Prediction markets meet geopolitical intelligence.

Intelligence briefs tracking what billions in prediction market flow say about geopolitics, defense, and economics. Free. Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 6:15 AM EST.

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HAMMERHEAD INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitical risk intelligence powered by prediction markets.
04
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HAMMERHEAD INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitical risk intelligence powered by prediction markets.
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HAMMERHEAD INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitical risk intelligence powered by prediction markets.
01
Mar
Deep Dive
Who Knew? Inside the Wallets That Called the Iran Strike
At 2:47 AM Eastern on February 28, 2026, the first munitions from Operation Epic Fury struck Tehran. Within minutes, the "US strikes Iran by February 28" contract on Polymarket snapped to $1.00. Six f
27
Feb
Brief
HAMMERHEAD INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitical risk intelligence powered by prediction markets.

The Data

We track every geopolitical contract on Kalshi and Polymarket — prices, volume, whale trades, term structures. Updated continuously, analyzed three times a week.

The Analysis

Intelligence briefs Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 6:15 AM EST, midday signals when something moves, and weekend deep dives on the dominant contract complex.

The Edge

Prediction markets aggregate information faster than newsrooms. We translate that signal into actionable intelligence — what the money thinks before the headlines catch up.

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