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Senate · Texas · Republican Primary

Texas Senate GOP Primary

C: Likely R S: Likely R S: Likely R
Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$11.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$32.5M
Independent expenditures
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
TEXANS FOR A CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY
Opposing Paxton
$20.3M
TEXANS FOR A CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY
Supporting Cornyn
$9.9M
LONE STAR LIBERTY PAC
Supporting Cornyn
$748K
FIGHTING FOR TEXAS
Supporting Cornyn
$700K
CLEARPATH ACTION FUND, INC.
Supporting Cornyn
$515K
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL AC
Supporting Cornyn
$288K
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Paxton (R)
—
$5.9M
$3.9M
13%
33%
$721
$20.3M
Cornyn (R)
—
$5.5M
$5.0M
5%
84%
$10.7M
$1.4M
Financial Breakdown
Paxton (R)
Total Raised
$5,857,093
Cash on Hand
$3,931,277
Disbursements
$1,925,816
Individual Contributions
$5,834,256
PAC Contributions
$21,500
Small Dollar %
13.2%
Burn Rate
32.9%
Net IE Advantage
$-20.3M
Cornyn (R)
Total Raised
$5,498,119
Cash on Hand
$4,972,818
Disbursements
$4,647,584
Individual Contributions
$2,014,113
PAC Contributions
$649,693
Small Dollar %
5.2%
Burn Rate
84.5%
Net IE Advantage
+$9.3M
📜 Historical Context — Texas
Partisan Lean R+11
↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results
2020 R+5.6
2016 R+9.0
2012 R+15.8
2008 R+11.8
2004 R+22.9
Senate Results
2020 R+9.6
2018 R+2.6
2014 R+27.2
2012 R+15.9

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