Texas Governor

C: Likely R S: Likely R

Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM

Poll Leader

Abbott +7.5

2 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

Independent expenditures

📊 Prediction Market — Kalshi

R+76 Volume: $43K

Source: Kalshi

DEM 14¢

89¢ GOP

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Abbott (R)

49.5%

—

Hinojosa (D)

42.0%

—

📜 Historical Context — Texas

Partisan Lean R+11

↗ Trending D+7

TX has a partisan lean of R+11. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 7 points in recent elections. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+14).

Presidential Results

2020 R+5.6

2016 R+9.0

2012 R+15.8

2008 R+11.8

2004 R+22.9

Senate Results

2020 R+9.6

2018 R+2.6

2014 R+27.2

2012 R+15.9

Texas Governor

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