THE AI PROJECT
$0
$18K
POWELL
AC, INC.
$0
$606K
POWELL
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-02)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
42%
Defense ($50.0M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Engineering Services · $50.0M Commercial and Institutional B · $24.7M Nursing Care Facilities (Skill · $9.2M Plumbing, Heating, and Air-Con · $7.4M Architectural Services · $6.8M Colleges, Universities, and Pr · $5.1M
Recipient Amount
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF NE
$146.7M
WEEKS-CASHMAN JV
$87.8M
G4S SECURE INTEGRATION LLC
$62.6M
METROPOLITAN UTILITIES DISTRICT OF OMAHA
$25.3M
UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA
$24.4M
CITY OF OMAHA
$21.0M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Powell (D)
$1.5M
$458K
19%
69%
$1.5M
Harding (R)
$1.2M
$737K
2%
40%
$448
Cavanaugh (D)
$1.0M
$345K
15%
67%
$467K
Askins (D)
$546K
$180K
26%
67%
Leuschen (D)
$390K
$187K
6%
52%
Lindstrom (R)
$374K
$150K
7%
60%
Financial Breakdown
Powell (D)
Total Raised
$1,484,304
Cash on Hand
$458,233
Disbursements
$1,026,071
Individual Contributions
$1,374,009
PAC Contributions
$92,200
Small Dollar %
19.1%
Burn Rate
69.1%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.5M
Harding (R)
Total Raised
$1,236,114
Cash on Hand
$737,172
Disbursements
$498,942
Individual Contributions
$1,095,736
PAC Contributions
$94,300
Small Dollar %
2.5%
Burn Rate
40.4%
Net IE Advantage
$-448
Cavanaugh (D)
Total Raised
$1,034,703
Cash on Hand
$345,300
Disbursements
$689,403
Individual Contributions
$917,210
PAC Contributions
$108,498
Small Dollar %
15.0%
Burn Rate
66.6%
Net IE Advantage
$-467K
Askins (D)
Total Raised
$545,654
Cash on Hand
$180,087
Disbursements
$365,567
Individual Contributions
$341,597
PAC Contributions
$51,885
Small Dollar %
26.0%
Burn Rate
67.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Leuschen (D)
Total Raised
$389,591
Cash on Hand
$187,295
Disbursements
$202,296
Individual Contributions
$362,477
PAC Contributions
$18,885
Small Dollar %
5.7%
Burn Rate
51.9%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Lindstrom (R)
Total Raised
$374,138
Cash on Hand
$149,815
Disbursements
$224,322
Individual Contributions
$132,958
PAC Contributions
$5,000
Small Dollar %
7.3%
Burn Rate
60.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6