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House · Michigan · General Election

Michigan 4th

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: August 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 17, 2026 04:41 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$1.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Barrett: Net IE: +91K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA
Supporting Barrett
$102K
YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC
Supporting Barrett
$10K
WARNER NORCROSS + JUDD FEDERAL PAC
Supporting Mcclain
$4K
FIELD TEAM 6, INC.
Supporting Barrett
$1K
Federal Spending Context (CD-04)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$55.6B
Total Awards
9,962,311
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Other Computer Related Service · $70.8M Fruit and Vegetable Canning · $34.5M Wood Container and Pallet Manu · $32.4M Surgical Appliance and Supplie · $32.4M Other Metal Container Manufact · $27.2M Administrative Management and · $21.2M
Recipient Amount
AAR MANUFACTURING, INC.
$74.2M
AVON PROTECTION SYSTEMS INCORPORATED
$34.4M
WESTERN MICHIGAN UNIVERSITY
$25.2M
KALAMAZOO COUNTY BOARD-COMMS
$19.5M
ALDEVRA LLC
$19.0M
TRI COUNTY COUNCIL FOR CHILD DEVELOPMENT
$18.5M
WALSH SERVICE SOLUTIONS LLC
$13.3M
ALLEGAN COUNTY RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT COMM
$13.0M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Moolenaar (R)
—
$1.3M
$1.7M
4%
66%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Moolenaar (R)
Total Raised
$1,277,150
Cash on Hand
$1,720,649
Disbursements
$838,446
Individual Contributions
$773,052
PAC Contributions
$459,283
Small Dollar %
4.1%
Burn Rate
65.6%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8