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House · North Carolina · General Election

North Carolina 1st

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Runoff: May 12, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$2.7M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Voter Registration
DEM
D+82,000 (1.1%) (GOP gaining 197,000 registration edge since 2022-11)
📈 Buckhout: Net IE: +1.4M
📈 Moore: Net IE: +81K
📈 REP candidates: GOP gaining 197,000 registration edge since 2022-11
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
ROBERSON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
CPFRM
$19K (8)
DEWBERRY
$14K (4)
OAK LEVEL POULTRY FARMS
$10K (4)
BODDIE-NOELL ENTERPRISES
$9K (3)
SHEARIN FARMS
$8K (5)
BARNHILL CONTRACTING COMPANY
$7K (2)
CHARLES BREWSTER CUSTOM TIES
$7K (2)
RAM SALE MARKETING
$7K (2)
PLATINUM CORRAL
$7K (2)
CAROLINA AND COASTAL LUMBER CO
$7K (2)
BUCKHOUT (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
STEVENS TOWING OF NC
$7K (2)
PEROT GROUP
$7K (2)
LEDWELL & SON
$7K (2)
PRESTON DEVELOPMENT COMPANY
$5K (2)
CAROLINA EAST
$4K (1)
OWEN MAXWELL
$4K (1)
RETIRED - US NAVY
$4K (1)
FRANKLIN MOUNTAIN MANAGEMENT
$3K (1)
HOLT LUNSFORD COMMERCIAL
$3K (1)
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
$3K (1)
HUDSON (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
ACN
$35K (11)
COMCAST LOBBY+DONATE
$26K (12)
AT&T
$22K (13)
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS LOBBY+DONATE
$20K (13)
ENTRAVISION
$17K (9)
HENDRICK MOTORSPORTS
$15K (5)
VETERANS GUARDIAN VA CLAIM CONSULTING
$14K (6)
OGLETREE DEAKINS
$10K (3)
GEN. PACE PETER
$7K (2)
CLEARPATH
$7K (2)
DAVIS (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
JANE STREET CAPITAL
$18K (6)
COINBASE
$15K (8)
CHARLES AND LYNN SCHUSTERMAN FAMILY PH
$14K (6)
CROWNE PARTNERS
$8K (5)
HALPERN ENTERPRISES
$8K (3)
TAWANI ENTERPRISES
$7K (3)
JORDAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
$7K (2)
HONOR NYC
$7K (2)
HARRIS ORTHOPEDICS LABORATORY
$7K (2)
BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS
$7K (3)
MURPHY (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
UROLOGY CLINICS OF NORTH TEXAS
$24K (7)
NYCBS
$19K (23)
UROLOGY SPECIALISTS OF THE CAROLINAS,
$17K (13)
ALG SENIOR
$14K (6)
ADVOCATE HEALTH ADVISORS
$10K (5)
EASTERN CAROLINA ENT
$8K (3)
PRESTON DEVELOPMENT
$7K (2)
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP
$7K (2)
PARKDALE
$7K (2)
GRADY WHITE BOATS
$7K (2)
OJEDA (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (3 also lobby Congress)
CHIMNEY COMPANY
$9K (8)
HH OIL TOOLS
$2K (21)
DRAGONFLY
$2K (2)
DOMINIUM
$2K (2)
GLAMOUR MAGAZINE
$2K (2)
HV HOLDINGS
$2K (1)
ST. GEORGE'S UNIVERSITY
$2K (3)
SERVICENOW
$2K (13)
BEASLEY ASSOCIATES
$2K (2)
PALMETTO HEALTH FOUNDATION
$2K (9)
MOORE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
ALG SENIOR
$14K (4)
SMI SYSTEMS
$10K (3)
POB VENTURES
$10K (3)
METCON
$10K (3)
FLOYD DEV
$7K (2)
DIESEL DOCTORS
$7K (2)
APOTHECA
$7K (3)
ANVIL VENTURE
$7K (2)
MILLS CONSTRUCTION CO
$7K (2)
BEACON PARTNERS
$7K (2)
FOXX (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT
$27K (10)
PAGE INTERWORKS PA
$14K (4)
AFFINITY LIVING GROUP
$14K (4)
HOUSEWIFE
$14K (9)
PARKDALE MILLS
$8K (2)
SIDES SEEDING
$7K (2)
BLUE OWL CAPITAL
$7K (2)
CEO AND OWNER
$7K (3)
CLEARPATH
$7K (2)
ICI HOMES
$7K (2)
🔀 9 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
ALG SENIOR: HUDSON $7,000 / MURPHY $14,000 / MOORE $13,935. CPFRM: ROBERSON $19,250 / MURPHY $6,000. CLEARPATH: HUDSON $7,000 / MOORE $7,000 / FOXX $7,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-01)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$53.4B
Total Awards
43%
Defense ($143.6M)
10,273,419
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Aircraft Manufacturing · $72.2M Computer Systems Design Servic · $65.7M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $41.0M Engineering Services · $36.4M Search, Detection, Navigation, · $35.0M Commercial and Institutional B · $30.0M
Recipient Amount
VECTOR CSP LLC
$38.3M
ECONOMIC IMPROVEMENT COUNCIL, INC.
$28.2M
VALIANT SOLUTIONS, LLC
$25.0M
WAYNE ACTION GROUP FOR ECONOMIC SOLVENCY
$22.7M
GROUP III MANAGEMENT INC
$22.0M
KIDDE TECHNOLOGIES INC
$21.8M
ELIZABETH CITY STATE UNIVERSITY
$15.7M
CITY OF ROCKY MOUNT NORTH CAROLINA
$15.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Buckhout (R)
—
$2.7M
$1.5M
13%
47%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Buckhout (R)
Total Raised
$2,743,029
Cash on Hand
$1,483,619
Disbursements
$1,285,714
Individual Contributions
$212,372
PAC Contributions
$189,854
Small Dollar %
12.8%
Burn Rate
46.9%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — North Carolina
Partisan Lean R+6
→ Stable

NC has a partisan lean of R+6. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+5).

Presidential Results
2020 R+1.3
2016 R+3.6
2012 R+2.0
2008 D+0.3
2004 R+12.4
Senate Results
2020 R+1.8
2016 R+5.7
2014 R+1.5
2010 R+11.8