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House · California · General Election

California 45th

📅 General: November 3, 2026 · Primary: June 2, 2026
C: Lean D S: Lean D I: Lean D
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026 04:48 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$3.9M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$11K
Independent expenditures
Corporate Influence
$243K
29 lobbying clients
🧠 Race Intelligence
Safe D
Signal Alignment DEM at 100%
Data Signals
Expert Ratings
DEM
Lean D (unanimous) — Cook: Lean D / Sabato: Lean D / Inside: Lean D
📉 Kim: Net IE: -952K
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
Opposing Kim
$3.2M
ABUNDANT FUTURE
Opposing Chakrabarti
$483K
ORANGE COUNTY PAC
Supporting Tran
$11K
YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC
Opposing Calvert
$7K
ACTIVATE AMERICA
Opposing Calvert
$4K
ACTIVATE AMERICA
Opposing Valadao
$3K
YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC
Opposing Kim
$3K
ACTIVATE AMERICA
Opposing Kim
$2K
🏛️ Corporate Influence Pipeline
Companies spending $3.1M lobbying Congress are simultaneously directing $243K in campaign spending in this race.
29
Corporate Clients
$3.1M
Lobbying Spend
$243K
Campaign Spending
66
Lobbyists
Lobbying Issues Connected to This Race
🏥 Healthcare & Pharma 🛡️ Defense & Security 🏭 Trade & Manufacturing 💰 Finance & Banking
Company Lobbying $ Campaign $ Candidate
SIERRA CLUB 🏭 🏥 ⚡
$550K
$10
TRAN
ORANGE COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
$338K
$11K
TRAN
COUNTY OF ORANGE 🏥
$300K
$11K
TRAN
ATI, INC.
$210K
$5K
TRAN
NATIONAL CLUB ASSOCIATION 🏥
$180K
$10
TRAN
ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION
$160K
$11K
TRAN
Y 🏥
$150K
$11K
TRAN
THE AMERICAN CLUB 🏥 💰
$150K
$10
TRAN
Source: Senate LDA filings + FEC data via Hammerhead Intelligence. Lobbying $ = annual reported federal lobbying expenditures (company-wide). Campaign $ = IE spending directed at candidates in this specific race.
🏢 Donor Employer Groups — FEC Schedule A
Individual contributions aggregated by employer. Contributions are from employees, not the companies themselves.
KHANNA (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (5 also lobby Congress)
GOOGLE
$110K (56)
SV ANGEL
$42K (15)
APPLE LOBBY+DONATE
$42K (28)
DRAGONEER INVESTMENT GROUP
$35K (11)
STANFORD UNIVERSITY
$33K (29)
ROCKET MONEY
$28K (8)
WESTCAP
$28K (8)
LIGHTSPEED VENTURE PARTNERS
$28K (8)
SACHS POLICY GROUP
$28K (8)
MONGODB
$28K (8)
KIM (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups
BEST EFFORTS MADE
$17K (12)
STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
STARLIGHT INDUSTRIES
$14K (3)
ELLIOTT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
ROUTE 66 SHOOTING SPORTS PARK
$14K (4)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES
$14K (4)
ARES MANAGEMENT
$9K (3)
GLOBAL CREDIT ADVISORS
$8K (3)
JEVAN ZANDT VA HOSPITAL
$8K (90)
CALVERT (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (4 also lobby Congress)
TURBINEONE
$21K (6)
JOHNSON MACHINERY
$18K (7)
GENERAL ATOMICS LOBBY+DONATE
$18K (6)
CENTAURUS FINANCIAL
$18K (5)
REPUBLIC CONSULTING
$17K (5)
ASTRANIS
$16K (8)
KAREM AIRCRAFT
$15K (6)
WINKLEVOSS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
INKIT
$14K (5)
CHANDI GROUP USA
$14K (4)
VALADAO (REPUBLICAN PARTY) Top employer groups (1 also lobby Congress)
NEXTERA ENERGY LOBBY+DONATE
$20K (19)
EVGO
$19K (9)
INVESTOR
$14K (5)
PHOENIX MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
