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Senate · Georgia · General Election

Georgia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Toss-Up S: Lean D S: Lean D I: Toss-Up
Last updated: Sep 03, 2026 09:35 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$0
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$0
Independent expenditures
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Money
DEM
DEM $1.2M / REP $0.0M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
EVEN
Toss-Up (split) — Cook: Toss-Up / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Toss-Up
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
94%
DEM Price
-0.3% 7d
6%
REP Price
0.0% 7d
$124K
Total Volume
24h: $22
0.2%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +0.4% 30d REP: -23.5%
DEM 94% 95%93%91% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
REP 6% 8%7%6% Aug 03Aug 19Sep 03
Spread: 0.6% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 60%
🔵 6 DEM whales ($15K)  ·  🔴 6 REP whales ($12K) · 4 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
Billy2025
DEM
$6K
85¢ → 94¢ (+$496)
SAPolitcsSeer
REP
$6K
93¢ → 6¢ (-$5,145)
StudentMoney
REP
$4K
89¢ → 6¢ (-$3,753)
Ryxon21
DEM
$3K
87¢ → 94¢ (+$198)
AuspiciousArt
DEM
$2K
94¢ → 94¢ (-$13)
SirHarryOakes
DEM
$2K
87¢ → 94¢ (+$140)
donthackme
REP
$1K
Pondermint
DEM
$1K
94¢ → 94¢ (-$2)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ossoff (DEM) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
THE CARSON FAMILY CHARITABLE TRUST
$7K (2)
THE BAUPOST GROUP
$7K (2)
ICV PARTNERS
$5K (2)
FARELLA BRAUN + MARTEL
$4K (1)
INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE
$4K (1)
ATHEBE
$3K (1)
MANZANITA CAPITAL
$3K (1)
PROTECTIVE LIFE INSURANCE
$3K (1)
EMORY UNIVERSITY
$3K (60)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$3K (65)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$42.5B
Total Awards
69%
Defense ($5.8B)
10,429,379
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Aircraft Manufacturing · $3.0B Engineering Services · $1.2B Facilities Support Services · $886.3M Commercial and Institutional B · $881.5M Research and Development in th · $602.4M Computer Systems Design Servic · $598.4M
Recipient Amount
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY HEALTH
$19.2B
GEORGIA DEPT OF EDUCATION
$3.6B
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
$3.0B
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.7B
GEORGIA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND HOMELAN
$2.2B
STATE OF GEORGIA
$1.3B
DEPARTMENT OF INSURANCE OF THE STATE OF
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EARLY CARE & LEARNING GEOR
$887.8M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ossoff (D)
📜 Historical Context — Georgia
Partisan Lean R+6
↗ Trending D+6

GA has a partisan lean of R+6. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 6 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+6).

Presidential Results
2020 D+0.3
2016 R+5.2
2012 R+7.8
2008 R+5.2
2004 R+16.6
Senate Results
2020 R+1.8
2020 (special) R+0.2
2016 R+13.8
2014 R+7.7