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Senate · Maine · General Election

Maine Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$63.5M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$602.7M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$362.0M
29 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
EVEN
DEM $10.6M / REP $9.4M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Collins: Net IE: +2.0M
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
WINSENATE
Opposing Collins
$226.7M
Opposing Jackson
$109.9M
PINE TREE RESULTS PAC
Opposing Jackson
$67.3M
THE MAINE STANDARD
Opposing Jackson
$29.5M
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES
Opposing Collins
$19.9M
PINE TREE RESULTS PAC
Opposing Platner
$19.6M
WINSENATE
Opposing Jackson
$15.6M
Opposing Collins
$14.6M
CFFE PAC
Opposing Jackson
$13.3M
AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS
Opposing Collins
$9.9M
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
70%
DEM Price
↑ +18.5% 7d
30%
REP Price
↓ -27.2% 7d
$3.3M
Total Volume
24h: $135K
0.7%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +18.5% 30d REP: -27.2%
DEM 70% 70%62%55% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
REP 30% 44%36%30% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 54%
🔵 6 DEM whales ($115K)  ·  🔴 6 REP whales ($136K) · 4 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
HowBoutThemCowboys
REP
$43K
—
lastminwin
DEM
$33K
69¢ → 70¢ (+$570)
WordleAddict
REP
$22K
—
lomneivan
REP
$22K
—
Krang
REP
$21K
—
Kettle
DEM
$21K
64¢ → 70¢ (+$1,950)
skibabiba
DEM
$21K
66¢ → 70¢ (+$1,353)
SnowLover7
DEM
$19K
65¢ → 70¢ (+$1,488)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $13.7M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $362.0M in campaign spending in this race.
29
Corporate Clients
$13.7M
Lobbying Spend
$362.0M
Campaign Spending
109
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🛡️ Defense & Security 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 💰 Finance & Banking 🤖 Tech & AI
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. DBA AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS 💰 ⚡ 🛡️
$6.9M
$9.9M
Collins
PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERATION OF AMERICA, INC 🏥 🛡️ 💰
$1.9M
$19.9M
Collins
LTS
$540K
$67.3M
JACKSON
LEAGUE OF SOUTHEASTERN CREDIT UNIONS 🛡️ 💰
$440K
$9.9M
Collins
PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC 🛡️ 🏥 💰
$424K
$19.9M
Collins
THE LEAGUE OF CREDIT UNIONS & AFFILIATES 💰
$370K
$9.9M
Collins
CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. DBA AMERICAS CREDIT UNIONS 🛡️ 💰
$350K
$9.9M
Collins
SHIFT 5 🛡️ 🤖
$340K
$11K
Mills
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Platner (DEM) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$9K (33)
EXPEDITION CONSULTANT
$8K (4)
GOODNIGHT HOSPITALITY
$7K (3)
NEW YORK CITY
$7K (3)
SMITHSONIAN
$7K (2)
MOELIS &
$7K (3)
BUCKS MARINE
$7K (3)
TIME LOOPER
$7K (2)
VISTAPRINT
$7K (3)
Collins (GOP) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
BLACKSTONE
$82K (24)
KKR
$70K (20)
AMERICAN AIRLINES LOBBY+DONATE
$38K (30)
DCI GROUP
$21K (6)
GOLUB CAPITAL
$21K (9)
TAYLOR EQUITIES
$21K (6)
SANGUINE GAS EXPLORATION
$21K (6)
ATLAS HOLDINGS
$18K (8)
LIONSGATE
$17K (6)
CAPITAL GROUP
$16K (6)
Mills (DEM) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
TOTAL WINE & MORE
$21K (6)
LEE AUTO MALLS
$14K (4)
STATE OF MAINE
$13K (43)
PRETI FLAHERTY
$11K (14)
MAINEHEALTH
$8K (4)
KITEBROOK
$7K (2)
UCSF
$7K (2)
PRITZKER FAMILY FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
THE WISHCAMPER COMPANIES
$7K (2)
BB
$7K (2)
🔀 1 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
MAINEHEALTH: Platner $5,420 / Mills $8,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$8.4B
Total Awards
68%
Defense ($2.7B)
1,335,907
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ship Building and Repairing · $2.6B Direct Health and Medical Insu · $586.1M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $412.4M Commercial and Institutional B · $142.3M Engineering Services · $104.2M Other Building Equipment Contr · $99.6M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, MAINE DEPARTM
$6.2B
BATH IRON WORKS CORPORATION
$2.5B
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$877.1M
MARTINS POINT HEALTH CARE INC
$586.0M
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$358.8M
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY MAINE
$215.2M
MAINE STATE HOUSING AUTHORITY
$114.1M
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY RESOURCES
$110.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Jackson (D)
—
$26.9M
$1.6M
41%
94%
$41.1M
$212.6M
Collins (R)
—
$22.5M
$2.7M
17%
100%
$51.8M
$276.1M
Wood (D)
—
$6.4M
$19K
69%
100%
—
—
Mills (D)
—
$6.1M
$74K
34%
99%
$18K
—
Kleban (D)
—
$536K
$15K
18%
97%
—
—
Pelletier (D)
—
$427K
—
—
100%
—
—
Bellows (D)
—
$381K
$136
47%
100%
—
—
Shah (D)
—
$281K
—
22%
100%
—
—
Platner (D)
—
—
—
—
—
$792K
$20.3M
Financial Breakdown
Jackson (D)
Total Raised
$26,872,874
Cash on Hand
$1,596,871
Disbursements
$25,276,003
Individual Contributions
$23,977,119
PAC Contributions
$400,544
Small Dollar %
41.2%
Burn Rate
94.1%
Net IE Advantage
$-171.5M
Total Raised
$22,465,218
Cash on Hand
$2,689,883
Disbursements
$22,351,644
Individual Contributions
$15,299,979
PAC Contributions
$1,593,454
Small Dollar %
17.3%
Burn Rate
99.5%
Net IE Advantage
$-224.3M
Wood (D)
Total Raised
$6,391,430
Cash on Hand
$19,225
Disbursements
$6,372,205
Individual Contributions
$5,751,367
PAC Contributions
$37,600
Small Dollar %
69.0%
Burn Rate
99.7%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Mills (D)
Total Raised
$6,115,222
Cash on Hand
$74,198
Disbursements
$6,041,024
Individual Contributions
$5,494,657
PAC Contributions
$140,912
Small Dollar %
33.6%
Burn Rate
98.8%
Net IE Advantage
+$18K
Kleban (D)
Total Raised
$535,804
Cash on Hand
$15,160
Disbursements
$520,644
Individual Contributions
$296,092
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
17.8%
Burn Rate
97.2%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Pelletier (D)
Total Raised
$426,560
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$426,560
Individual Contributions
$0
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
0.0%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Bellows (D)
Total Raised
$381,371
Cash on Hand
$136
Disbursements
$381,235
Individual Contributions
$381,359
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
46.6%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Shah (D)
Total Raised
$280,757
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$280,757
Individual Contributions
$246,107
PAC Contributions
$750
Small Dollar %
21.6%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Maine
Partisan Lean D+2
↘ Trending R+3

ME has a partisan lean of D+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+22).

Presidential Results
2020 D+8.9
2016 D+2.8
2012 D+15.1
2008 D+17.3
2004 D+9.0
Senate Results
2020 R+8.5
2018 R+24.8
2014 R+36.2
2012 R+16.9