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Senate · Michigan · General Election

Michigan Senate

C: Toss Up S: Toss Up S: Tilt D
Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$23.5M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$2.3M
Independent expenditures
📊 Prediction Market — Kalshi
D+58 Volume: $80K
Source: Kalshi
DEM 80¢
22¢ GOP
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP AC
Supporting Rogers
$1.1M
SLF PAC
Supporting Rogers
$647K
GLCF, INC.
Supporting Rogers
$315K
FIRST PRINCIPLES DIGITAL
Supporting Rogers
$184K
BLUE MICHIGAN PAC
Supporting Stevens
$83K
BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT
Supporting Stevens
$14K
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Stevens (D)
—
$6.8M
$3.1M
14%
55%
$97K
—
Mcmorrow (D)
—
$5.6M
$2.0M
48%
65%
$50
—
Rogers (R)
—
$5.4M
$3.5M
34%
41%
$2.2M
—
El-Sayed (D)
—
$5.4M
$2.0M
26%
63%
$50
—
Tate (D)
—
$244K
—
24%
100%
—
—
Scott (R)
—
$58K
$6K
8%
90%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Stevens (D)
Total Raised
$6,839,672
Cash on Hand
$3,054,294
Disbursements
$3,785,379
Individual Contributions
$4,741,804
PAC Contributions
$410,556
Small Dollar %
14.5%
Burn Rate
55.3%
Net IE Advantage
+$97K
Mcmorrow (D)
Total Raised
$5,595,106
Cash on Hand
$1,951,147
Disbursements
$3,643,959
Individual Contributions
$5,521,946
PAC Contributions
$34,149
Small Dollar %
48.5%
Burn Rate
65.1%
Net IE Advantage
+$50
Rogers (R)
Total Raised
$5,382,858
Cash on Hand
$3,454,035
Disbursements
$2,183,554
Individual Contributions
$2,821,443
PAC Contributions
$516,477
Small Dollar %
34.3%
Burn Rate
40.6%
Net IE Advantage
+$2.2M
El-Sayed (D)
Total Raised
$5,350,824
Cash on Hand
$1,979,180
Disbursements
$3,371,645
Individual Contributions
$5,298,365
PAC Contributions
$31,825
Small Dollar %
26.5%
Burn Rate
63.0%
Net IE Advantage
+$50
Tate (D)
Total Raised
$243,636
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$243,636
Individual Contributions
$222,028
PAC Contributions
$6,250
Small Dollar %
23.7%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Scott (R)
Total Raised
$58,146
Cash on Hand
$5,807
Disbursements
$52,339
Individual Contributions
$15,859
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
8.0%
Burn Rate
90.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Michigan
Partisan Lean R+2
↘ Trending R+6

MI has a partisan lean of R+2. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 6 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+11).

Presidential Results
2020 D+2.8
2016 R+0.2
2012 D+9.5
2008 D+16.4
2004 D+3.4
Senate Results
2020 D+1.7
2018 D+6.5
2014 D+13.3
2012 D+20.8

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