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House · Michigan · General Election

Michigan 10th

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$10.2M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$26.7M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$24.6M
11 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Barrett: Net IE: +91K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Barrett
$53.0M
SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.
Opposing Lawrence
$43.3M
HMP
Opposing Huizenga
$27.5M
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.
Opposing Mccann
$19.3M
CLF
Opposing Lawrence
$16.4M
CRUSH MAGA PAC
Opposing Lawrence
$10.8M
LCV VICTORY FUND
Opposing Huizenga
$8.5M
CLF
Opposing Hines
$8.0M
Opposing Lawrence
$7.6M
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION
Opposing Lawrence
$7.2M
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $11.5M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $24.6M in campaign spending in this race.
11
Corporate Clients
$11.5M
Lobbying Spend
$24.6M
Campaign Spending
69
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma ⚡ Energy & Utilities
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA INC. ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$8.9M
$3.2M
HINES
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$590K
$3.2M
HINES
GIFFORDS 🛡️ 🏥 🏭
$572K
$2.0M
HINES
OIC, L.P. ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$390K
$3.0M
HINES
GIFFORDS (FORMERLY REPORTING AS AMERICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE SOLUTIONS)
$270K
$2.0M
HINES
ATI INC. 🛡️ 🏭
$250K
$3.2M
HINES
Y 🏥
$210K
$3.0M
HINES
GIFT OF LIFE MICHIGAN
$180K
$909
MCCLAIN
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-10)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$55.6B
Total Awards
91%
Defense ($2.4B)
9,962,311
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Military Armored Vehicle, Tank · $2.1B Engineering Services · $195.1M Facilities Support Services · $113.7M General Automotive Repair · $68.6M Hardware Merchant Wholesalers · $61.4M Research and Development in th · $50.0M
Recipient Amount
GENERAL DYNAMICS LAND SYSTEMS INC.
$2.1B
BAE SYSTEMS LAND AND ARMAMENTS L.P.
$1.3B
GENERAL MOTORS LLC
$808.9M
AMERICAN RHEINMETALL VEHICLES, LLC
$203.4M
WRIGHT TOOL COMPANY, LLC
$68.3M
J G M PROPERTY GROUP, INC.
$60.8M
GENERAL DYNAMICS LAND SYSTEMS CUSTOMER S
$42.1M
ADDON SERVICES LLC
$42.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Mcclain (R)
—
$6.0M
$1.8M
35%
81%
$167K
—
Hines (D)
—
$4.2M
$1.0M
22%
76%
$13.1M
$13.4M
Financial Breakdown
Mcclain (R)
Total Raised
$6,046,475
Cash on Hand
$1,752,710
Disbursements
$4,900,622
Individual Contributions
$3,148,121
PAC Contributions
$1,644,798
Small Dollar %
35.1%
Burn Rate
81.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$167K
Hines (D)
Total Raised
$4,159,693
Cash on Hand
$1,007,628
Disbursements
$3,152,065
Individual Contributions
$3,380,349
PAC Contributions
$402,910
Small Dollar %
21.9%
Burn Rate
75.8%
Net IE Advantage
$-281K
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8