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House · Michigan · General Election

Michigan 3rd

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Oct 14, 2026 10:53 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$2.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$664K
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$1.6M
45 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
📈 Barrett: Net IE: +91K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HMP
Opposing Barrett
$10.7M
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.
Opposing Mccann
$9.4M
HMP
Opposing Huizenga
$6.0M
LCV VICTORY FUND
Opposing Huizenga
$4.6M
MICHIGAN VALUES PAC
Opposing Brink
$3.0M
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
Opposing Huizenga
$2.0M
FAIRSHAKE
Opposing Huizenga
$2.0M
YOUR COMMUNITY PAC
Opposing Huizenga
$1.7M
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP AC
Opposing Barrett
$1.3M
WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC
Opposing Barrett
$1.3M
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $10.8M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $1.6M in campaign spending in this race.
45
Corporate Clients
$10.8M
Lobbying Spend
$1.6M
Campaign Spending
146
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🤖 Tech & AI 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD OF MICHIGAN 💰 🏥 🛡️
$1.6M
$5K
SCHOLTEN
THE REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN
$1.2M
$5K
SCHOLTEN
UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$1.2M
$5K
SCHOLTEN
MICHIGAN STATE UNIV 🏭 🏥 🛡️
$570K
$5K
SCHOLTEN
SAGINAW CHIPPEWA INDIAN TRIBE OF MICHIGAN
$420K
$5K
SCHOLTEN
MICHIGAN FARM BUREAU 🏭 💰 🏥
$410K
$5K
SCHOLTEN
MICHIGAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE 🛡️
$320K
$5K
SCHOLTEN
MICHIGAN HEALTH & HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION 🏥 🛡️
$315K
$5K
SCHOLTEN
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
Federal Spending Context (CD-03)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$55.6B
Total Awards
18%
Defense ($35.8M)
9,962,311
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Bare Printed Circuit Board Man · $36.5M Medical, Dental, and Hospital · $34.4M Research and Development in th · $25.4M Heavy Duty Truck Manufacturing · $21.4M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $18.6M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $18.0M
Recipient Amount
BETHANY CHRISTIAN SERVICES USA, LLC
$77.2M
GE AVIATION SYSTEMS LLC
$57.4M
ALLIANT ENTERPRISES, LLC
$56.1M
MICHIGAN FAMILY RESOURCES
$44.5M
WASEYABEK FEDERAL SERVICES, L.L.C.
$34.2M
VAN ANDEL RESEARCH INSTITUTE
$31.3M
CHERRY STREET SERVICES INC
$29.2M
BRAINGU LLC
$29.1M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Scholten (D)
—
$2.3M
$1.4M
11%
57%
$109K
$554K
Financial Breakdown
Scholten (D)
Total Raised
$2,329,122
Cash on Hand
$1,356,573
Disbursements
$1,322,264
Individual Contributions
$1,549,312
PAC Contributions
$695,250
Small Dollar %
11.0%
Burn Rate
56.8%
Net IE Advantage
$-445K
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8