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Senate · Georgia · General Election

Georgia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Toss-Up S: Lean D S: Lean D I: Toss-Up
Last updated: Jul 06, 2026 11:32 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$19.1M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$12.2M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$4.3M
14 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Money
DEM
DEM $1.2M / REP $0.0M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
EVEN
Toss-Up (split) — Cook: Toss-Up / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Toss-Up
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
HARDWORKING AMERICANS INC.
Supporting Dooley
$8.9M
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Supporting Collins
$1.4M
WIN IT BACK PAC
Opposing Carter
$977K
GEORGIA VALUES
Supporting Collins
$853K
SLF PAC
Opposing Ossoff
$627K
AMERICA ONE
Opposing Ossoff
$175K
HARDWORKING AMERICANS INC.
Opposing Ossoff
$107K
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND
Supporting Collins
$46K
FORWARD BLUE
Opposing Ossoff
$20K
CATHOLICVOTE.ORG
Opposing Ossoff
$18K
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
86%
DEM Price
→ +0.6% 7d
14%
REP Price
→ +4.4% 7d
$37K
Total Volume
24h: $0
0.3%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: +1.8% 30d REP: -2.4%
DEM 86% 87%86%84% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
REP 14% 16%15%13% Jun 07Jun 22Jul 06
Spread: 1.0% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 58%
🔵 8 DEM whales ($5K)  ·  🔴 8 REP whales ($4K) · 2 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
SirHarryOakes
DEM
$2K
87¢ → 86¢ (-$6)
Eatpraylove
REP
$1K
77¢ → 14¢ (-$851)
Ryxon21
DEM
$1K
85¢ → 86¢ (+$20)
Billy2025
DEM
$681
76¢ → 86¢ (+$81)
1nd7392nd821lu
DEM
$558
83¢ → 86¢ (+$24)
i2dt
REP
$554
84¢ → 14¢ (-$449)
korda77
REP
$541
—
influenz.eth
REP
$361
—
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $9.8M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $4.3M in campaign spending in this race.
14
Corporate Clients
$9.8M
Lobbying Spend
$4.3M
Campaign Spending
63
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking 🛡️ Defense & Security
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
BP AMERICA, INC ⚡ 🏭 🛡️
$7.3M
$175K
OSSOFF
CJ AMERICA, INC.
$500K
$175K
OSSOFF
UP FOR GROWTH ACTION INC 🏥 💰 🏭
$490K
$3K
COLLINS
PRISON FELLOWSHIP MINISTRIES 🤖
$313K
$1.4M
COLLINS
TURNING POINT BRANDS
$250K
$1K
COLLINS
ATI, INC.
$210K
$46K
COLLINS
NATIONAL CLUB ASSOCIATION 🏥
$200K
$3K
COLLINS
THE AMERICAN CLUB 🏥 💰
$150K
$3K
COLLINS
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ossoff (DEM) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
THE CARSON FAMILY CHARITABLE TRUST
$7K (2)
THE BAUPOST GROUP
$7K (2)
ICV PARTNERS
$5K (2)
FARELLA BRAUN + MARTEL
$4K (1)
INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE
$4K (1)
ATHEBE
$3K (1)
MANZANITA CAPITAL
$3K (1)
PROTECTIVE LIFE INSURANCE
$3K (1)
EMORY UNIVERSITY
$3K (60)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$3K (65)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$42.5B
Total Awards
69%
Defense ($5.8B)
10,429,379
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Aircraft Manufacturing · $3.0B Engineering Services · $1.2B Facilities Support Services · $886.3M Commercial and Institutional B · $881.5M Research and Development in th · $602.4M Computer Systems Design Servic · $598.4M
Recipient Amount
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY HEALTH
$19.2B
GEORGIA DEPT OF EDUCATION
$3.6B
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
$3.0B
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.7B
GEORGIA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND HOMELAN
$2.2B
STATE OF GEORGIA
$1.3B
DEPARTMENT OF INSURANCE OF THE STATE OF
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EARLY CARE & LEARNING GEOR
$887.8M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ossoff (D)
—
$1.9M
$4.0M
41%
136%
—
$7K
Carter (R)
—
$6.8M
$1.7M
23%
119%
—
$977K
Collins (R)
—
$5.5M
$1.7M
49%
79%
$1.5M
$853K
Dooley (R)
—
$4.2M
$1.7M
3%
60%
$8.9M
—
King (R)
—
$563K
—
5%
100%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Ossoff (D)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @ossaborrowsky 📋 FEC
Total Raised
$1,949,647
Cash on Hand
$4,041,496
Disbursements
$2,646,726
Individual Contributions
$1,832,129
PAC Contributions
$51,500
Small Dollar %
41.1%
Burn Rate
135.8%
Net IE Advantage
$-7K
Carter (R)
Total Raised
$6,842,706
Cash on Hand
$1,714,239
Disbursements
$8,147,398
Individual Contributions
$2,040,840
PAC Contributions
$1,065,775
Small Dollar %
23.1%
Burn Rate
119.1%
Net IE Advantage
$-977K
Collins (R)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @SenatorCollins 📋 FEC
Total Raised
$5,546,637
Cash on Hand
$1,747,756
Disbursements
$4,403,017
Individual Contributions
$3,809,196
PAC Contributions
$305,600
Small Dollar %
48.6%
Burn Rate
79.4%
Net IE Advantage
+$597K
Dooley (R)
Total Raised
$4,175,481
Cash on Hand
$1,668,910
Disbursements
$2,506,570
Individual Contributions
$4,142,680
PAC Contributions
$30,499
Small Dollar %
2.9%
Burn Rate
60.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$8.9M
King (R)
Total Raised
$563,078
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$563,078
Individual Contributions
$551,345
PAC Contributions
$11,500
Small Dollar %
5.0%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Georgia
Partisan Lean R+6
↗ Trending D+6

GA has a partisan lean of R+6. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 6 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+6).

Presidential Results
2020 D+0.3
2016 R+5.2
2012 R+7.8
2008 R+5.2
2004 R+16.6
Senate Results
2020 R+1.8
2020 (special) R+0.2
2016 R+13.8
2014 R+7.7