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House · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska 2nd

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Jun 07, 2026 06:00 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$5.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$7.7M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$5.3M
9 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Powell: Net IE: +232K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Powell
$2.0M
NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.5M
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.2M
CHC BOLD PAC
Supporting Powell
$532K
LEAD LEFT PAC
Opposing Cavanaugh
$435K
BOLD AMERICA
Supporting Powell
$419K
ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN
Supporting Powell
$300K
Opposing Cavanaugh
$286K
Supporting Smith
$283K
EDW ACTION FUND
Supporting Powell
$199K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $8.4M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $5.3M in campaign spending in this race.
9
Corporate Clients
$8.4M
Lobbying Spend
$5.3M
Campaign Spending
51
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA, INC ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$7.3M
$419K
POWELL
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$500K
$419K
POWELL
ATI, INC.
$210K
$300K
POWELL
Y 🏥
$150K
$1.5M
CAVANAUGH
ESS INC.
$150K
$286K
CAVANAUGH
FIELD AI INC. 🛡️
$80K
$448
HARDING
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$199K
POWELL
AC, INC.
$0
$2.0M
POWELL
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-02)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
42%
Defense ($50.0M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Engineering Services · $50.0M Commercial and Institutional B · $24.7M Nursing Care Facilities (Skill · $9.2M Plumbing, Heating, and Air-Con · $7.4M Architectural Services · $6.8M Colleges, Universities, and Pr · $5.1M
Recipient Amount
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF NE
$146.7M
WEEKS-CASHMAN JV
$87.8M
G4S SECURE INTEGRATION LLC
$62.6M
METROPOLITAN UTILITIES DISTRICT OF OMAHA
$25.3M
UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA
$24.4M
CITY OF OMAHA
$21.0M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Powell (D)
$1.6M
$324K
19%
80%
$3.7M
$100K
Harding (R)
$1.3M
$649K
3%
49%
$448
Cavanaugh (D)
$1.1M
$159K
15%
86%
$301K
$3.5M
Askins (D)
$584K
$138K
26%
76%
Leuschen (D)
$390K
$170K
6%
56%
Lindstrom (R)
$374K
$150K
7%
60%
Financial Breakdown
Powell (D)
Total Raised
$1,617,997
Cash on Hand
$323,981
Disbursements
$1,294,016
Individual Contributions
$1,445,203
PAC Contributions
$104,700
Small Dollar %
19.4%
Burn Rate
80.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$3.6M
Harding (R)
Total Raised
$1,279,187
Cash on Hand
$648,686
Disbursements
$630,501
Individual Contributions
$1,130,040
PAC Contributions
$94,300
Small Dollar %
2.7%
Burn Rate
49.3%
Net IE Advantage
$-448
Cavanaugh (D)
Total Raised
$1,140,783
Cash on Hand
$158,983
Disbursements
$981,801
Individual Contributions
$1,010,478
PAC Contributions
$121,225
Small Dollar %
15.2%
Burn Rate
86.1%
Net IE Advantage
$-3.2M
Askins (D)
Total Raised
$583,723
Cash on Hand
$138,042
Disbursements
$445,682
Individual Contributions
$368,267
PAC Contributions
$51,885
Small Dollar %
25.7%
Burn Rate
76.4%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Leuschen (D)
Total Raised
$389,591
Cash on Hand
$169,742
Disbursements
$219,849
Individual Contributions
$362,477
PAC Contributions
$18,885
Small Dollar %
5.7%
Burn Rate
56.4%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Lindstrom (R)
Total Raised
$374,138
Cash on Hand
$149,815
Disbursements
$224,322
Individual Contributions
$132,958
PAC Contributions
$5,000
Small Dollar %
7.3%
Burn Rate
60.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6