Safe D (unanimous) — Cook: Safe D / Sabato: Safe D / Inside: Safe D
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
93%
DEM Price
→0.0%7d
9%
REP Price
→+20.0%7d
$22K
Total Volume
24h: $6
0.6%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -0.5%30d REP: +50.0%
Spread: 0.7%Bid: 0.00Ask: 0.00Liquidity: Tight
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$57.2B
Total Awards
37%
Defense ($3.3B)
12,802,023
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Research and Development in th · $2.1B
Medical, Dental, and Hospital · $1.3B
All Other Miscellaneous Manufa · $1.2B
Service Establishment Equipmen · $959.0M
Research and Development in th · $868.6M
Engineering Services · $683.2M
RecipientAmount
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF HEALTHCARE & FAMI
$34.7B
ILLINOIS STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION
$3.9B
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$3.8B
ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF HUMAN SERVICE
$2.6B
FERMI FORWARD DISCOVERY GROUP, LLC
$2.0B
UCHICAGO ARGONNE, LLC
$1.8B
CHICAGO TRANSIT AUTHORITY
$1.7B
W S DARLEY & CO
$1.6B
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Duckworth (D)
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📜 Historical Context — Illinois
Partisan LeanD+14
↘ Trending R+3
IL has a partisan lean of D+14. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 3 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+10).