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Senate · Maine · General Election

Maine Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Jul 06, 2026 11:32 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$35.2M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$23.8M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$29.7M
28 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
EVEN
DEM $10.6M / REP $9.4M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Collins: Net IE: +2.0M
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
PINE TREE RESULTS PAC
Opposing Platner
$14.7M
Supporting Collins
$2.3M
LEAD MAINE COMMITTEE, INC.
Supporting Collins
$2.2M
Supporting Collins
$2.1M
Supporting Collins
$1.5M
Opposing Platner
$250K
COMMON DEFENSE ACTION FUND
Opposing Platner
$219K
LEAD MAINE COMMITTEE, INC.
Opposing Platner
$103K
LEAGUE OF LABOR VOTERS
Supporting Collins
$100K
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION
Opposing Platner
$51K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
60%
DEM Price
+3.5% 7d
42%
REP Price
-2.4% 7d
$794K
Total Volume
24h: $142K
1.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -2.5% 30d REP: +3.7%
DEM 60% 66%58%52% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
REP 42% 48%40%34% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: DEM 58%
🔵 4 DEM whales ($56K)  ·  🔴 4 REP whales ($21K) · 6 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
scottilicious
DEM
$25K
skibabiba
DEM
$15K
Arbguy
DEM
$9K
0x19974ce5980baE3d4c
REP
$8K
64¢ → 40¢ (-$3,100)
MiserMaxxing
DEM
$7K
Parliament
REP
$6K
29¢ → 40¢ (+$1,599)
cowcat
REP
$4K
30¢ → 40¢ (+$1,054)
donthackme
REP
$3K
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $11.0M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $29.7M in campaign spending in this race.
28
Corporate Clients
$11.0M
Lobbying Spend
$29.7M
Campaign Spending
110
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🤖 Tech & AI 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma ⚡ Energy & Utilities
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
CLEARPATH ACTION FOR CONSERVATIVE CLEAN ENERGY, INC. ⚡ 🤖
$2.8M
$1.5M
Collins
LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ⚡ 🏭 💰
$1.6M
$100K
Collins
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED 🤖 🏥 🏭
$1.4M
$51K
Platner
AMERICAN NURSES ASSOCIATION 🏥
$1.2M
$51K
Platner
LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS OF THE U.S. 🏥 ⚡ 💰
$563K
$100K
Collins
CLEARPATH ACTION FUND FOR CONSERVATIVE CLEAN ENERGY, INC.
$450K
$1.5M
Collins
LTS
$450K
$14.7M
Platner
CLEAR 🛡️
$450K
$1.5M
Collins
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Platner (DEM) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$9K (33)
EXPEDITION CONSULTANT
$8K (4)
GOODNIGHT HOSPITALITY
$7K (3)
NEW YORK CITY
$7K (3)
SMITHSONIAN
$7K (2)
MOELIS &
$7K (3)
BUCKS MARINE
$7K (3)
TIME LOOPER
$7K (2)
VISTAPRINT
$7K (3)
Collins (GOP) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
BLACKSTONE
$82K (24)
KKR
$70K (20)
AMERICAN AIRLINES LOBBY+DONATE
$38K (30)
DCI GROUP
$21K (6)
GOLUB CAPITAL
$21K (9)
TAYLOR EQUITIES
$21K (6)
SANGUINE GAS EXPLORATION
$21K (6)
ATLAS HOLDINGS
$18K (8)
LIONSGATE
$17K (6)
CAPITAL GROUP
$16K (6)
Mills (DEM) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
TOTAL WINE & MORE
$21K (6)
LEE AUTO MALLS
$14K (4)
STATE OF MAINE
$13K (43)
PRETI FLAHERTY
$11K (14)
MAINEHEALTH
$8K (4)
KITEBROOK
$7K (2)
UCSF
$7K (2)
PRITZKER FAMILY FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
THE WISHCAMPER COMPANIES
$7K (2)
BB
$7K (2)
🔀 1 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
MAINEHEALTH: Platner $5,420 / Mills $8,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$8.4B
Total Awards
68%
Defense ($2.7B)
1,335,907
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ship Building and Repairing · $2.6B Direct Health and Medical Insu · $586.1M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $412.4M Commercial and Institutional B · $142.3M Engineering Services · $104.2M Other Building Equipment Contr · $99.6M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, MAINE DEPARTM
$6.2B
BATH IRON WORKS CORPORATION
$2.5B
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$877.1M
MARTINS POINT HEALTH CARE INC
$586.0M
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$358.8M
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY MAINE
$215.2M
MAINE STATE HOUSING AUTHORITY
$114.1M
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY RESOURCES
$110.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Platner (D)
$16.3M
$2.2M
60%
87%
$323K
$15.1M
Collins (R)
$12.2M
$9.7M
13%
42%
$8.2M
$176K
Mills (D)
$5.8M
$717K
34%
88%
$16K
Kleban (D)
$459K
$420
20%
100%
Rodriguez (D)
$243K
23%
100%
Costello (D)
$150K
$42K
46%
72%
Rench (I)
$55K
$8K
23%
86%
Financial Breakdown
Total Raised
$16,312,222
Cash on Hand
$2,180,832
Disbursements
$14,131,391
Individual Contributions
$16,109,776
PAC Contributions
$174,684
Small Dollar %
60.1%
Burn Rate
86.6%
Net IE Advantage
$-14.8M
Total Raised
$12,165,046
Cash on Hand
$9,672,914
Disbursements
$5,068,440
Individual Contributions
$7,330,108
PAC Contributions
$985,550
Small Dollar %
13.4%
Burn Rate
41.7%
Net IE Advantage
+$8.0M
Mills (D)
Total Raised
$5,838,277
Cash on Hand
$716,903
Disbursements
$5,121,375
Individual Contributions
$5,494,457
PAC Contributions
$140,912
Small Dollar %
33.6%
Burn Rate
87.7%
Net IE Advantage
+$16K
Kleban (D)
Total Raised
$458,786
Cash on Hand
$420
Disbursements
$458,367
Individual Contributions
$244,075
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
20.2%
Burn Rate
99.9%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Rodriguez (D)
Total Raised
$242,582
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$242,582
Individual Contributions
$29,582
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
22.9%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Costello (D)
Total Raised
$149,655
Cash on Hand
$41,787
Disbursements
$107,868
Individual Contributions
$34,376
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
45.5%
Burn Rate
72.1%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Rench (I)
Total Raised
$55,500
Cash on Hand
$8,048
Disbursements
$47,452
Individual Contributions
$4,632
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
23.0%
Burn Rate
85.5%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Maine
Partisan Lean D+2
↘ Trending R+3

ME has a partisan lean of D+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+22).

Presidential Results
2020 D+8.9
2016 D+2.8
2012 D+15.1
2008 D+17.3
2004 D+9.0
Senate Results
2020 R+8.5
2018 R+24.8
2014 R+36.2
2012 R+16.9