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Senate · Maine · General Election

Maine Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: June 9, 2026
C: Lean R S: Lean R S: Lean R I: Lean R
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$0
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe R
Signal Alignment REP at 100%
Data Signals
Money
EVEN
DEM $10.6M / REP $9.4M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
REP
Lean R (unanimous) — Cook: Lean R / Sabato: Lean R / Inside: Lean R
📈 Collins: Net IE: +2.0M
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
78%
DEM Price
+4.0% 7d
24%
REP Price
-3.9% 7d
$58K
Total Volume
24h: $116
0.5%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +6.8% 30d REP: -5.8%
DEM 78% 78%76%74% Mar 25Apr 09Apr 25
REP 24% 26%24%22% Mar 25Apr 09Apr 25
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: DEM 57%
🔵 5 DEM whales ($6K)  ·  🔴 5 REP whales ($2K) · 5 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
scottilicious
DEM
$2K
61¢ → 76¢ (+$472)
DBomb
DEM
$1K
73¢ → 76¢ (+$42)
Advertized
DEM
$1K
74¢ → 76¢ (+$14)
ilovepepefrog
DEM
$766
70¢ → 76¢ (+$58)
STEXRESPECTER
REP
$519
ElBorrachito
REP
$483
wokerjoesleeper
REP
$442
pcutz
REP
$434
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Platner (DEM) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
CUNY
$14K (4)
GOOGLE
$9K (33)
EXPEDITION CONSULTANT
$8K (4)
GOODNIGHT HOSPITALITY
$7K (3)
NEW YORK CITY
$7K (3)
SMITHSONIAN
$7K (2)
MOELIS &
$7K (3)
BUCKS MARINE
$7K (3)
TIME LOOPER
$7K (2)
VISTAPRINT
$7K (3)
Collins (GOP) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
BLACKSTONE
$82K (24)
KKR
$70K (20)
AMERICAN AIRLINES LOBBY+DONATE
$38K (30)
DCI GROUP
$21K (6)
GOLUB CAPITAL
$21K (9)
TAYLOR EQUITIES
$21K (6)
SANGUINE GAS EXPLORATION
$21K (6)
ATLAS HOLDINGS
$18K (8)
LIONSGATE
$17K (6)
CAPITAL GROUP
$16K (6)
Mills (DEM) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
TOTAL WINE & MORE
$21K (6)
LEE AUTO MALLS
$14K (4)
STATE OF MAINE
$13K (43)
PRETI FLAHERTY
$11K (14)
MAINEHEALTH
$8K (4)
KITEBROOK
$7K (2)
UCSF
$7K (2)
PRITZKER FAMILY FOUNDATION
$7K (2)
THE WISHCAMPER COMPANIES
$7K (2)
BB
$7K (2)
🔀 1 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
MAINEHEALTH: Platner $5,420 / Mills $8,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$8.4B
Total Awards
68%
Defense ($2.7B)
1,335,907
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Ship Building and Repairing · $2.6B Direct Health and Medical Insu · $586.1M Other Heavy and Civil Engineer · $412.4M Commercial and Institutional B · $142.3M Engineering Services · $104.2M Other Building Equipment Contr · $99.6M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, MAINE DEPARTM
$6.2B
BATH IRON WORKS CORPORATION
$2.5B
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$877.1M
MARTINS POINT HEALTH CARE INC
$586.0M
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$358.8M
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY MAINE
$215.2M
MAINE STATE HOUSING AUTHORITY
$114.1M
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY RESOURCES
$110.7M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Collins (R)
📜 Historical Context — Maine
Partisan Lean D+2
↘ Trending R+3

ME has a partisan lean of D+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+22).

Presidential Results
2020 D+8.9
2016 D+2.8
2012 D+15.1
2008 D+17.3
2004 D+9.0
Senate Results
2020 R+8.5
2018 R+24.8
2014 R+36.2
2012 R+16.9