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House · Michigan · General Election

Michigan 3rd

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: August 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$1.9M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$133
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$267
2 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Barrett: Net IE: +91K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Supporting Barrett
$102K
YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC
Supporting Barrett
$10K
WARNER NORCROSS + JUDD FEDERAL PAC
Supporting Mcclain
$4K
FIELD TEAM 6, INC.
Supporting Barrett
$1K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $267 in campaign spending in this race.
2
Corporate Clients
$10K
Lobbying Spend
$267
Campaign Spending
2
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
ACT INC 🛡️
$10K
$133
SCHOLTEN
AC, INC.
$0
$133
SCHOLTEN
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-03)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$55.6B
Total Awards
18%
Defense ($35.8M)
9,962,311
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Bare Printed Circuit Board Man · $36.5M Medical, Dental, and Hospital · $34.4M Research and Development in th · $25.4M Heavy Duty Truck Manufacturing · $21.4M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $18.6M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $18.0M
Recipient Amount
BETHANY CHRISTIAN SERVICES USA, LLC
$77.2M
GE AVIATION SYSTEMS LLC
$57.4M
ALLIANT ENTERPRISES, LLC
$56.1M
MICHIGAN FAMILY RESOURCES
$44.5M
WASEYABEK FEDERAL SERVICES, L.L.C.
$34.2M
VAN ANDEL RESEARCH INSTITUTE
$31.3M
CHERRY STREET SERVICES INC
$29.2M
BRAINGU LLC
$29.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Scholten (D)
$1.9M
$1.2M
11%
55%
$133
Financial Breakdown
Scholten (D)
Total Raised
$1,882,037
Cash on Hand
$1,204,830
Disbursements
$1,026,922
Individual Contributions
$1,279,442
PAC Contributions
$532,750
Small Dollar %
11.4%
Burn Rate
54.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$133
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8