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House · California · General Election

California 47th

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: June 2, 2026

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026 04:51 AM

Poll Leader

No polls

0 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

$35.3M

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

$982K

Independent expenditures

Corporate Influence

$1.0M

24 lobbying clients

🧠 Race Intelligence

Toss-Up

Signal Alignment INSUFFICIENT DATA at 0%

Data Signals

📉 Kim: Net IE: -952K

🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race

Committee

Direction

Amount

AMERICANS 4 SECURITY PAC

Opposing Kim

$947K

ORANGE COUNTY PAC

Supporting Tran

$11K

YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC

Opposing Calvert

$7K

THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CON

Supporting Tran

$5K

THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CON

Opposing Whitesides

$5K

ACTIVATE AMERICA

Opposing Calvert

$4K

YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC

Opposing Kim

$3K

ACTIVATE AMERICA

Opposing Valadao

$3K

ACTIVATE AMERICA

Opposing Kim

$2K

🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline

Companies spending $742K lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $1.0M in campaign spending in this race.

Corporate Clients

$742K

Lobbying Spend

$1.0M

Campaign Spending

Lobbyists

Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race

🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security ⚡ Energy & Utilities 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing

Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate

SIERRA CLUB 🏭 🏥 ⚡

$130K

$10

TRAN

ORANGE COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY

$68K

$11K

TRAN

LOS ANGELES COUNTY 🏥 💰

$50K

WHITESIDES

ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION

$50K

$11K

TRAN

LOS ANGELES COUNTY EMPLOYEES' RETIREMENT SYSTEM 🛡️

$50K

WHITESIDES

ORANGE COUNTY WATER DISTRICT

$40K

$11K

TRAN

COUNTY OF LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA 🏥

$40K

WHITESIDES

LOS ANGELES COUNTY DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY

$40K

WHITESIDES

Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Khanna (D)

—

$9.6M

$15.5M

10%

50%

—

Kim (R)

—

$6.3M

$5.5M

40%

41%

—

$952K

Calvert (R)

—

$4.3M

$3.4M

14%

27%

—

$11K

Valadao (R)

—

$3.1M

$2.1M

32%

—

$3K

Tran (D)

—

$3.0M

$2.3M

23%

35%

$6K

$5K

Aguilar (D)

—

$3.0M

$3.2M

13%

81%

$29

—

Whitesides (D)

—

$3.0M

$2.3M

14%

33%

$210

$5K

Liccardo (D)

—

$2.9M

$2.0M

35%

—

Financial Breakdown

Khanna (D)

Total Raised

$9,579,628

Cash on Hand

$15,454,963

Disbursements

$4,833,756

Individual Contributions

$9,095,653

PAC Contributions

$500

Small Dollar %

10.4%

Burn Rate

50.5%

Net IE Advantage

Kim (R)

Total Raised

$6,339,771

Cash on Hand

$5,496,764

Disbursements

$2,580,505

Individual Contributions

$3,793,203

PAC Contributions

$1,112,420

Small Dollar %

39.6%

Burn Rate

40.7%

Net IE Advantage

$-952K

Calvert (R)

Total Raised

$4,343,644

Cash on Hand

$3,416,882

Disbursements

$1,188,897

Individual Contributions

$1,604,945

PAC Contributions

$977,327

Small Dollar %

13.5%

Burn Rate

27.4%

Net IE Advantage

$-11K

Valadao (R)

Total Raised

$3,062,912

Cash on Hand

$2,120,746

Disbursements

$987,702

Individual Contributions

$803,758

PAC Contributions

$1,196,667

Small Dollar %

7.2%

Burn Rate

32.2%

Net IE Advantage

$-3K

Tran (D)

Total Raised

$3,032,585

Cash on Hand

$2,285,907

Disbursements

$1,074,001

Individual Contributions

$2,137,015

PAC Contributions

$698,871

Small Dollar %

23.2%

Burn Rate

35.4%

Net IE Advantage

+$2K

Aguilar (D)

Total Raised

$3,026,029

Cash on Hand

$3,212,145

Disbursements

$2,462,955

Individual Contributions

$1,234,044

PAC Contributions

$1,300,351

Small Dollar %

12.8%

Burn Rate

81.4%

Net IE Advantage

+$29

Whitesides (D)

Total Raised

$2,967,497

Cash on Hand

$2,318,444

Disbursements

$975,787

Individual Contributions

$2,071,167

PAC Contributions

$490,338

Small Dollar %

13.7%

Burn Rate

32.9%

Net IE Advantage

$-4K

Liccardo (D)

Total Raised

$2,949,934

Cash on Hand

$1,995,066

Disbursements

$1,045,260

Individual Contributions

$1,272,450

PAC Contributions

$390,250

Small Dollar %

1.1%

Burn Rate

35.4%

Net IE Advantage

📜 Historical Context — California

Partisan Lean D+26

↗ Trending D+4

CA has a partisan lean of D+26. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 4 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+30).

Presidential Results

2020 D+29.2

2016 D+30.1

2012 D+23.1

2008 D+24.0

2004 D+9.9

Senate Results

2018 D+45.8

2016 D+38.4

2012 D+25.0

2010 D+10.0

California 47th

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