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Senate · Florida · General Election

Florida Senate

C: Likely R S: Likely R S: Likely R
Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM
Poll Leader
No polls
0 candidates polled
Total Money in Race
$22.4M
Combined fundraising
Outside Spending
$1.1M
Independent expenditures
📊 Prediction Market — Kalshi
R+66 Volume: $4K
Source: Kalshi
DEM 16¢
82¢ GOP
🏛️ Super PAC Activity in This Race
Committee
Direction
Amount
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND
Supporting Moody
$433K
LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR A SAFER AMERICA PAC
Supporting Moody
$220K
SLF PAC
Supporting Moody
$200K
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION
Supporting Moody
$150K
OUT OF THE SWAMP PAC
Supporting Moody
$83K
Candidate Comparison
Candidate
RCP Avg
Raised
COH
Sm $
Burn
IE For
IE Agst
Weil (D)
—
$15.9M
—
75%
100%
—
—
Moody (R)
—
$5.8M
$5.1M
16%
12%
$1.0M
$83K
Mujica (D)
—
$464K
$154K
19%
67%
—
—
Grayson (D)
—
$138K
$126K
57%
101%
—
—
Nixon (D)
—
$98K
$95K
30%
3%
—
—
Financial Breakdown
Weil (D)
Total Raised
$15,933,478
Cash on Hand
$0
Disbursements
$15,933,478
Individual Contributions
$15,463,011
PAC Contributions
$33,908
Small Dollar %
74.7%
Burn Rate
100.0%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Moody (R)
Total Raised
$5,795,699
Cash on Hand
$5,096,819
Disbursements
$698,880
Individual Contributions
$1,411,731
PAC Contributions
$1,142,500
Small Dollar %
15.9%
Burn Rate
12.1%
Net IE Advantage
+$920K
Mujica (D)
Total Raised
$463,669
Cash on Hand
$153,544
Disbursements
$310,125
Individual Contributions
$451,982
PAC Contributions
$500
Small Dollar %
18.9%
Burn Rate
66.9%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Grayson (D)
Total Raised
$137,893
Cash on Hand
$126,015
Disbursements
$138,796
Individual Contributions
$26,004
PAC Contributions
$5,000
Small Dollar %
57.4%
Burn Rate
100.7%
Net IE Advantage
$0
Nixon (D)
Total Raised
$97,681
Cash on Hand
$95,031
Disbursements
$2,649
Individual Contributions
$97,681
PAC Contributions
$0
Small Dollar %
30.4%
Burn Rate
2.7%
Net IE Advantage
$0
📜 Historical Context — Florida
Partisan Lean R+6
↘ Trending R+4

FL has a partisan lean of R+6. The state has shifted toward Republicans by 4 points in recent elections. Republicans won 3 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin R+6).

Presidential Results
2020 R+3.3
2016 R+1.2
2012 D+0.9
2008 D+2.8
2004 R+5.0
Senate Results
2018 R+0.2
2016 R+7.7
2012 D+13.0
2010 R+28.7

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