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House · Maine · General Election

Maine 2nd

📅 General: November 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 03, 2026 09:35 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$4.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$3.8M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$5.3M
8 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Toss-Up
Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%
Data Signals
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
PROJECT 218
Supporting Baldacci
$2.3M
REAL CHANGE PAC
Supporting Baldacci
$1.1M
REAL CHANGE PAC
Supporting Dunlap
$379K
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION
Supporting Dunlap
$101K
THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CON
Supporting Lepage
$23K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $3.9M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $5.3M in campaign spending in this race.
8
Corporate Clients
$3.9M
Lobbying Spend
$5.3M
Campaign Spending
24
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🤖 Tech & AI 🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
NATIONAL NURSES UNITED 🤖 🏭 🏥
$1.5M
$101K
DUNLAP
AMERICAN NURSES ASSOCIATION 🏥 🤖 🛡️
$1.5M
$101K
DUNLAP
1 INC.
$280K
$2.3M
BALDACCI
ATI, INC.
$230K
$23K
LEPAGE
Y 🏥
$180K
$23K
LEPAGE
SES CORPORATION 🤖
$160K
$101K
DUNLAP
THE AI PROJECT
$0
$2.3M
BALDACCI
AC, INC.
$0
$379K
DUNLAP
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
WOOD (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)
MOTHERSHIP STRATEGIES
$39K (14)
SI
$7K (2)
FIRST SHIFT JUSTICE PROJECT
$7K (2)
MASTERCARD
$7K (2)
TAWANI ENTERPRISES
$7K (2)
J R DAVIDSON AND CO
$7K (2)
AMAZON WEB SERVICES
$6K (2)
LA WOMEN'S COLLECTIVE PAC
$5K (2)
LOVE AND CARROTS
$5K (4)
MESSAGE DIGITAL
$4K (2)
LEPAGE (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
PENOBSCOT MCCRUM
$21K (9)
EJ CARRIER
$21K (7)
G&E ROOFING
$14K (7)
RISBARA BROS. CONSTRUCTION
$10K (5)
PR FORTIN AND SONS
$7K (3)
COHEN PROPERTIES
$7K (3)
BOULOS COMPANY
$7K (3)
MARSH PROPERTIES
$7K (2)
CHAPMAN TRUCKING
$7K (3)
UFC
$7K (3)
DUNLAP (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
UNIVERSITY OF MAINE
$3K (11)
PERKINS THOMPSON PA
$2K (1)
EVERETT DEARMAN
$2K (2)
LOAVES AND FISHES FOOD PANTRY
$1K (2)
EPISCOPAL CHURCH
$1K (1)
MARIELLE GROH
$1K (1)
ATTORNEY
$1K (2)
K ROWE INVESTMENTS
$1K (1)
SUMMITT UTILITIES
$1K (1)
BIGELOW LABORATORY FOR OCEAN SCIENCE
$1K (1)
PINGREE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups
INCITE
$4K (1)
MAPETSI POLICY GROUP
$3K (2)
RAPOZA ASSOCIATES
$1K (1)
NESSEL DEVELOPMENT
$1K (1)
PJM PROPERTY MANAGEMENT
$1K (1)
NEW MEDIA FIRM
$600 (6)
LCI
$500 (1)
PROTECTERRA
$500 (2)
GALLEGOS CORP
$500 (1)
FRONTERA GROUP
$500 (1)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-02)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$8.4B
Total Awards
21%
Defense ($47.8M)
1,335,907
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Commercial and Institutional B · $59.1M Research and Development in th · $36.0M Other Technical and Trade Scho · $26.8M Perishable Prepared Food Manuf · $24.7M Petroleum Refineries · $19.1M Frozen Fruit, Juice, and Veget · $16.7M
Recipient Amount
HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, MAINE DEPARTM
$6.2B
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$877.1M
MAINE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
$358.8M
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY MAINE
$215.2M
MAINE STATE HOUSING AUTHORITY
$114.1M
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY RESOURCES
$110.7M
CIANBRO CORPORATION
$104.6M
JACKSON LABORATORY
$98.5M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Lepage (R)
—
$2.6M
$1.7M
12%
34%
$23K
—
Dunlap (D)
—
$1.2M
$229K
55%
81%
$480K
—
Baldacci (D)
—
$664K
$20K
12%
97%
$2.3M
$1.1M
Financial Breakdown
Lepage (R)
Total Raised
$2,563,901
Cash on Hand
$1,685,710
Disbursements
$878,191
Individual Contributions
$1,418,549
PAC Contributions
$403,301
Small Dollar %
11.8%
Burn Rate
34.3%
Net IE Advantage
+$23K
Dunlap (D)
Total Raised
$1,205,432
Cash on Hand
$228,649
Disbursements
$976,783
Individual Contributions
$1,181,075
PAC Contributions
$13,500
Small Dollar %
54.7%
Burn Rate
81.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$480K
Baldacci (D)
Total Raised
$664,203
Cash on Hand
$20,125
Disbursements
$644,078
Individual Contributions
$498,617
PAC Contributions
$74,050
Small Dollar %
12.3%
Burn Rate
97.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$1.2M
📜 Historical Context — Maine
Partisan Lean D+2
↘ Trending R+3

ME has a partisan lean of D+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+22).

Presidential Results
2020 D+8.9
2016 D+2.8
2012 D+15.1
2008 D+17.3
2004 D+9.0
Senate Results
2020 R+8.5
2018 R+24.8
2014 R+36.2
2012 R+16.9