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Senate · North Carolina · General Election
North Carolina Senate
C: Toss Up S: Lean D S: Tilt D
Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM
Poll Leader
Cooper +9.6
2 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$27.3M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$4.2M
Independent expenditures
💡 Money Signal
Cooper leads both in polls (+9.6) and fundraising ($21.1M vs $6.3M). The money is confirming the polls here. $706K in outside spending opposing Cooper. Super PACs are betting against the frontrunner.
📊 Prediction Market — Kalshi
🔴 Divergence Alert: Polls imply 81% for Cooper vs market at 48%. Market may be underpricing the polling lead.
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
FIELD TEAM 6, INC.
Opposing Cooper
$3K
Candidate Comparison
Cooper (D)
47.2%
$21.1M
$14.2M
39%
32%
$33K
$706K
Whatley (R)
37.6%
$6.3M
$2.5M
36%
60%
$3.5M
—
Financial Breakdown
Individual Contributions
$9,261,170
PAC Contributions
$552,735
Individual Contributions
$2,876,763
PAC Contributions
$560,500
📜 Historical Context — North Carolina
NC has a partisan lean of R+6. The state's partisan lean has been stable. Republicans won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+5).
Presidential Results
2020 R+1.3
2016 R+3.6
2012 R+2.0
2008 D+0.3
2004 R+12.4
Senate Results
2020 R+1.8
2016 R+5.7
2014 R+1.5
2010 R+11.8