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House · Nebraska · General Election

Nebraska 2nd

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$10.6M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$40.3M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$11.9M
8 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Powell: Net IE: +232K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Harding
$7.5M
Supporting Powell
$7.4M
CLF
Supporting Powell
$4.3M
CHC BOLD PAC
Supporting Powell
$3.3M
BOLD AMERICA
Supporting Powell
$2.5M
Supporting Powell
$1.8M
NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.5M
HMP
Opposing Flood
$1.4M
Opposing Cavanaugh
$1.4M
RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS
Opposing Flood
$1.3M
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10.1M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $11.9M in campaign spending in this race.
8
Corporate Clients
$10.1M
Lobbying Spend
$11.9M
Campaign Spending
50
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA INC. ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$8.9M
$2.5M
POWELL
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$590K
$2.5M
POWELL
REN
$280K
$857K
HARDING
Y 🏥
$210K
$1.5M
CAVANAUGH
ESS INC.
$150K
$586K
CAVANAUGH
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$1.8M
POWELL
AC, INC.
$0
$1.8M
POWELL
THE EDW GROUP
$0
$398K
CAVANAUGH
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-02)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$13.3B
Total Awards
42%
Defense ($50.0M)
1,920,076
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Engineering Services · $50.0M Commercial and Institutional B · $24.7M Nursing Care Facilities (Skill · $9.2M Plumbing, Heating, and Air-Con · $7.4M Architectural Services · $6.8M Colleges, Universities, and Pr · $5.1M
Recipient Amount
KIEWIT US CONTRACTORS CO
$403.9M
381 CONSTRUCTORS
$395.4M
BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF NE
$146.7M
WEEKS-CASHMAN JV
$87.8M
G4S SECURE INTEGRATION LLC
$62.6M
METROPOLITAN UTILITIES DISTRICT OF OMAHA
$25.3M
UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA
$24.4M
CITY OF OMAHA
$21.0M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Powell (D)
—
$5.1M
$480K
21%
91%
$21.1M
$5.1M
Harding (R)
—
$2.9M
$313K
6%
89%
$943K
$8.0M
Cavanaugh (D)
—
$1.4M
$12K
15%
99%
$601K
$4.5M
Askins (D)
—
$902K
—
26%
100%
—
—
Leuschen (D)
—
$394K
$118K
6%
70%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Powell (D)
Total Raised
$5,093,104
Cash on Hand
$480,473
Disbursements
$4,612,631
Individual Contributions
$4,090,636
PAC Contributions
$506,267
Small Dollar %
21.2%
Burn Rate
90.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$16.0M
Harding (R)
Total Raised
$2,850,577
Cash on Hand
$313,373
Disbursements
$2,537,204
Individual Contributions
$1,582,590
PAC Contributions
$494,000
Small Dollar %
5.7%
Burn Rate
89.0%
Net IE Advantage
$-7.1M
Cavanaugh (D)
Total Raised
$1,368,619
Cash on Hand
$11,846
Disbursements
$1,356,773
Individual Contributions
$1,184,463
PAC Contributions
$165,455
Small Dollar %
14.6%
Burn Rate
99.1%
Net IE Advantage
$-3.9M
Askins (D)
Total Raised
$901,522
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$901,522
Individual Contributions
$381,931
PAC Contributions
$51,885
Small Dollar %
26.0%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Leuschen (D)
Total Raised
$393,804
Cash on Hand
$118,338
Disbursements
$275,466
Individual Contributions
$362,477
PAC Contributions
$18,885
Small Dollar %
5.7%
Burn Rate
70.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Nebraska
Partisan Lean R+25
→ Stable

NE has a partisan lean of R+25. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+26).

Presidential Results
2020 R+19.0
2016 R+25.0
2012 R+21.8
2008 R+14.9
2004 R+33.2
Senate Results
2020 R+38.3
2018 R+19.1
2014 R+32.8
2012 R+15.6