← Back to Elections Dashboard
Senate · Texas · Democratic Primary

Texas Senate Dem Primary

C: Likely R S: Likely R S: Likely R
Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$29.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$9.8M
Independent expenditures
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
LONE STAR RISING PAC
Opposing Crockett
$4.5M
LONE STAR RISING PAC
Supporting Talarico
$4.0M
FORWARD TEXAS
Opposing Crockett
$500K
FORWARD TEXAS
Supporting Talarico
$500K
TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COM
Opposing Crockett
$199K
LATINO VICTORY FUND
Supporting Talarico
$82K
ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND
Opposing Crockett
$50K
EVERY STATE
Supporting Talarico
$10K
DISRUPT
Supporting Talarico
$9K
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Talarico (D)
—
$20.7M
$4.8M
59%
77%
$4.1M
$500K
Crockett (D)
—
$8.6M
$3.5M
76%
59%
$749K
$4.5M
Financial Breakdown
Talarico (D)
Total Raised
$20,694,809
Cash on Hand
$4,788,090
Disbursements
$15,906,718
Individual Contributions
$20,649,409
PAC Contributions
$34,050
Small Dollar %
58.9%
Burn Rate
76.9%
Net IE Advantage
+$3.6M
Crockett (D)
Total Raised
$8,577,757
Cash on Hand
$3,484,885
Disbursements
$5,092,872
Individual Contributions
$3,682,885
PAC Contributions
$16,500
Small Dollar %
75.5%
Burn Rate
59.4%
Net IE Advantage
$-3.7M
📜 Historical Context — Texas
Partisan Lean R+11
↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results
2020 R+5.6
2016 R+9.0
2012 R+15.8
2008 R+11.8
2004 R+22.9
Senate Results
2020 R+9.6
2018 R+2.6
2014 R+27.2
2012 R+15.9

Get the intelligence brief.

Free intelligence briefs Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 6:15 AM EST. Weekend deep dives on elections, geopolitics, and where the money is moving.

Subscribe free →