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Senate · Illinois · General Election

Illinois Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Safe D S: Safe D S: Safe D I: Safe D
Last updated: Jul 06, 2026 11:32 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$0
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
DEM
Safe D (unanimous) — Cook: Safe D / Sabato: Safe D / Inside: Safe D
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
96%
DEM Price
-1.4% 7d
5%
REP Price
-11.2% 7d
$26K
Total Volume
24h: $49
0.2%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +1.3% 30d REP: -44.4%
DEM 96% 98%96%95% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
REP 5% 9%6%4% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
Spread: 2.8% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Normal
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$57.2B
Total Awards
37%
Defense ($3.3B)
12,802,023
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Research and Development in th · $2.1B Medical, Dental, and Hospital · $1.3B All Other Miscellaneous Manufa · $1.2B Service Establishment Equipmen · $959.0M Research and Development in th · $868.6M Engineering Services · $683.2M
Recipient Amount
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF HEALTHCARE & FAMI
$34.7B
ILLINOIS STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION
$3.9B
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$3.8B
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF HUMAN SERVICE
$2.6B
FERMI FORWARD DISCOVERY GROUP, LLC
$2.0B
UCHICAGO ARGONNE, LLC
$1.8B
CHICAGO TRANSIT AUTHORITY
$1.7B
W S DARLEY & CO
$1.6B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Duckworth (D)
📜 Historical Context — Illinois
Partisan Lean D+14
↘ Trending R+3

IL has a partisan lean of D+14. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+10).

Presidential Results
2020 D+16.9
2016 D+17.0
2012 D+16.9
2008 D+25.1
2004 D+10.3
Senate Results
2020 D+16.0
2016 D+15.1
2014 D+10.8
2010 (special) R+1.6