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Senate · Georgia · General Election

Georgia Senate

📅 General: November 3, 2026
C: Toss-Up S: Lean D S: Lean D I: Toss-Up
Last updated: Nov 01, 2026 06:45 PM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$95.9M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$60.6M
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$491.4M
183 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Money
DEM
DEM $1.2M / REP $0.0M (raised + IE)
Expert Ratings
EVEN
Toss-Up (split) — Cook: Toss-Up / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Toss-Up
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
SLF PAC
Opposing Ossoff
$72.8M
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.
Opposing Ossoff
$24.6M
THE GEORGIA WAY
Opposing Collins
$21.2M
LOWER COSTS NOW
Opposing Collins
$14.6M
AB PAC
Opposing Ossoff
$13.0M
NEW ENGAGEMENT PAC
Opposing Collins
$6.2M
GEORGIA VALUES
Opposing Collins
$5.3M
FELLOWSHIP PAC
Opposing Collins
$4.2M
CARE IN ACTION PAC
Opposing Ossoff
$2.2M
GOVERNMENT THAT WORKS PAC
Opposing Ossoff
$2.0M
📊 Market Intelligence — Polymarket
97%
DEM Price
→ +1.2% 7d
3%
REP Price
→ -26.5% 7d
$455K
Total Volume
24h: $55K
0.1%
Volatility
Low
30d DEM: -0.2% 30d REP: +7.0%
DEM 97% 98%97%95% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
REP 3% 4%3%2% Oct 01Oct 16Nov 01
Spread: 0.5% Bid: 0.00 Ask: 0.00 Liquidity: Tight
🐋 Whale Positions — Polymarket
Smart Money: REP 57%
🔵 8 DEM whales ($74K)  ·  🔴 8 REP whales ($43K) · 2 hedged wallets filtered
Trader
Side
Position
Entry → Current (P&L)
sherrone-more
DEM
$29K
96¢ → 97¢ (+$345)
JerryFloyd
DEM
$20K
96¢ → 97¢ (+$135)
SAPolitcsSeer
REP
$19K
95¢ → 3¢ (-$18,101)
SnowLover7
REP
$16K
85¢ → 3¢ (-$13,160)
danypotter
DEM
$12K
97¢ → 97¢ (+$43)
thoodr
DEM
$11K
97¢ → 97¢ (+$30)
MrNoItAll
REP
$7K
96¢ → 3¢ (-$6,743)
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e
REP
$587
4¢ → 3¢ (-$268)
Directional positions only. Hedged wallets (holding both sides) are excluded. P&L derived from entry vs current price.
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $97.7M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $491.4M in campaign spending in this race.
183
Corporate Clients
$97.7M
Lobbying Spend
$491.4M
Campaign Spending
726
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 💰 Finance & Banking 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
PHARMACEUTICAL CARE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION 🏥 💰 🛡️
$21.5M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE NORTH AMERICA 🏥 🏭 🛡️
$10.2M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
AMERICAN HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATION 🏥 🤖 🛡️
$9.1M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
HEALTH CARE SERVICE CORPORATION, A MUTUAL LEGAL RESERVE COMPANY (HCSC) 🏥 🛡️ 🤖
$7.0M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
NATIONAL ALLIANCE FOR CARE AT HOME (FORMERLY NATL ASSN FOR HOME CARE & HOSPICE) 🏥 🛡️
$4.5M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION 🏥
$3.1M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION
$3.0M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
KIDNEY CARE PARTNERS 🏥 💰
$1.7M
$2.2M
OSSOFF
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
Ossoff (DEM) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
THE CARSON FAMILY CHARITABLE TRUST
$7K (2)
THE BAUPOST GROUP
$7K (2)
ICV PARTNERS
$5K (2)
FARELLA BRAUN + MARTEL
$4K (1)
INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE
$4K (1)
ATHEBE
$3K (1)
MANZANITA CAPITAL
$3K (1)
PROTECTIVE LIFE INSURANCE
$3K (1)
EMORY UNIVERSITY
$3K (60)
MICROSOFT LOBBY+DONATE
$3K (65)
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (statewide)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$42.5B
Total Awards
69%
Defense ($5.8B)
10,429,379
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Aircraft Manufacturing · $3.0B Engineering Services · $1.2B Facilities Support Services · $886.3M Commercial and Institutional B · $881.5M Research and Development in th · $602.4M Computer Systems Design Servic · $598.4M
Recipient Amount
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY HEALTH
$19.2B
GEORGIA DEPT OF EDUCATION
$3.6B
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
$3.0B
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
$2.7B
GEORGIA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND HOMELAN
$2.2B
STATE OF GEORGIA
$1.3B
DEPARTMENT OF INSURANCE OF THE STATE OF
$1.0B
DEPARTMENT OF EARLY CARE & LEARNING GEOR
$887.8M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Ossoff (D)
—
$3.6M
$4.1M
50%
118%
—
$7K
Walker (R)
—
$73.7M
$5.0M
50%
93%
—
—
Collins (R)
—
$10.7M
$1.1M
43%
95%
$10.2M
$49.5M
Carter (R)
—
$7.3M
$59K
25%
140%
—
$977K
King (R)
—
$563K
—
5%
100%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Ossoff (D)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @ossaborrowsky 📋 FEC
Total Raised
$3,559,333
Cash on Hand
$4,104,891
Disbursements
$4,193,017
Individual Contributions
$3,353,020
PAC Contributions
$91,500
Small Dollar %
49.8%
Burn Rate
117.8%
Net IE Advantage
$-7K
Walker (R)
Total Raised
$73,748,652
Cash on Hand
$5,021,680
Disbursements
$68,726,972
Individual Contributions
$70,457,502
PAC Contributions
$1,054,792
Small Dollar %
50.1%
Burn Rate
93.2%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Collins (R)
🌐 Website 𝕏 @SenatorCollins 📋 FEC
Total Raised
$10,679,277
Cash on Hand
$1,103,682
Disbursements
$10,178,766
Individual Contributions
$7,067,193
PAC Contributions
$675,575
Small Dollar %
43.1%
Burn Rate
95.3%
Net IE Advantage
$-39.3M
Carter (R)
Total Raised
$7,323,301
Cash on Hand
$58,641
Disbursements
$10,283,590
Individual Contributions
$1,944,349
PAC Contributions
$1,114,775
Small Dollar %
25.2%
Burn Rate
140.4%
Net IE Advantage
$-977K
King (R)
Total Raised
$563,078
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$563,078
Individual Contributions
$551,345
PAC Contributions
$11,500
Small Dollar %
5.0%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Georgia
Partisan Lean R+6
↗ Trending D+6

GA has a partisan lean of R+6. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 6 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+6).

Presidential Results
2020 D+0.3
2016 R+5.2
2012 R+7.8
2008 R+5.2
2004 R+16.6
Senate Results
2020 R+1.8
2020 (special) R+0.2
2016 R+13.8
2014 R+7.7