← Back to Elections Dashboard
House · Michigan · General Election

Michigan 7th

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean D S: Lean D I: Lean D
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$12.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$182.7M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$115.8M
25 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
DEM
Lean D (unanimous) — Cook: Lean D / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Lean D
📈 Barrett: Net IE: +91K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Barrett
$53.0M
SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.
Opposing Lawrence
$43.3M
HMP
Opposing Huizenga
$27.5M
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.
Opposing Mccann
$19.3M
CLF
Opposing Lawrence
$16.4M
CRUSH MAGA PAC
Opposing Lawrence
$10.8M
LCV VICTORY FUND
Opposing Huizenga
$8.5M
CLF
Opposing Hines
$8.0M
WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC
Opposing Lawrence
$7.6M
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION
Opposing Lawrence
$7.2M
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $15.1M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $115.8M in campaign spending in this race.
25
Corporate Clients
$15.1M
Lobbying Spend
$115.8M
Campaign Spending
135
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🤖 Tech & AI 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY 🛡️ 🤖 🏭
$5.0M
$2.2M
BARRETT
SB GROUP US, INC. DBA SOFTBANK GROUP US, INC. 🤖 ⚡ 🛡️
$3.3M
$2.2M
BARRETT
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED 🤖 🏥 🏭
$1.6M
$7.2M
LAWRENCE
AMERICAN NURSES ASSOCIATION 🏥 🛡️ 🤖
$1.5M
$7.2M
LAWRENCE
NOTARIZE, INC. DBA PROOF.COM 🛡️ 🤖 💰
$820K
$2.2M
BARRETT
PAYWARD, INC. DBA KRAKEN 💰
$390K
$2.2M
BARRETT
CHATTEM, INC. DBA OPELLA 🏥 🏭 💰
$360K
$2.2M
BARRETT
NATIONAL SAFETY COUNCIL 🏥 🛡️ 🤖
$290K
$43.3M
LAWRENCE
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-07)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$55.6B
Total Awards
8%
Defense ($14.6M)
9,962,311
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Cut and Sew Apparel Contractor · $41.2M Other Engine Equipment Manufac · $24.5M Nonscheduled Chartered Freight · $24.3M Other Computer Related Service · $23.8M Medicinal and Botanical Manufa · $20.8M Research and Development in th · $14.6M
Recipient Amount
MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN
$33.6B
MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$3.1B
TRANSPORTATION, MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF
$2.4B
MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF LABOR AND ECONOMI
$2.0B
STATE OF MICHIGAN
$569.8M
MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT, GREA
$513.3M
STATE OF MICHIGAN
$495.7M
MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY
$415.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Barrett (R)
—
$8.2M
$1.0M
42%
88%
$5.2M
$61.4M
Lawrence (D)
—
$4.2M
$629K
24%
85%
$30.8M
$85.3M
Financial Breakdown
Barrett (R)
Total Raised
$8,238,468
Cash on Hand
$1,039,763
Disbursements
$7,221,105
Individual Contributions
$4,565,374
PAC Contributions
$1,792,508
Small Dollar %
41.9%
Burn Rate
87.7%
Net IE Advantage
$-56.2M
Lawrence (D)
Total Raised
$4,160,041
Cash on Hand
$628,966
Disbursements
$3,531,075
Individual Contributions
$3,804,135
PAC Contributions
$294,851
Small Dollar %
24.1%
Burn Rate
84.9%
Net IE Advantage
$-54.5M
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8