← Back to Elections Dashboard
Senate · Minnesota · General Election

Minnesota Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: August 11, 2026
C: Likely D S: Likely D S: Likely D
Last updated: Apr 15, 2026 05:07 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$11.8M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$1.5M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$2.1M
26 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Craig: Net IE: +1.2M
📈 Flanagan: Net IE: +54K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Craig
$1.3M
CLEAR VOICE MINNESOTA
Supporting Craig
$121K
CLEAR VOICE MINNESOTA
Supporting Flanagan
$54K
BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT
Supporting Craig
$51K
NORTH STAR DAWN PAC
Supporting Craig
$38K
DMFI PAC
Supporting Craig
$3K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
92%
DEM Price
+1.7% 7d
10%
REP Price
-9.1% 7d
$17K
Total Volume
24h: $43
0.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +3.4% 30d REP: -16.7%
DEM 92% 94%90%87% Mar 14Mar 25Apr 14
REP 10% 29%18%8% Mar 14Mar 24Apr 14
Spread: 3.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Normal
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $2.6M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $2.1M in campaign spending in this race.
26
Corporate Clients
$2.6M
Lobbying Spend
$2.1M
Campaign Spending
61
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🤖 Tech & AI 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
CLEAR 🛡️
$420K
$121K
CRAIG
NORTH STAR SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION 🛡️ 🤖
$340K
$38K
CRAIG
LEAR CORPORATION 🏭
$270K
$121K
CRAIG
OIC, L.P. ⚡ 🏭
$240K
$121K
CRAIG
PEOPLE TEC 🤖 🛡️
$240K
$225
FLANAGAN
PEOPLE FOR THE ETHICAL TREATMENT OF ANIMALS (PETA)
$160K
$225
FLANAGAN
NORTH FUND
$155K
$38K
CRAIG
Y 🏥
$150K
$51K
CRAIG
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
CRAIG (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
COINBASE
$49K (16)
HEARTLAND REALTY INVESTORS
$29K (9)
FAEGRE DRINKER BIDDLE & REATH
$22K (25)
BLACKSTONE
$19K (6)
GARDNER BUILDERS
$18K (4)
JANE STREET CAPITAL
$18K (5)
NEUBERGER BERMAN
$17K (5)
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES
$16K (5)
UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA
$15K (24)
KALSHI
$15K (6)
FLANAGAN (DEMOCRATIC-FARMER-LABOR) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)
UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA
$11K (46)
NVIDIA LOBBY+DONATE
$10K (3)
GOOGLE
$10K (3)
THE ANGLE
$7K (3)
UCSF
$7K (2)
ICSI
$7K (2)
RMS
$7K (2)
PHILO
$7K (2)
SCHOONER CAPITAL
$7K (2)
SONOSKY CHAMBERS ET AL
$7K (2)
SCHWARZE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
AMP
$13K (13)
FELTL & CO
$11K (8)
TECH FREIGHT
$8K (6)
GRESSER COMPANIES
$7K (3)
GLOBAL INITIATIVES
$7K (2)
TIGERRISK PARTNERS
$7K (5)
FELTL CO
$7K (3)
DE GROOTE FINANICAL GROUP
$7K (6)
OMNETICS CONNECTOR
$4K (12)
SUMMIT COMPANIES
$4K (2)
WHITE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
SDG
$3K (12)
BFS
$2K (11)
MEDTRONIC
$2K (5)
FLAG CITY
$1K (6)
MAREX
$1K (11)
ROCK-CRETE
$1K (12)
LUCID SOLUTIONS
$1K (1)
AFLAC
$1K (11)
ISLAND PEDIATRICS,PC
$950 (28)
EYESIGHT ASSOCIATES
$736 (11)
LOPEZ FRANZEN (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups
TROUTMAN PEPPER HAMILTON SANDERS
$14K (4)
TROUTMAN PEPPER LOCKE
$8K (3)
NATIONAL GRID RENEWABLES
$7K (7)
TAWANI ENTERPRISES
$7K (2)
NEWPUBLICA
$4K (2)
PATRIOT WAVES MARINE
$4K (1)
HEMPEL REAL ESTATE
$4K (1)
GREAT NORTH OIL
$4K (1)
AAC
$4K (1)
ABRAHAM WATKINS LAW FIRM
$4K (1)
WEILER (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
ALEXANDRIA CLINIC
$1K (1)
IMA
$500 (1)
DELOITTE
$250 (1)
BACHMAN'S
$250 (1)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$100 (1)
PARENT CUSTOM HOMES
$100 (1)
RYAN COMPANIES
$100 (1)
MHM HEALTHCARE
$100 (1)
BAY PINES VA MEDICAL CENTER
$100 (1)
LOYOLA MEDICAL CENTER
$50 (1)
🔀 3 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA: CRAIG $15,300 / FLANAGAN $11,089 / LOPEZ FRANZEN $1,500. DORSEY & WHITNEY: CRAIG $11,605 / FLANAGAN $4,200. TAWANI ENTERPRISES: FLANAGAN $7,000 / LOPEZ FRANZEN $7,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$111.2B
Total Awards
4%
Defense ($66.6M)
5,576,606
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ammunition (except Small Arms) · $552.8M Small Arms Ammunition Manufact · $211.3M Cheese Manufacturing · $190.6M Commercial and Institutional B · $166.1M Electromedical and Electrother · $163.4M All Other Miscellaneous Fabric · $110.7M
Recipient Amount
MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF HUMAN SERVICES
$19.8B
MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$1.6B
MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$1.4B
NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION
$816.9M
GREAT RIVER ENERGY
$794.4M
STATE OF MINNESOTA OF EMPLOYMENT & ECONO
$789.6M
REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA
$690.7M
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE MINNESOTA
$554.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Craig (D)
$6.8M
$3.8M
18%
44%
$1.4M
$121K
Flanagan (D)
$3.3M
$811K
51%
75%
$54K
Schwarze (R)
$823K
$294K
21%
64%
White (R)
$566K
$83K
54%
110%
Lopez Franzen (D)
$299K
14%
100%
Weiler (R)
$82K
$58K
5%
32%
Financial Breakdown
Craig (D)
Total Raised
$6,788,377
Cash on Hand
$3,786,724
Disbursements
$3,001,653
Individual Contributions
$5,144,633
PAC Contributions
$474,835
Small Dollar %
17.9%
Burn Rate
44.2%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.2M
Flanagan (D)
Total Raised
$3,287,670
Cash on Hand
$810,646
Disbursements
$2,477,024
Individual Contributions
$3,154,369
PAC Contributions
$99,417
Small Dollar %
50.6%
Burn Rate
75.3%
Net IE Advantage
+$54K
Schwarze (R)
Total Raised
$822,519
Cash on Hand
$293,729
Disbursements
$528,790
Individual Contributions
$784,575
PAC Contributions
$30,309
Small Dollar %
20.9%
Burn Rate
64.3%
Net IE Advantage
$0
White (R)
Total Raised
$565,894
Cash on Hand
$82,804
Disbursements
$622,199
Individual Contributions
$536,468
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
53.5%
Burn Rate
109.9%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Lopez Franzen (D)
Total Raised
$299,376
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$299,376
Individual Contributions
$191,139
PAC Contributions
$5,000
Small Dollar %
13.8%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Weiler (R)
Total Raised
$82,240
Cash on Hand
$57,613
Disbursements
$26,387
Individual Contributions
$23,103
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
4.6%
Burn Rate
32.1%
Net IE Advantage
$0