STARKEY HEARING TECHNOLOGIES
$14K (4)
PERFORMANCE CONTRACTORS
$14K (4)
FOUNDERS FUND
$14K (4)
STATION CASINOS
$14K (4)
FRANKLIN MOUNTAIN MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
SILVER EAGLE DISTRIBUTORS
$11K (8)
TRAN (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (2 also lobby Congress)
ACTS LAW
$22K (7)
SINGLETON SCHREIBER
$20K (13)
GREENE BROILLET & WHEELER
$20K (6)
TAYLOR & RING
$15K (4)
SANDERSON J. RAY DEVELOPMENT
$10K (3)
DORDICK LAW CORP
$10K (3)
ALTAIR LAW
$10K (3)
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
$10K (13)
ARIAS SANGUINETTI WANG & TEAM
$9K (5)
ABIR COHEN TREYZON SALO
$9K (4)
AGUILAR (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
GENTEX
$24K (8)
JORDAN REAL ESTATE
$14K (3)
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT
$14K (4)
ANDREESSEN HOROWITZ
$14K (4)
BGR GROUP
$13K (13)
PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES LOBBY+DONATE
$10K (4)
ROCKET COMPANIES
$10K (3)
JPMORGAN CHASE
$9K (5)
CEDARS-SINAI
$9K (9)
ESRI
$8K (7)
WHITESIDES (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (6 also lobby Congress)
MEDLEY PARTNERS
$14K (4)
CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS
$14K (4)
JANE STREET CAPITAL
$14K (4)
HARVARD UNIVERSITY
$13K (65)
QUINN EMANUEL
$10K (3)
STANFORD UNIVERSITY
$9K (9)
MIT
$8K (8)
GOOGLE
$8K (7)
VOYAGER SPACE HOLDINGS
$7K (2)
JUST CREATIVE PARTNERS
$7K (2)
LICCARDO (DEMOCRATIC PARTY) Top employer groups (7 also lobby Congress)
GOOGLE
$46K (18)
BROADCOM
$30K (10)
STANFORD UNIVERSITY
$20K (11)
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS
$18K (4)
ROBINHOOD MARKETS
$16K (6)
COINBASE
$16K (6)
META
$15K (5)
TARANA WIRELESS
$14K (5)
SYNAPTICS
$14K (4)
LEARN AND PLAY MONTESSORI SCHOOL
$14K (4)
🔀 23 SPLIT DONORS — Employers whose staff donate to both sides
GOOGLE: KHANNA $109,965 / WHITESIDES $7,750 / LICCARDO $46,500. STANFORD UNIVERSITY: KHANNA $33,435 / WHITESIDES $8,800 / LICCARDO $19,500. APPLE: KHANNA $41,877 / LICCARDO $8,000.
Source: FEC Schedule A (2026 cycle) via Hammerhead Intelligence
Federal Spending Context (CD-45)
Federal awards flowing into this jurisdiction · Source: USAspending.gov
$207.1B
Total Awards
35%
Defense ($89.4M)
39,536,653
Population
Top Industries & Recipients ▾
Process, Physical Distribution · $99.9M Search, Detection, Navigation, · $62.8M Other Aircraft Parts and Auxil · $20.0M Electronic Computer Manufactur · $17.0M Research and Development in th · $14.2M Engineering Services · $12.5M
Recipient Amount
INSIGHT PACIFIC, LLC
$75.6M
RAYTHEON COMPANY
$67.9M
RAYTHEON COMPANY
$60.1M
FAR WEST CONTRACTORS CORP
$39.0M
FLORENCE CRITTENTON SERVICES OF ORANGE C
$35.4M
INSIGHT ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING & CONS
$24.8M
MIK CONSTRUCTION INC
$19.3M
MID-ATLANTIC COMPUTER SERVICES, LLC
$17.6M
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Tran (D)
$3.9M
$2.6M
25%
40%
$6K
$5K
Financial Breakdown
Tran (D)
Total Raised
$3,860,528
Cash on Hand
$2,637,758
Disbursements
$1,550,093
Individual Contributions
$2,770,543
PAC Contributions
$859,121
Small Dollar %
24.9%
Burn Rate
40.2%
Net IE Advantage
+$2K
📜 Historical Context — California
Partisan Lean D+26
↗ Trending D+4

CA has a partisan lean of D+26. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 4 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+30).

Presidential Results
2020 D+29.2
2016 D+30.1
2012 D+23.1
2008 D+24.0
2004 D+9.9
Senate Results
2018 D+45.8
2016 D+38.4
2012 D+25.0
2010 D+10.0