Colorado 3rd — Election Intelligence

🧠 Race Intelligence

Safe D

Signal Alignment DEM at 100%

Data Signals

Voter Registration

DEM

D+140,000 (4.0%) (GOP gaining 19,000 registration edge since 2024-11)

📈 Evans: Net IE: +322K

📈 REP candidates: GOP gaining 19,000 registration edge since 2024-11

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA

Supporting Evans

$224K

LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR A SAFER AMERICA PAC

Supporting Evans

$160K

TRUST BRIGADE

Supporting Evans

$93K

HONORING AMERICAN LAW ENFORCEMENT PAC

Supporting Evans

$48K

LGBTQ CONNECTION PAC

Supporting Evans

$25K

🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A

Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.

LAUBACHER (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (9 also lobby Congress)

DEARBORN PARTNERS

$7K (1)

ROPES & GRAY

$4K (2)

LARKSPUR MGMT

$4K (8)

WOODWELL CLIMATE RESEARCH CENTER

$4K (1)

LOCKHEED MARTIN LOBBY+DONATE

$4K (28)

EDEN ASSET MANAGEMENT

$4K (1)

WILLIAM RANDALL

$4K (1)

DONALD H. HENLEY

$4K (3)

WHOLE FOODS

$3K (4)

LINQUEST

$3K (7)

EVANS (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)

PIVOT ENERGY

$17K (21)

CHARLES POTOMAC CAPITAL

$14K (6)

MONARCH

$14K (4)

HILLWOOD

$14K (4)

ENTREPRENEUR

$14K (4)

STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES

$14K (4)

ACADEMY PARTNER GROUP

$14K (4)

PERFORMANCE CONTRACTORS

$14K (4)

SPIERER WOODWARD

$14K (10)

CROWNQUEST OPERATING

$14K (4)

RUTINEL (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)

ANTHROPIC

$63K (27)

OPEN PHILANTHROPY

$53K (21)

OPENAI

$28K (11)

ALIGNMENT RESEARCH CENTER

$14K (4)

RETHINK PRIORITIES

$14K (4)

DAVIS POLK & WARDWELL

$14K (5)

NEW YORK UNIVERSITY

$11K (21)

MODEL EVALUATION & THREAT RESEARCH

$11K (4)

META

$10K (4)

PLEASANT PEDIATRICS

$9K (3)

HURD (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)

SULLIVAN & CROMWELL

$74K (29)

TRIBAL FUND

$63K (27)

TRIBAL FUNDS

$52K (18)

VALMORE GP

$17K (6)

WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT

$14K (4)

FULL CIRCLE

$14K (4)

ENSTROM CANDIES

$10K (3)

SHAW CONSTRUCTION

$10K (3)

WHEELER TRIGG O'DONNELL

$10K (3)

ENERGY TRANSFER PARTNERS

$8K (3)

NEGUSE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)

BROWNSTEIN HYATT FARBER SCHRECK

$25K (16)

HOLLAND & HART

$16K (13)

DAVITA

$13K (7)

FOUNDRY GROUP

$12K (6)

ARNOLD VENTURES

$12K (3)

UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO

$12K (7)

PERRY JACOBSON

$7K (4)

LONE PINE CAPITAL

$7K (2)

LUPA SYSTEMS

$7K (2)

JUST CREATIVE PARTNERS

$7K (2)

CALVARESE (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)

HOPE CLINIC

$7K (4)

WINDOW WORLD

$4K (1)

EXETOR

$4K (1)

AVERI

$4K (1)

DONALD HENLEY

$3K (2)

GENERATION TUX

$3K (3)

ALBRIGHT STONEBRIDGE GROUP

$2K (2)

CROSS BORDER ANALYTICS

$2K (5)

STERLING-RICE GROUP

$2K (5)

BARD COLLEGE

$1K (1)

KILLIN (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)

LATHAM & WATKINS

$26K (11)

JENNER & BLOCK

$19K (6)

TEMPO ASSIST

$14K (4)

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

$14K (4)

FS VECTOR

$13K (9)

KIRKLAND & ELLIS

$10K (4)

ENOVA INTERNATIONAL

$10K (6)

QED INVESTORS

$8K (4)

CIRCLE INTERNET FINANCIAL

$8K (3)

CANAPI

$8K (3)

CROW (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)

PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES LOBBY+DONATE

$16K (12)

HOLLAND & HART

$10K (20)

YORK SPACE SYSTEMS

$10K (8)

VISTA LIFESCIENCES

$9K (8)

UNITED LAUNCH ALLIANCE LOBBY+DONATE

$8K (11)

THE CARSON FAMILY CHARITABLE TRUST

$7K (2)

NEOTERIC BEAUTY HOLDINGS

$7K (2)

MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL

$7K (2)

SIERRA NEVADA

$7K (2)

COLORADO UROLOGY

$7K (2)

🔀 14 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
ANTHROPIC: LAUBACHER $2,250 / RUTINEL $63,200. BROWNSTEIN HYATT FARBER SCHRECK: NEGUSE $25,325 / CROW $6,750. VALMORE GP: EVANS $13,143 / HURD $16,643.

Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence

Federal Spending Context (CD-03)

Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov

$26.7B

Total Awards

3%

Defense ($16.2M)

5,607,154

Population

Top Industries & Recipients ▾

Hazardous Waste Treatment and · $237.8M Remediation Services · $68.5M Commercial and Institutional B · $66.7M Nonscheduled Chartered Freight · $29.2M Support Activities for Forestr · $28.2M Highway, Street, and Bridge Co · $17.2M

Recipient Amount

GRAND JUNCTION REGIONAL AIRPORT AUTHORIT

$54.8M

HAWK CONTRACTING GROUP LLC

$44.7M

CONSERVATION LEGACY

$40.0M

ROARING FORK TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY

$32.8M

DEPARTMENT OF HUMAN SERVICES COLORADO

$25.3M

CAE USA INC.

$19.4M

CITY OF PUEBLO, COLORADO MUNICIPAL BUILD

$15.5M

WCA CONSTRUCTION, LLC

$15.5M

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Hurd (R)

—

$3.0M

$1.9M

4%

36%

—

Financial Breakdown

Hurd (R)

Total Raised

$2,996,054

Cash on Hand

$1,936,708

Disbursements

$1,068,482

Individual Contributions

$1,619,473

PAC Contributions

$419,101

Small Dollar %

4.2%

Burn Rate

35.7%

Net IE Advantage

$0

📜 Historical Context — Colorado

Partisan Lean D+6

↗ Trending D+7

CO has a partisan lean of D+6. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Democrats won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+4).

Presidential Results

2020 D+13.4

2016 D+4.9

2012 D+5.4

2008 D+9.0

2004 R+4.7

Senate Results

2020 D+9.3

2016 D+5.7

2014 R+1.9

2010 D+1.7