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Governor · California · General Election

California Governor

C: Lean D S: Likely D

Last updated: Mar 11, 2026 04:40 AM

Poll Leader

Hilton +0.7

7 candidates polled

Total Money in Race

Combined fundraising

Outside Spending

Independent expenditures

📊 Prediction Market — Kalshi

D+68 Volume: $280K

Source: Kalshi

DEM 84¢

16¢ GOP

Candidate Comparison

Candidate

RCP Avg

Raised

COH

Sm $

Burn

IE For

IE Agst

Hilton (R)

15.0%

—

Bianco (R)

14.3%

—

Swalwell (D)

12.0%

—

Porter (D)

11.3%

—

Steyer (D)

9.0%

—

Becerra (D)

4.7%

—

Other

8.1%

—

📜 Historical Context — California

Partisan Lean D+26

↗ Trending D+4

CA has a partisan lean of D+26. The state has shifted toward Democrats by 4 points in recent elections. Democrats won 4 of the last 4 Senate races here (avg margin D+30).

Presidential Results

2020 D+29.2

2016 D+30.1

2012 D+23.1

2008 D+24.0

2004 D+9.9

Senate Results

2018 D+45.8

2016 D+38.4

2012 D+25.0

2010 D+10.0

California Governor

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